Colts vs. Texans Pick – NFL Week 9

The Indianapolis Colts catch a break this weekend, as they get to play a Deshaun Watson-less Texans squad. It’s such an unfortunate situation and comes at a time where Watson was really asserting himself in the NFL. There’s been a slew of injuries to top quarterbacks, including Aaron Rodgers. All the NFL needs now is for Tom Brady to get injured.

The Texans’ offense was sizzling with Watson at quarterback, and now they’re going to have to try and get the same results from Tom Savage. Watson playing this well, or even starting, was never really the plan in July. The idea was for Watson to sit behind Savage and learn the ropes. Watson took the ropes from Savage and left him on the bench.

Savage thinks he deserves to be a starter, his agent wasn’t too happy when he was benched. So, here’s your stage Savage, and you get a favorable matchup at home against a bad defense. This is going to be the new normal for the Texans, as Watson is gone for the year with the ACL tear.

The Texans hope Savage was doing more than pouting on the sideline, and rather preparing himself for this opportunity. If he plays well, he could set himself up for a starting job elsewhere. There are a lot of bad quarterbacks in the NFL, and a strong November and December could be enough to get some looks. Insert Matt Flynn.

Savage has a little experience as a starter, so he isn’t going into the starting role completely blind. He appeared in two games a year ago, throwing no touchdowns and no interceptions, connecting on 63% passing. 63% is just about an average number in the NFL. For his career he’s passed for no touchdowns and an interception in seven appearances and three starts. He had a chance early this season, and turned the ball over twice on fumbles and that was the end for Savage, until now. Head below for our free Colts vs. Texans pick.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Betting Odds:

Spread:
Colts +7(-120)
vs. Texans -7(+100)

Total:
Over 45(-110)
Under 45(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Colts vs. Texans Pick:

Savage hasn’t shown he can be a starting quarterback, yet anyway. He’s been in the NFL since 2014, and the 24-year-old hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass. Savage has bounced around as a backup and on the practice squad. He never impressed me in college at Pitt, as he had just a career 56.8% completion percentage. I’m surprised he’s stuck around for this long to be honest, and is still kicking the tires at a starting job. If things go amess, T.J. Yates is going to be waiting in the wings to replace Savage.

This has to be the perfect scenario for Savage, though. The Colts are 31st in the NFL, allowing 406.8 yards per game. They are a spot in front of the Patriots, but the Pats are giving up 22.4 points a game, while the Colts allow 30.8 per game. The Colts played well against the Bengals last week, but ultimately came up a point short, 24-23. They’re currently on a three-game losing streak after a 2-3 start to the year. It’s official, Jacoby Brissett will be the starter for the remainder of the season, barring an injury. Andrew Luck was placed on the IR finally, delaying the inevitable. Brissett has been good and bad, mediocre is a good work for him.

He has 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on the year, including 135 yards rushing and a touchdown on the ground. Brissett and the Colts’ offense have a decent matchup against the Houston offense on Sunday. This isn’t the same Texans lights out defensive unit, not with J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus on the shelf.

They’re allowing 27 points per game, which was unheard of for them in the last several years. Watt doesn’t know how to stay healthy, and you can tell that era is coming to an end rather shortly. It’s the Deshaun Watson era, but that’s going to be delayed until next September. I can’t lay 7 points with his replacement, Tom Savage. Even against this Colt defense, it’s tough to trust him. The points look good with the only quarterback in this game that has shown the ability to move the ball.

PICK: COLTS +7 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.