Colts vs. Lions Week 13 NFL Pick

Two surprising teams square off Sunday afternoon in Week 13 as the shocking Indianapolis Colts take their act to the road to do battle with a very disappointing Detroit Lions side.

Much was expected from Detroit this season. After making the post-season in 2011, the Lions were supposed to take that next step this year, but it just hasn’t been in the cards. Bad luck, horrific calls, undisciplined play, and a shoddy defense, have all contributed to Detroit’s demise. Sitting with a dismal 4-7 record, the Lions’ playoff hopes have all but disappeared. Though they’ve come close in the past few weeks to some impressive victories, Detroit has fallen short time and time again. For the remainder of the season, only pride will be on the line for the Lions, and this week they should take pride in trying to derail Andrew Luck and the Colts. Detroit’s been decimated by injuries of late, especially in their secondary. Louis Delmas and Jacob Lacey are highly questionable, leaving Detroit susceptible through the air yet again.

Conversely, for the Colts the games just keep getting bigger and bigger. Literally nothing was expected out of this team in 2012. It’s a young group, but one loaded with talent. Indy enters Detroit on Sunday with a stunning 7-4 record, and have their sights firmly set on getting into the post-season. Andrew Luck has been everything he was advertised as, but teams are getting up to knock the dominant rookie off his perch. Sunday won’t be easy for Indianapolis by any means though, despite the obvious discrepancies in records. Luck and his Colts have struggled on the road in 2012, and the Lions remain a talented group despite underachieving. If Indy is going to qualify for the post-season come January, these are the types of games they’ll need to be able to win to make it in the tough AFC. They’ll also be helped by two key returns from the injury ward. Vontae Davis returns in the secondary, and key target Coby Fleener will return at tight-end.

Colts vs. Lions Betting Odds:

Spread:
Indianapolis Colts +6 (-110)
@ Detroit Lions -6 (-110)

Total:
Over 50.5 (-110)
Under 50.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Colts vs. Lions Pick:

Expect this to be a high-octane type of affair with points all over the place Sunday afternoon. Both teams have explosive offenses, and shoddy secondaries. Those factors combine to produce a simple recipe for Overs, and that’s what is expected in this contest.

The Lions on offense can be described like a video game. They’re second in yards, but 14th in points. They’re a high-risk group, and can be dangerous for any defense in the league. Calvin Johnson has suddenly gotten red-hot, which will be a big problem for Indy’s porous defense. The man known as Megatron has 32 catches, for 619 yards, in the past four weeks. Look for the Stafford to Johnson connection to be in fine form Sunday afternoon. Add in the fact that the Colts’ defense against the run is brutal as well, and Detroit is going to put points on the board against this team. Indianapolis currently concedes 4.77 yards per carry, ranking 28th in the NFL in that regard. Defense will be a rarity from both sides.

Meanwhile, on the other end the Lions too have plenty of holes Luck and the Colts should be able to exploit. Detroit’s secondary has been a disaster all season long, and that should continue in Week 13. They’ve been badly decimated with tough injuries, and if Delmas cannot play Sunday, Luck could have a field day against this defense. Expect Luck to have minimal difficulty putting points on the board. He’s been getting better each and every game, and a mediocre Lions’ defense won’t be able to stop the former Stanford Cardinal.

Expect an abundance of points in this battle between two high-powered teams. Neither defense will be able to stop the opposing offense, en route to a total that should exceed 51 points.

PICK = Over 50.5 (-110)

Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.