Dolphins vs. Colts NFL Pick – Week 10

The Miami Dolphins will not go winless this season. Following a win over the New York Jets last week, 26-18, the Dolphins are in the win column finally. They join the Jets at 1-7 and leave the Bengals behind as the only winless team in the NFL. The Dolphins and Bengals play in December, which will give the Bengals even more reason to lose and tank on purpose. There are four teams in the NFL with just 1 win this season.

That being the Dolphins, Falcons, and Giants. The race to the bottom is heating up with the Bengals in the driver’s seat at the moment. Beating the Jets didn’t do much help. It’s nice for the current players to avoid getting embarrassed, but in the big picture, the Dolphins hurt their chance at getting the first overall pick in the draft considerably. It should be tank mode for the Dolphins now and not win mode. For the Jets, they get an embarrassing loss on their resume because of that awful performance.

The Indianapolis Colts welcome the 1-7 Dolphins to Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 10. The Colts enter with a record of 5-3 for 2nd in the AFC South. They’re a fringe team at the moment, with their odds of going to the playoffs up in the air. I think it could go either way with the Colts and will likely come down to the final two weeks of the regular season.

The Texans are within reach in the division, as they’re at 6-3 and on a bye week. A win against the Dolphins and the Colts are 1st in the AFC South. Because of the Colts’ win over the Texans in October, they currently own the tiebreaker. The Colts and Texans will meet again in two weeks for what is going to be their most important game of the year.

So, the Colts could win the division, go to the Wild Card Game, or miss out altogether. Everything is on the table for them at this point. T.Y. Hilton is unlikely to play on Sunday, but the Dolphins are dealing with a host of injuries on their side. Head below for our free Dolphins vs. Colts pick in Week 10 of the NFL.

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Week 10 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Dolphins +11(-110)
  • Colts -11(-110)

Total:

  • Over 44(-110)
  • Under 44(-110)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Dolphins vs. Colts Pick:

There was some concern that the retirement of Andrew Luck was going to derail the Colts’ season before it even began. However, Jacoby Brissett has calmed some nerves with his efficient play at quarterback this season. You do wonder what be of the Colts right now if Luck didn’t retire, though. In any event, Brissett has held his own and shown that he can be a starting QB in the NFL. He’s thrown 14 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions on the season, with a QBR of 99.7. He’s also rushed for 110 yards with a score on the ground. The offense isn’t going to be at 100% without Hilton, but they are fortunate that it’s the Dolphins this week and not the Texans.

The Dolphins are 29th in the NFL with 402.4 yards allowed per game. They’ve been pummeled for 32 points per game, which is last in the league. Against a dangerous defense, the Colts should be fine without Hilton here. Brissett has been limited in practice with a knee injury, but is expected to participate on Sunday. If he can’t go, the Colts still have a reliable veteran in Brian Hoyer. He threw for 3 touchdowns after Brissett went down last week and was a Adam Vinatieri field goal away from getting the Colts a win on the road. It doesn’t appear to be anything too serious for Brissett after it looked like it could have been much worse last week. The Dolphins are dealing with important injuries this week as well, so keep that in mind.

With Kenyan Drake getting traded, the Dolphins went down the depth chart and inserted Mark Walton as their No. 1 guy in the backfield. The Dolphins will not have Walton in this one because of a suspension. Also absent for the Dolphins will be No. 1 wide receiver, Preston Williams. Williams is lost for the entire season after a knee injury. Tough news for the 22-year-old rookie who was finding a rhythm on this terrible team, which isn’t easy to do in a situation like this on the Dolphins.

The Dolphins are fortunate that the Colts are still dealing with a banged up secondary, but expecting Ryan Fitzpatrick to do it minus his most potent weapon on the road should be difficult regardless. The injuries for the Colts have been referenced a lot this week in the media, though no Walton and Williams on the field hurts an already terrible Dolphins squad. After getting a win last week, the Dolphins likely feel content with that and go into Indianapolis without too much focus. And while this doesn’t look like a big game for the Colts because it’s the Dolphins, it actually is given their position in the AFC South. I’m not in love with this big spread, but the Colts should be able to get a 13 or 14-point win on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Bet
COLTS -11
Kyle E
Kyle E / author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.