Dolphins vs. Texans NFL Pick – Week 8

We’ve been fortunate enough to have some decent Thursday night games this season. Last week was anything but, as the Denver Broncos blew out the Arizona Cardinals in a snoozer. It was over from the first pass of the game, with Josh Rosen throwing a pick-6 and that was basically the game. The Broncos extended their lead and it was never competitive. In Week 8 of Thursday Night Football, Brock Osweiler and the Miami Dolphins will travel to Texas for a meeting with the Houston Texans.

Osweiler will be making another start for the Dolphins, his third in a row in Miami. With Ryan Tannehill on the shelf, the starting job belongs to former Texan, Brock Osweiler. Shots have already been fired by the Texans. Jadeveon Clowney came out saying that they didn’t win a lot with Osweiler in Houston, which is true, but the Texans have gone 8-15 since Brock left. Give Deshaun Watson an offensive line and we might start talking about a 15-8 run for the Texans.

Watson has had to dance around often behind an offensive line that has struggled. He is taking far too many shots by defenders, which is going to have to be cleaned up for the future. If not, Watson isn’t going to last very long having to absorb all of this contact.

Part of it is just the nature of his style of play, but with that said, the offensive line providing better protection would allow him to stick in the pocket a little longer. In any case, a nice four-game run has them in playoff contention with a record of 4-3. After an 0-3 start, the Texans have won four in a row, with their most recent a 20-7 victory over the Jaguars in Jacksonville. The Texans will have their eyes set on their former QB in this one on Thursday night.

There was nothing wrong with Osweiler against the Lions despite a 32-21 loss. He passed for 239 yards and 2 touchdowns, hooking up with Danny Amendola for 84 yards and a touchdown to lead all receivers. Watson threw for 139 yards and a touchdown. He didn’t have to do much with the defense running laps around the Jaguars’ offense. Head below for our free Dolphins vs. Texans pick.

Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans NFL Week 8 Betting Odds:

Dolphins +7.5(-110)
vs. Texans -7.5 (-110)

Over 44(-110)
Under 44(-110)

Betting odds provided by

Dolphins vs. Texans Pick:

Even with a serviceable performance by Brock Osweiler, the Dolphins’ offense was average at best. They scored 21 points which isn’t enough to keep up with these high-powered offenses in the NFL this season. With scoring up as much as it is, it’s going to take an elite defense to be able to survive with an average offense.

Osweiler had one of the better games of his career against the Bears a week prior. He threw for 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, along with 380 yards in a 31-28 win in overtime. On the season, Osweiler has passed for 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, so this has been the best we’ve seen him since his time in Denver.

This will be his first start on the road, though, and it comes in primetime against his former team. There are some quarterbacks who rise up in these spots and put on a show. I remember when Joey Harrington was making his return to Detroit as a Dolphin and he had a career day. It was about the only highlight of his career. Osweiler will have to do it against a Texan defense who have been playing great football recently. In the last three weeks, they’ve collected 5 interceptions and held the opposition to an average of 12 points per game.

Since getting into a shootout with Andrew Luck, the Texans’ secondary has looked much better. They’ve risen to 12th in the NFL with 237.7 passing yards allowed per game. Overall, they are 9th with 329.9 yards allowed per game and 8th with 20.6 points surrendered. Osweiler will be without Albert Wilson and Kenny Stills as targets on Thursday night, so that will sting. The Dolphins will find it difficult to get help from their running game against a defense allowing an average of just 92.1 yards per game on the ground.

Conversely, the Dolphins are 27th with 405.3 yards allowed per game. Their defense is getting by on praise from previous seasons, but after allowing an average of 31.25 points the last four weeks, it’s becoming woefully obvious that they aren’t the same defense. I don’t expect this to be a welcoming homecoming for Osweiler either. He’s looked decent the last weeks, but expect him to get overwhelmed on the road against a defense who is familiar with him. Clowney and J.J. Watt will have people wondering why they bet on Osweiler.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.