Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos Week 11 Pick – NFL November 22

The NFL is set up with another great week of action on November 22. Twelve games will be up on the board throughout Sunday. One of those games will be between the Miami Dolphins and the Denver Broncos. These two teams have had opposite starts to the season so far. This game will kick off at around 4:05 PM Eastern time on Sunday.

The Dolphins have put up a record of 6-3 throughout this season, which has them in second place of the AFC East. Miami is one game behind the Buffalo Bills for the division lead. The Dolphins have gone on a nice five game winning streak to jump up in the standings. Miami will look to keep it going with a win over the struggling Broncos in this one.

Denver has posted a record of 3-6 throughout the season, which has earned them the third seed in the AFC West. The Broncos have struggled to get anything going this season, but could still bounce back into the playoff race with a win in this one. Denver will look to use home field to their advantage as they try to knock Miami off their winning streak.

These two teams have been trending in opposite ways as of late. The Dolphins have caught fire after starting out 1-3 this season. Denver has not been able to get anything going losing back to back games. Miami now finds themselves in the mix for a wild card spot and could even catch the Bills in the division. If the Dolphins can keep momentum going in this one, it should be enough to earn them another win.

Previous Matchups

The Dolphins are coming off a matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers last week. Justin Herbert threw two touchdown passes and rushed for another on the day as he tried to help the Chargers earn the win. Tua Tagovailoa threw two touchdown passes, while Salvon Ahmed had a rushing touchdown. Jason Sanders went 3-4 on field goal kicks as Miami was able to hold on for a 29-21.

Denver faced off against the Oakland Raiders in their last matchup. Brandon McManus kicked two field goals, while Drew Lock threw a touchdown pass late. Josh Jacobs and Devontae Booker both rushed for two touchdowns each. The Raiders ran all over the Broncos all day as they were able to win 37-12 over their division rival.

These two teams are coming off opposite performances in last week’s game. Miami was in control for most of the Chargers game allowing a late touchdown to make it look closer. Denver was dominated from the start and it led to a tough loss. The Broncos are going to need their defense to step up in this one, especially against the run after allowing four rushing touchdowns a week ago.

Quarterback Comparison

Tua Tagovailoa has taken over the starting role since Miami’s Week 7 bye week. In those three games, he has thrown for 519 yards, 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Tagovailoa has not thrown a lot of passes as the Dolphins defense has been able to take a lot of pressure off of him. Last week, Tagovailoa went 15-25 for 169 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Drew Lock is questionable going into this week’s matchup against the Dolphins. Lock has thrown for 1497 yards, 7 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on the season. If Lock it out for this one though, it will go to Jeff Driskel or Brett Rypien. Driskel has thrown for 432 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Rypien has thrown for 295 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions this season.

Tagovailoa gives the Dolphins the edge coming into this one. Tagovailoa has been able to limit turnovers in his starts this season and will need to keep it up. This Broncos defense is solid though and could make it tougher on Tagovailoa on Sunday afternoon. He is eventually going to have a tough start and I believe that could be this week against a Broncos defense that is looking for some revenge.

Defensive Battle

Miami’s offense has been solid throughout this season. The Dolphins have been able to score 251 points, which is 9th in the NFL. Miami has struggled to move the ball, gaining 2863 yards, which is 29th in the league. The Dolphins defense has been able to hold opposing teams to 182 points and 3347 yards, which is 5th and 19th in the NFL this season.

The Broncos have not found any consistency on offense this season. Denver has been able to score 186 points and gain 3006 yards of offense, which is 28th and 26th in the league this season. The Broncos have held their opponents to 254 points, which is 27th in the NFL. Denver has limited opposing teams to 3240 yards, which is 17th in the league.

The Dolphins have been able to score points this season, but have struggled to gain yards at times. Denver has been able to gain yards, but have struggled to put up points. The Broncos will need to limit turnovers because this Miami team has excelled at scoring off the turnover. If Denver can limit their turnovers on Sunday, it could give them a chance to keep it close and pull off the upset over the Dolphins.

Pick Overview

The Dolphins have been able to put together an impressive run so far, but going into Denver is another issue. Miami has not had to test Tagovailoa too much this season and I think that the Broncos will take advantage of that. Denver’s defense has some bright spots and if they can slow down Miami’s offense, it will give a good edge to the Broncos at home.

BetOnline has the Dolphins listed as a -4 against the spread in this one. This gives a solid edge to Miami on the road. Mile High is a tough place to play, which gives Denver a chance. If the Broncos can take a lead early, it will force Tagovailoa to pass, which could lead to some mistakes. I think Denver will come out hot in this one after being embarrassed by their division rival last week.

Denver Broncos +4
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.