Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars Week 3 Pick – NFL September 24

The NFL kicks off another great week of action on September 24. The Miami Dolphins and Jacksonville Jaguars will meet on Thursday night in a great game of action. These two teams have not been great to start out the season but will look to earn a big win in Week 3. This game will kick off at around 8:20 PM Eastern time on NFL Network.

The Dolphins finished out the previous season with a record of 5-11, which had them finish in last place of the AFC East. Miami has started off this season with a record of 0-2, which has them tied for last place of the AFC East. The Dolphins will look to bounce back from a Week 2 loss with a big road win on Thursday Night Football.

Jacksonville finished out last season with a record of 6-10, which had them sitting in fourth place of the AFC South. The Jaguars have earned a surprise record of 1-1 to open up this season, which has them in second place of the AFC South. Jacksonville lost a tight game in Week 2, which they will try to bounce back with a win at home.

These two teams struggled throughout the last season, finishing in last place of their respective divisions. Both teams are trying to turn it around a bit throughout this season though. I expect both teams to try and put up a strong performance throughout the first quarter as they kick off this primetime matchup on Thursday night.

Previous Matchups

Miami is coming off a matchup against the Buffalo Bills. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for two touchdowns and Jordan Howard ran for a touchdown as the Dolphins put up a solid matchup. Josh Allen had a great day, throwing for 417 yards and four touchdowns. The Dolphins defense could not shut down Allen in the fourth quarter, so look for their defense to step up on Thursday.

The Jaguars last game was a good divisional game as well against the Tennessee Titans. Ryan Tannehill threw for three touchdowns in the first half to help lead the Titans to a 24-10 lead. Gardner Minshew threw for two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to tie it up at 30-30. Stephen Gostkowski kicked a game winning field goal though as the Titans won 33-30.

These two teams are coming off tough losses in Week 2 of the season. Both teams lost by one score in a tight divisional game. I expect both teams to come out strong in Week 3 as they try and take an early lead. These two teams have started off the season with two divisional matchups. This game out of the division, will provide a good chance for both teams to get back on track.

Quarterback Comparison

Ryan Fitzpatrick will get the start under center for the Dolphins in Week 3. Fitzpatrick finished out last season by throwing for 3529 yards, 20 touchdowns and 13 interceptions for Miami. Fitzpatrick has started off this season throwing for 519 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He will look to have a good bounce back game on Thursday night primetime.

Gardner Minshew II will get the start at QB for the Jaguars in Week 3. Minshew started in 12 games throughout last season as a rookie. He threw for 3271 yards, 21 touchdowns and 6 interceptions throughout those starts. Minshew has thrown for 512 yards, 6 touchdown and 2 interceptions throughout this season so far.

These two teams have solid Quarterbacks leading their team. Both Quarterbacks can be very serviceable starters but can also struggle at times. Minshew has been on a much better start throughout this season, but Fitzpatrick did not look bad in Week 2. I expect both QB’s to limit mistakes on Thursday night as they try and earn a big win on the road.

Injury Report

The Dolphins are looking like they will be without Safety Clayton Fejedelem and Cornerback Byron Jones. With Byron Jones out, it could lead to a field day for the Jaguars passing game. Noah Igbinoghene and Xavien Howard both struggled against the Bills covering the top receivers. Clayton Fefedelem can come down and play in the slot corner spot, which will also help Jacksonville’s passing game.

Jacksonville is without their Kicker Josh Lambo and Offensive Lineman Brandon Linder. The Jaguars could also be without D.J. Chark Jr., their starting receiver. The Jaguars will start undrafted rookie Brandon Wright as their Kicker, which could lead to some uncertainty if the game comes down to field goals. This will likely make the Jaguars more willing to go for 4th and shorts on their opponents’ side of the field.

These two teams could be missing some key players for their Thursday night matchup, but I still expect both teams to come out hot. If the Jaguars are missing D.J. Chark Jr., it might make Miami’s absence of Byron Jones irrelevant. The battle in this game will be through the air, so look for both teams to control the passing game early.

Pick Overview

The Jaguars have been a surprising team throughout the first two games of the new season, but I think that the Dolphins will get the better of them in Week 3. Miami showed a lot of improvement in Week 3 against the Buffalo Bills. I believe that Ryan Fitzpatrick can go back and forth with Gardner Minshew in this one. If the Dolphins can control the time of possession in this game, I think they can pull off the upset.

BetOnline has Jacksonville listed as a -160 against the money line. This implies that the Jaguars will win this game around 61.5 percent of the time. I believe that this line is too big. I see a lot of similarities in Ryan Fitzpatrick and Gardner Minshew II. I expect both QB’s to go back and forth, which means this one can go either way. I like the Dolphins a bit more though and as solid underdogs, they have a lot of value.

The Bet
Miami Dolphins
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.