gravatar

Colts vs. Texans SNF Pick – NFL Week 6

This feels more like a Monday night game than a Sunday Night Football game to me. The Indianapolis Colts against the Houston Texans just screams Monday night, as the premier game of the week has fallen on Sunday ever since NBC has had the rights to the game. The idea for this one was to pit Andrew Luck against Brock Osweiler, with the expectation that Osweiler and the Texas were going to be a legitimate team this year. There is still a lot of football left to be played and the Texans are 3-2, so legitimate is still up in the air. I haven’t been impressed by Osweiler, and like what I said about the Dolphins in an earlier article from today, where has Tannehill and Suh gotten the Dolphins? And thus far this season, where has Osweiler gotten the Texans? They didn’t pay out for him to be an average quarterback, he is earning enough money where he needs to up his game.

Everybody saw this coming, except perhaps the Houston Texans, who are on the hook for a lot of money for Osweiler. He’s passed for 6 touchdowns with 7 interceptions and also coughed up the ball once on a fumble. Osweiler has posted an abysmal quarterback rating of 50.3, too. Those are not the kind of numbers Houston wanted to see, but it’s pretty well what everyone expected from him. Oddly enough, the Texans are the only winning team in the AFC South and have an opportunity to win the division. Osweiler didn’t even really show he deserved this much money after his play with the Broncos. It isn’t his fault they wanted to pay him that much, he took the money and laughed all the way to the bank with it.

Osweiler and the Texans will play host to the Colts on SNF, who are one week removed from a win over the Chicago Bears. They dropped a hard game to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London, but regrouped to beat the Bears the following week. It’s a quick turnaround flying to Europe and back again, but the Colts handled it well. This may not look like the most attractive game at first look, but note this is an important AFC South game. There are going to be playoff implications hanging on this game. Osweiler has to play well tonight, it’s imperative for his wellbeing in the NFL. The Colts do not possess some strong, unbreakable defense. It’s actually one of the worst in the NFL, so here it is, a golden opportunity for Osweiler to get things going at home on Sunday Night Football.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Odds:

Spread:
Colts +3(-110)
vs. Texans -3(-110)

Total:
Over 48.5(-110)
Under 48.5(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Colts vs. Texans Pick:

The reasons the Colts have problems on defense, from a management standpoint, are easy to ascertain. It’s also easy to pinpoint why the Colts are having problems with their offensive line. All of their money is being spent on Andrew Luck. If Luck didn’t want to play nice and take a smaller salary so the Colts could spend money elsewhere, well, the end result if a porous defense and a bad offensive line that can’t keep him standing up. I imagine this will continue to hurt them for the foreseeable future. Statistically, the offensive line for the Colts is rated dead last in the league, allowing a whopping 20 sacks. Luck has been hit 40 times this season and it’s only Week 6.

The Texans do have the ability to get after the quarterback. Note that they are 8th in the NFL in sacks. The defense has allowed just 16.4 points per game, which is 2nd in the league. They have been great defending the pass, allowing just 181 yards per game, 1st in the NFL. The Colts have issues trying to run the football, but they may be forced to use the ground game more often, if this terrific pass defense holds up.

Let me preface to say that Osweiler is not a good quarterback. However, he is playing against a defense who are 30th in the NFL in yards allowed and are allowing 30 points per game. I think he does somewhat enough of an adequate job on Sunday night. He isn’t going to be in for a monster game, but it doesn’t have to be against the Colts. The Texans’ defense should be able to control this game throughout. The Colts have no pass protection, and the Texans have the best pass defense in the NFL, along with a tough defensive line. The Texans have gone 3-0 at home this season and should add another W tonight. Unless the Colts fixed their offensive line problems, I don’t know how they’re going to contain the Texans’ defense.

PICK: TEXANS -3 (-110)