Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prop Picks – NFL Week 13

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prop Picks – NFL Week 13

Sunday Night Football features the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday night. The good news is that we’re going to get a good look at Patrick Mahomes in a rivalry game. The bad news is that the Broncos are not a competitive team this season. They enter Kansas City with a record of 4-7, and trail the Oakland Raiders and Chiefs in the AFC West. If the Broncos were in the NFC East, then they’d be in the thick of a playoff race at the moment. They aren’t that fortunate, though, and must contend with Mahomes for the foreseeable future in this division. But hey, at least the Broncos will have a quarterback to put on the field this week.

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As a result of Covid-19 protocols, the Broncos did not have a starting quarterback against the New Orleans Saints. Practice squad player, Kendall Hinton, who had experience playing quarterback in college, was inserted as the emergency option for the Broncos. He was on the Broncos’ practice squad as a wide receiver, so this certainly wasn’t what he was expecting to do in his professional career. Hinton did all he could and it wasn’t much. He passed for 13 yards on 1 for 9 passing and 2 interceptions. The Broncos were able to get a field goal in a 31-3 loss, so I suppose the fact they didn’t get shutout can be seen as a small win?

The Broncos will get Drew Lock back for Sunday night. His leadership has been brought into question during this whole Covid-19 episode. I was never high on his leadership before this situation, and didn’t see much from him during this all from him. Lock had a chance to provide that he’s the quarterback of the future for the Broncos. We haven’t seen that from him this season. Lock has passed for 7 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 55.6% completion. The 24-year-old looks nothing more than a backup quarterback in the NFL. We will see what he can bring to the table on Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs at Arrowhead.

If you want to see leadership, the quarterback on the other side has shown a lot of it. Mahomes is in a battle with Aaron Rodgers for MVP in the NFL. More importantly, he has the Chiefs looking at going to another Super Bowl. The Chiefs go into Sunday night with a record of 10-1, with their only loss against the Oakland Raiders at home in an upset. The Steelers remain the only undefeated team in the NFL. I don’t know if this is going to be a competitive game tonight, but we have some props to get to. Head below for our free Broncos vs. Chiefs props for December 6, 2020.

Drew Lock Passing Yards

Over 239.5
-114
Under 239.5
-114

I noted above how poorly Drew Lock’s leadership skills have been throughout this Covid-19 situation among the quarterbacks. It does not reflect well on him. His stats have not been pretty either. Lock has passed for 7 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 55.6% completions. He has passed for yardage, though. Despite not being a clutch quarterback, Lock has been able to move the ball like an average quarterback.

Lock has connected for at least 248 passing yards in five straight starts. A lot of that has to do with volume. Lock has been passing the ball a lot. Through those five games, Lock has attempted 40 passes in four of those outings, and 30 attempts in every one of those five games. What do you think the Broncos are going to have to do against the Chiefs?

Lock is going to have to dish the ball out plenty on Sunday night. I don’t believe Lock is going to have a great game or anything, but based on volume alone and how many attempts he’ll get, including probably against a prevent defense, Lock should be able to scratch out at least 240 passing yards at Arrowhead.

Bet Now
OVER 239.5

Demarcus Robinson Receptions

Over 2.5
-137
Under 2.5
+106

There are a lot of directions that Patrick Mahomes can go in with the Chiefs’ offense. There are too many weapons to cover. That’s even truer now that they have Sammy Watkins back on the field. There are a lot of quarterbacks that would love to play in this offense. While Mahomes is a generational player, this entire offense, including guys like Demarcus Robinson and Mecole Hardman should get a bit of credit. Robinson has been a reliable option for Mahomes.

He might not be the biggest threat for defenses to worry about, but he sees enough targets from his quarterback. Through ten games, Robinson has been targeted 44 times for 32 receptions. He’s had 300 yards receiving with 2 touchdowns on 9.4 yards per reception. Note that Robinson has been getting plenty of looks recently as well.

Robinson has been targeted 14 times the last two games. He made 6 receptions for 44 yards against the Raiders, and then 5 receptions for 36 yards against the Buccaneers. That was the fourth straight game that he’s made at least 3 receptions, and fifth in the last six. I think Robinson can collect at least 3 receptions from Mahomes here.

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OVER 2.5

Jerry Jeudy Receptions

Over 3.5
-143
Over 3.5
+110

A receiver is going to have to step up for the Broncos to have an opportunity to win on Sunday night. The most talented wide receiver on the roster is rookie Jerry Jeudy. The rookie out of Alabama is a tremendous route runner and was regarded by many as the best in the draft. Jeudy has been a productive rookie, steadily going about his business with 589 yards and 2 touchdowns. Give Jeudy a good quarterback and his numbers would look much better right now.

Jeudy went off for 125 yards and a touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons on November 8, which was good for a career-high. Since that game, Jeudy has caught 68 and 37 yards against the Raiders and Dolphins. I’m not even going to mention the game last week against the Saints. The Broncos didn’t have a quarterback. Jeudy has made at least 3 receptions in four straight performances.

As he continues to develop, Jeudy will find it much easier to find soft zones in the NFL. The game plan for the Broncos in their first meeting against the Chiefs didn’t work in a 43-16 loss in Denver. It was a snowy game and the Broncos’ offense was unable to get on track, including Jeudy who had 2 receptions for 20 yards. The weather isn’t going to be a problem for Lock and the Broncos tonight. While they might get behind early, Lock and the offense should be able to complete some passes at least. I will side with Jeudy to get OVER on this receiving prop.

The Bet
OVER 3.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.