Colts vs. Texans NFL Pick – Week 14

+4.5SPREAD
-117ODDS

OUR PICK

COLTS

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<p>The Indianapolis Colts head into Houston to face the red-hot Texans on Sunday in Week 14. The Texans are winners of nine games in a row. Their latest win over the Cleveland Browns by a score of 29-13. We were on the Texans in that contest, so it was a nice outcome for us. Meanwhile, the Colts were shutout in a bizarre game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. </p>
<p>Andrew Luck and the Colts’ offense were doing no wrong going in that matchup, padding a four-game winning streak to catapult into the playoff picture. The Jaguars put an end to that, with a dominating performance on defense to neutralize Luck. The loss pushed the Colts back to a record of 6-6, but are still very well alive in the AFC wildcard chase. The Ravens are currently in possession of the final wildcard, with a slew of teams on their heels. </p>
<p>Indianapolis are one of those teams, along with the Dolphins and Broncos who are all tied at 6-6 on the season. Needless to say that December is going to be a big month for every team involved. The Dolphins welcome the Patriots to Miami this week, while the Broncos are in San Francisco against the 49ers. This is a big game for the Colts, but it isn’t going to be an easy game. Houston are gunning for their tenth win in a row on Sunday afternoon. They have a terrific defense and a quarterback who has gone largely unnoticed in all of the hype surrounding Patrick Mahomes.  </p>
<p>I won’t say that the Colts were entirely terrible against the Jaguars. After all, they did outgain the Jaguars in that contest, but it just didn’t look like the same offense we’ve seen from the Colts over the past several weeks. Luck was putting up giant numbers, and then the Jags shut him down. The defense who has been the target of criticism in Indianapolis played well, albeit it was against Cody Kessler. Deshaun Watson will provide a much different challenge in Houston on Sunday. The Texans are eyeing the division, while the Colts are looking for a wildcard. Get our free Colts vs. Texans pick for this AFC South showdown below. </p>
<h2 class=Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans NFL Week 14 Betting Odds:

Spread:
Colts +4.5(-117)
vs. Texans -4.5(-103)

Total:
Over 50(-110)
Under 50(-110)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Colts vs. Texans Pick:

Before throwing up a dud against the Jaguars, Colt was on a serious roll in the pocket. It’s not really rocket science with him. The Colts addressed the offense line while he was out for an extended period and he’s getting more time to pass. When Luck is healthy and has competent blockers, he is one of the better quarterbacks in the league. He’s passed for 32 touchdowns and 12 interceptions with a career-high completion percentage of 67.8%.

Luck passed for a whopping 27 touchdowns and 8 interceptions in his previous eight games leading up to last week. Luck has appreciated having Eric Ebron in the passing game. Ebron? The same guy who couldn’t catch a pass from Matthew Stafford in Detroit. That would be the guy. Ebron has hauled in 589 yards and 11 touchdowns to lead all tight ends in touchdown receptions.

Along with the numbers from Luck, the Colts scored an average of 33.12 points per game during those eight games. Overall on the season, they are 9th in the league with 377.9 yards recorded per game. They’ve averaged 27.1 points per game as well. The Texans are just back with 374 yards and 25.2 points per game. To the eye, the Texans appear to have the much better defense, but don’t discredit how improved the Colts have been recently.

Note that the Colts are 11th in the league with 347.8 yards allowed per game. They’ve also been competent keeping the football out of their end zone, with 23.2 points given up per game. The Texans are 10th with 341.5 yards allowed per game. However, they’ve been the more consistent defense.

The Colts have had a few solid individual games to skew their numbers in a positive direction. Nevertheless, this was a bottom of the barrel defense for the last few years in Indianapolis. Their latest meeting with the Texans was a 37-34 thriller. The Colts won the previous two by scores of 22-13 and 20-14 before the tough loss. Note that they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five trips to Houston.

In five of their last six meetings, the Colts have either won or kept it within 4 points against the Texans. In their last ten meetings, they’ve won or the final score fell within 4 points in eight of ten games. I have a suspicion that Andrew Luck and the Colts’ offense were looking ahead to this divisional game last week. I’ve tailed the Texans often this season, but expect this to be a competitive matchup between two AFC South foes.

The Bet
COLTS +4.5
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.