Denver (4-7) at Kansas City (10-1)
Kansas City leads 66-54 in the series as the Chiefs have won 10 in a row in the series dating back 2015. Denver had won 10 of 12 games before the Chiefs 10-game surge. Kansas City turned Denver over four times in a 43-16 route in Week 7. Daniel Sorenson had a 50-yard interception return for a score and Byron Pringle had a 102-yard kickoff return as well.
Vs. The Spread:
The Broncos are 2-4 ATS in their last six games and 1-9 ATS in their last ten games vs. the Chiefs. The total has gone under in 10 of the Broncos last 14 games in December. Kansas City has 15-5 ATS in it’s last 20 games.
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Denver Broncos||+13 (-110)||+665||O 51 (-105)|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-13 -110||-925||U 51 (-115)|
The bad decisions by the Broncos’ quarterback room during COVID-19 came to fruition as all four tested positive after refusing to wear masks in quarterback meetings. The recklessness caused Denver to have to use Kendall Hinton, a practice squad player at quarterback in the 31-3 loss to the New Orleans Saints.
The Chiefs baffled the highest levels of the science of production as Patrick Mahomes completed 37 of 49 passes for 462 yards and Tyreek Hill caught 13 of those passes for 262 yards. Kansas City held off a fourth quarter Tampa Bay rally in defeating the Buccaneers, 27-24, in Tampa.
When the Broncos have the Ball:
Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay need a much higher level of production in the Denver rushing attack as Kansas City is 23rd in the NFL against the run. They give up 128 yards per game and 4.7 yards per carry. Sorenson had the big game with nine tackles and the pick in the earlier meeting and has seven or more tackles in four of his last five games. Anthony Hitchens and Damien Wilson are numbers two and three in tackles for Kansas City and should figure prominently in getting the Broncos defense off the field. Drew Lock will be back as he has seven touchdowns passes against nine interceptions and face Chiefs pass rushers Chris Jones and Frank Clark.
When the Chiefs have the Ball:
Patrick Mahomes continues his march through NFL pass defenses as he is currently at 337.5 passing yards with 30 touchdowns against only two interceptions. Tyreek Hill, Mercole Hardman and company could have a massive day in the Broncos’ secondary. Hill went over 1,000 receiving yards for the season last week as that was the sixth time in his seven seasons. Travis Kelce is having a stellar season at tight end as he looks for his fifth game in a row with eight-plus catches and 80-plus yards. The defensive passing yards (210.1) and the opposing passers’ completion percentage (65.4) are not synonymous at all for the Denver defense. Keep in mind the Broncos held Kansas City to 301 total yards in Week 7.
Winner: Kansas City (-13) 37, Denver 20
Over-Under: OVER 51