Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NFL Sleeper Picks for the divisional round of The NFL Playoffs. These are some of my favorite cheap plays of the week that should be low owned. Like every NFL week, there are injury situations that you need to monitor all the way up until Saturday. So be sure to be on Twitter all weekend and watch all the other major news outlets to see which players are active or inactive. As always if these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
If you want help with NFL research for FanDuel and DraftKings check out the best fantasy tools out there at FantasyLabs.com
Want to win more money at DraftKings? Click here for our FREE lineup generator tool…
RB: Dion Lewis: (3,900) Lewis was worked in slowly after missing the first ten weeks of the season, but has now seen double digit carries in three straight games, averaging 8.7 DK points in this span. In these games, he has lead this Patriots trio of backs playing 37.7% of the snaps. He has seen less targets, but overall has seen a bigger workload with the increase in carries. He should still catch at least one pass in this game and I am expecting close to 15 touches for him this Saturday.
This Texans defense obviously has been great lately but they still rank 28th in DVOA vs RBs this season, and just allowed The Raiders RBs to score 18.5 DK points in last week’s wild card game. I am not expecting the world from Lewis, but I think at this cheap price he is one of the best ways to get exposure to The Patriots offense that has the highest implied team total of the slate at 29.5 points. Playing him also just makes your team different with most DFS players paying up at RB. Right now Lewis is nice GPP play but would become a core value if RB LeGarrette Blount misses this game after missing two practices this week with an illness.
WR: Terrance Williams: (3,100) I’m going to make a lot of lineups this weekend but most of them I will be focusing on rostering Le’Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliot, or both of the stud RBs. To do this I am going to have to take some risks with cheap WRs. Williams, going against this Packers secondary, is in a great spot and by the numbers has the best individual matchup off all the WRs in action by a very large margin. He is expected to be matched up with Packers CB Damarious Randall who has a low PFF player grade of 39.1 which is the worst grade of all the CBs playing this weekend by a ridiculous 32.1 points. He has been terrible all season allowing his opposing WRs to score 0.51 fantasy points per route.
This isn’t the only number pointing to a good game out of Williams, with The Packers ranking 29th in DVOA vs #2 WRs. He also was playing well at the end of the regular season averaging 11.2 DK points in his last two games. This Packers Cowboys game is definitely the best game of the four to target with a slate high O/U game total 52.5 points. With most of this secondary’s attention on Dez Bryant, Williams should see five or more targets and has upside going against Randall. At $3,100 with a projected low ownership of 5-8% (VIA FantasyLabs), Williams is one of my favorite overall plays of this Divisional playoff slate.
RB: Tevin Coleman: (4,500) RB Devonta Freeman is going to be popular this week and is a good play in his own right, but I think playing the cheaper Coleman is the way to go in GPPs if attacking this Falcons backfield. He ended the season on a good note, scoring 22.5 DK points vs The Panthers, and 14.9 DK points vs The Saints. He doesn’t touch the ball as much Freeman, but is always productive when he is on the field averaging 0.45 fantasy points per snap.
This is a difficult matchup for him with The Seahawks ranking 4th in DVOA vs RBs, but they have been weaker defending backs like Coleman ranking 22nd in DVOA defending short passes this year. I could see Freeman getting slowed down on the ground vs this defense which would lead to a few more looks for Coleman through the air. He should see 10-15 touches and has nice upside with his big play ability. With a cheaper price tag and a lower expected ownership (5-8% VIA FantasyLabs) Coleman is a great pivot off Freeman in GPPs this weekend.
QB: Alex Smith.
RB: Charcandrick West and C.J. Prosise (if he is active).
WR: Tyreek Hill, Paul Richardson, Michael Floyd, Chris Hogan (Mitchell is out), Jermaine Kearse, Eli Rogers, Mohamed Sanu, and Geronimo Allison (only if Jordy Nelson is out).
TE: Ryan Griffin, Jesse James, and Martellus Bennet.