One of the league’s most improved teams in 2015 squares off against one of football’s most dysfunctional, as a resurgent Dolphins squad opens what they hope to be a promising campaign in the nation’s capital. For the Redskins, it has been yet another circus-like atmosphere in training camp surrounding their starter at quarterback. After a promising rookie season, Robert Griffin III has regressed badly and has also struggled to stay in the line-up. It is believed that Kirk Cousins will start under centre on Sunday, and Colt McCoy, not RG3 will serve as the back-up. For the Dolphins, it’s going to be very interesting to see their new-look offense and prized possession on defense, Ndamukong Suh in the teal and orange. This is really a match-up of two teams trending in vastly different directions. Miami looks poised to challenge the Pats for the AFC East crown, while Washington seems content to finish in the basement of their division once again. Despite the mismatch on paper, there’s a reason they play the games, and that’s where I come in. Read on below for the pick in this contest and a full game analysis.
Dolphins vs. Redskins Betting Odds:
Miami Dolphins -3 (-120)
@ Washington Redskins +3 (+100)
Over 43.5 (-110)
Under 43.5 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Dolphins vs. Redskins Pick:
With all the drama surrounding the Redskins at the quarterback position, you’d think that’d be Jay Gruden’s most pressing need to fill. But then you’d be wrong after looking at Washington’s dismal secondary. Once again in 2015, the Skins’ secondary is slated to be atrocious and among the NFL’s worst. Corners and safeties were exposed in the pre-season and as a result look for Miami’s new-look offense to get off to a flying start in its new era on Sunday.
Ryan Tannehill has emerged as a legitimate starting quarterback and with all of the weapons at his disposal, he should genuinely enjoy shredding Washington on Sunday afternoon. The likes of Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, Kenny Stills, and Jordan Cameron are all talented ball catchers, and will definitely hold decisive advantages over the personnel on the other side trying to cover them. Out of the backfield, Lamar Miller is a talented running back who will get even more of a shot in 2015. Washington was also awful at stuffing the run in 2014 and despite some personnel improvements, it remains to be seen if they can stop the chains on Sunday.
One of the biggest reasons Washington has had so many issues with RG3, has been their inability to protect him. Their offensive line is as porous as they come and still nothing has really been done to remedy that area. Washington has a particular weakness protecting from the right side and there is virtually no chance they’ll be able to slow down a vicious Miami pass rush and a hungry Ndamukong Suh looking to endear himself to the Dolphins faithful in his first game.
Simply put, the Dolphins are the far superior team in virtually every area imaginable. Out of all the Week 1 contests, I can’t imagine a more lopsided match-up than the Dolphins’ D-line going up against the Redskins’ offensive front. Kirk Cousins remains relatively untested at the professional level, and the amount of pressure he’ll receive on Sunday will be unprecedented. Look for multiple turnovers from the former Michigan St. Spartan en route to a statement victory for the Dolphins. While I do think they should win comfortably by a touchdown, it is important to get 3 points with some juice, opposed to 3.5 in this contest. Shop around for that line, and be happy when you do. Dolphins roll in Week 1.
PICK = Dolphins -3 (-120)