Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans NFL Week 14 Betting Odds:
vs. Texans -4.5(-103)
Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag
Colts vs. Texans Pick:
Before throwing up a dud against the Jaguars, Colt was on a serious roll in the pocket. It’s not really rocket science with him. The Colts addressed the offense line while he was out for an extended period and he’s getting more time to pass. When Luck is healthy and has competent blockers, he is one of the better quarterbacks in the league. He’s passed for 32 touchdowns and 12 interceptions with a career-high completion percentage of 67.8%.
Luck passed for a whopping 27 touchdowns and 8 interceptions in his previous eight games leading up to last week. Luck has appreciated having Eric Ebron in the passing game. Ebron? The same guy who couldn’t catch a pass from Matthew Stafford in Detroit. That would be the guy. Ebron has hauled in 589 yards and 11 touchdowns to lead all tight ends in touchdown receptions.
Along with the numbers from Luck, the Colts scored an average of 33.12 points per game during those eight games. Overall on the season, they are 9th in the league with 377.9 yards recorded per game. They’ve averaged 27.1 points per game as well. The Texans are just back with 374 yards and 25.2 points per game. To the eye, the Texans appear to have the much better defense, but don’t discredit how improved the Colts have been recently.
Note that the Colts are 11th in the league with 347.8 yards allowed per game. They’ve also been competent keeping the football out of their end zone, with 23.2 points given up per game. The Texans are 10th with 341.5 yards allowed per game. However, they’ve been the more consistent defense.
The Colts have had a few solid individual games to skew their numbers in a positive direction. Nevertheless, this was a bottom of the barrel defense for the last few years in Indianapolis. Their latest meeting with the Texans was a 37-34 thriller. The Colts won the previous two by scores of 22-13 and 20-14 before the tough loss. Note that they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five trips to Houston.
In five of their last six meetings, the Colts have either won or kept it within 4 points against the Texans. In their last ten meetings, they’ve won or the final score fell within 4 points in eight of ten games. I have a suspicion that Andrew Luck and the Colts’ offense were looking ahead to this divisional game last week. I’ve tailed the Texans often this season, but expect this to be a competitive matchup between two AFC South foes.