Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears NFL Week 4 Pick – October 3

A key divisional showdown will unfold during the early window of Sunday’s Week 4 NFL action as the Detroit Lions head to Soldier Field to take on Justin Fields and the Bears.

Despite the fact that Detroit enters with an 0-3 record under new head coach Dan Campbell, there’s been some promising developments throughout. They haven’t looked nearly as bad as many pundits thought they would. They likely should’ve won last week vs. Baltimore, if not for a historic field goal made from Ravens’ kicker Justin Tucker. They play hard, and though they’re currently quite depleted through injuries – Detroit continues to battle and grow under this new regime.

For the Bears, there are much more expectations. The era of Justin Fields began last week in Cleveland, and it was not a good introduction to the NFL. The mobile Ohio St. product was sacked nine times, getting virtually no time in the pocket and limited protection throughout. The hope is that Week 4 is different against Detroit’s front, but Chicago’s offensive line is clearly a weak point.

Chicago hosts Detroit currently holding a 1-2 record, and will no doubt see Sunday’s contest as a must-win if they are to make themselves legitimate playoff contenders. Keep reading on beneath the current odds, for further line movement history, betting data, trends, and analysis. Enjoy Detroit vs. Chicago in Week 4, an all-NFC North divisional clash!

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by


  • Detroit Lions +3 (-118)
  • Chicago Bears -3 (-102)

  • Detroit Lions (+130)
  • Chicago Bears (-150)
Total Points:

  • Over 41.5 (-105)
  • Under 41.5 (-115)
Overall Record 0-3-0 1-2-0
ATS Record 2-1-0 1-2-0
Home/Away Record 0-1-0 1-0-0
Points Per Game 22.3 13.3
Points Against Per Game 31.7 25.7
Passing Yards Per Game 247.3 90.7
Rushing Yards Per Game 105.7 101.0

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Prediction:

The Bears’ offense will be better this week simply based off of playing a different opponent. They weren’t ready for the intensity of that Browns’ front, but Justin Fields should get an easier route vs. Detroit on Sunday.

Trey Flowers is also slated to be out along Detroit’s defensive line, making things much tougher in terms of generating pressure for the Lions. As a result, expect a more comfortable approach for Chicago’s skill players and an easier matchup overall. Justin Fields will have much more time when dropping back, and should be able to find holes to run at.

Downfield look for the likes of Darnell Mooney and Allen Robinson to also take advantage of their matchups. Detroit is badly depleted within their secondary, and that tandem should be able to dominate the Lions’ porous defensive backfield. Fields has a big arm and should be able to also hand off to David Montgomery to keep the chains moving.

On the other side, it’s also going to be tough for Detroit at the other line of scrimmage. Their O-Line is depleted as well right now, and without Taylor Decker, expect the Bears’ defensive front to really dominate this matchup. Khalil Mack can’t be contained and should make Jared Goff’s Sunday a hectic one whenever he drops back to pass.

Don’t expect much of anything from the Lions when passing the football, and I can’t see them committing too heavily to the run game – assuming they’re trailing early and often in this contest. It’s just a bad matchup overall for Detroit, as their strengths play into the hands of Chicago. Expect the Bears to bully their divisional rivals at both lines of scrimmage.


Lions vs. Bears Trends To Know:

  • Lions are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games as a road underdog.
  • Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Chicago.


The betting trends and recent data all tilt this game towards the Chicago Bears. They’re the healthier and hungrier unit at the moment, and this line is just an absurd overreaction to last week’s Bears’ showing in Cleveland.  With Detroit’s injuries, this is a value spot for Chicago, and Justin Fields should be able to take full advantage of time and space in the pocket. 

My Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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