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Cowboys vs. Packers Pick – NFL Week 6

The Dallas Cowboys and Dak Prescott travel to Lambeau Field for what would be a marquee win for Prescott. It’s been quite the arrival of Prescott in Dallas, starting out as a third-stringer behind Tony Romo and Kellen Moore, he’s been thrust into the spotlight because of injuries to both of them. I keep having to remind people that Prescott wasn’t even the backup in training camp, it took Moore getting injured for him to take over as the starter. Sorry to Moore, but the injury to him ended up paying off big. I don’t know if we would have seen Prescott as much if Moore was healthy. It’s just a theory, but I think it’s a realistic theory, especially if Kellen played decently enough to justify the backup role. Prescott has made the most of it, and has caused some controversy around town.

The controversy stems from Tony Romo. Not that Romo has done anything, but the question becomes whether he should start in replacement of Prescott. I said a couple weeks ago that there is no way they stick with Prescott over Romo if he’s 100 percent healthy. However, now I’m starting to think that they are going to stay with him. I am in the camp that says they should stay with Dak, but I must admit, I wasn’t his biggest supporter earlier. Prescott has thrown for 1,239 yards and 4 touchdowns with no interceptions.

He’s completed 71 percent of his passes in four straight games, the first to do it since Peyton Manning in 2009. He also has 2 touchdowns on the ground rushing. A third-string rookie quarterback to touching Manning’s record and a quarterback rating of 101.5. Now you have to admit it’s impressive, but will he be able to sustain this over the course of this season, and for years down the road?

Mississippi State has been an awful team this season in college football. They went from competing to being a nobody. The Bulldogs can thank Dak for those years of being a solid SEC team. The guy on the opposite side of the field today, Aaron Rogers, knows a thing or two about being a good quarterback. I must say though, this Packers’ offense hasn’t been a dominant force for almost a couple of years now. They used to put up giant numbers every week, but they haven’t been doing it since Jordy Nelson tore his ACL in the preseason last year.

Nevertheless, their defense has improved drastically. When they were putting up over 30 points per game, they had to do it to win, because the defense was getting burned. They are much better in that regard. Get my pick below, along with the rest of my writeup for the Cowboys and Packers.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Odds:

Spread:
Cowboys +4.5(-110)
vs. Packers -4.5(-110)

Total:
Over 47.5(-110)
Under 47.5(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Cowboys vs. Packers Pick:

There hasn’t been much controversy in Green Bay with quarterbacks. Other than perhaps the news that Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers hated each other. Favre hasn’t been a Packer since 2007, so I have a sneaking suspicion this isn’t going to impact the locker room too much. Rodgers comes into Sunday with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. But his completion rating has been down in a big way, all the way to 56.1 percent, 30th in the NFL. Yards per pass? Rodgers is last in the league.

The Packers’ offense is all the way back in 25th in total yards per game. With a healthy Rodgers, could you have envisioned that two years back? This was an offense who were flourishing then. The drop-off of Randal Cobb hasn’t helped any and the injury to Jordy Nelson derailed their offense a year ago. They needed to improvise and Rodgers struggled to find a rhythm in 2015, too.

I still feel like Rodgers is due for a big game, though. The offense still isn’t the same, but there’s going to come a point where they explode. Maybe not consistently like they used to, but they probably have two or three games in them. What the Packers have been doing exceptionally well is defending the run, and it hasn’t even been close with the rest of the NFL. Green Bay has allowed an average of only 42.8 yards per game, compared to the 2nd place Jets who have given up 68.4. Like I said, the offense hasn’t been as proficient, but defensively they have improved tenfold.

The Cowboys have been doing damage on the ground. It hasn’t just been Dak Prescott’s show, but fellow rookie Ezekiel Elliott has been churning out the yards as well. Elliott has rushed for 546 yards on 109 carries, as well as 6 touchdowns. Needless to say, the Cowboys have been draft winners. I think the Cowboys are going to run into problems here. I don’t see their running game, which is what they’re based off of, playing as well against this stout run defense of the Packers at Lambeau. Also, the Cowboys have struggled against the Packers, losing five straight times. 2008 is the last time Dallas has won in Green Bay. I foresee a 7-point win for the Packers on Sunday.

PICK: PACKERS -4.5 (-110)