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DraftKings NFL Week 4 Sleeper Picks

What’s up everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NFL Sleeper Picks for Week 4. These are some of my favorite cheap plays for the main slate that should hopefully come with low ownerships. Like every NFL week, there are injury situations that you need to monitor all the way up until Sunday kick off. So be sure to be on Twitter all weekend and watch all the other major news outlets to see which players are active or inactive. As always if these picks help you win or if you need any advice, feel free to let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

If you want help with NFL research for FanDuel and DraftKings check out the best fantasy tools out there at FantasyLabs.com

QB: Trevor Siemian: (5,200) Siemian’s showing vs The Bills was disappointing (9.65 DK points), but I think we need to put this in perspective because there is no way he should get overlooked this week vs The Raiders. First off, last Sunday he was on the road, facing a Bills defense that has been elite vs QBs. After the first three weeks of the NFL season, this Bills unit ranks 3rd in pass DVOA, and only has only surrendered 11 DK points per game to opposing QBs, which is the second lowest average in the league. Prior to this weak game, Siemian was playing great football, averaging 24.15 DK points a game, on a 106.9 QB rating in his first two games, which both took place at home in Denver, which is where he will be this week in a beautiful matchup vs Oakland. Up until this point of the season, this Raider defense ranks 28th in pass DVOA and has allowed 21.8 DK points a game to QBs. Just last week, they got completely embarrassed by Redskins’ QB Kirk Cousins, who threw for 365 yards, three TDs, with no picks, while completing a week high 83.3% of his passes. (29.8 DK points)

Cousins ended up having the highest QB rating of the week, and it’s hard to envision Siemian and this Broncos offense not getting back on track vs this very questionable defense in front of their home crowd. The Vegas odd makers clearly think very low of this defense as well, giving The Broncos a healthy implied team total of 24.75 points. He should produce 20+ DK points in this spot and is a very intriguing value play that could go low owned in GPPs. (As we get closer to Sunday, Siemian is now one of the most talked about QB plays of the week. Fantasy Labs has moved his ownership all the way from 2-4% to 13-16%. This is unfortunate, but either way Siemian is still one of my favorite QB targets of the slate, and is someone I will be using in all formats) 

WR: Travis Benjamin: (3,900) Even as The Chargers’ third WR, Benjamin’s playing time has remained consentient in the early stages of the season, playing an average of 64.2% of the team’s offensive snaps, which is the second most of this receiving group, only trailing Keenan Allen. Last week, he had his best game so far, hauling in five of his eight targets for 108 yards in a tough matchup against The Chiefs who rank 9th in pass DVOA. (19.4 DK points) He won’t lead this team in targets, but he has been very effective with every chance he has gotten, averaging a very solid 2.32 DK points per target.

The targets should keep coming his way this week vs a beaten up Eagles secondary. Out of the three Los Angeles’ WRs, Benjamin by far has the best individual matchup against CB Jalen Mills, who has a low PFF grade of 41.1, compared to Allen and Tyrell Williams’ opposing CBs, who both have PPF grades over 80 this year. Furthermore, this Eagles secondary currently ranks 25th in DVOA vs #3 WRs this season. With not many intriguing cheap WR options available this week, Benjamin at only $3,900, in my opinion, is one of the strongest WR punts of DraftKings’ main slate.

TE: Jared Cook: (3,400) Cook has been solid so far as The Raiders’ new starting TE, averaging 10.5 DK points a contest. He is coming off his best performance in a black and silver uniform, catching four of his six targets for 43 yards and TD against The Redskins on Sunday night. (14.3 DK points) The veteran TE has been working himself into this offense, and his snaps have been trending up every week, all the way up to 80.4% this past Sunday. The six targets he saw vs The Redskins was tied for the most on the team, and he should remain busy in Week 4 vs The Broncos. It’s no debate that Denver is still one of the best defensive teams in the league, but they have been weak at defending TEs this season, which makes sense, with their two premier corners in Aquib Talib and Chris Harris Jr. locking up WRs on the outside.

After week 3, The Broncos rank 25th in DVOA vs TEs, are giving up 16.5 DK points a game to TEs, and currently have the highest opponent +/- of the week at 6.2 points. (via Fantasy Labs) Cook should see plenty of looks in this game and has a chance to lead this Raider offense in targets, especially if Raiders’ WR Michael Crabtree misses this game. (questionable, chest) Choosing which TE you want to roster in DFS is always a tricky task, particularly this week. Cook seems like one of the most logical options at the position, that has a steady a floor and decent ceiling, at a very reasonable price.

Also Consider:

QB: Deshaun Watson, Tyrod Taylor, and Eli Manning.

RB: Joe Mixon (As I guessed last week, Mixon got more opportunities with The Bengals change at OC. He led this backfield in snaps with 21 touches and should continue to be the main back), Bilal Powell (solid price if Forte is out), Wendell Smallwood (played the most snaps by an Eagles RB last week with Darren Sproles getting hurt. Sproles is now on IR and Smallwood should lead this backfield in touches), C.J. Anderson (potential bounce back at home vs Oakland who gives up 23.5 DK points to backs), Paul Perkins (his O-line is horrendous, but is in play if both Shane Vereen and Orleans Darkwa are out), Andre Ellington, and Duke Johnson Jr. (if active, currently dealing with a shoulder injury).

WR: Demaryius Thomas (my preferred WR to stack with Siemian), Jeremy Maclin, Rishard Matthews, Bruce Ellington (if Will Fuller is inactive. Played 98% of snaps in Week and posted a very nice line of 4/59/1), Will Fuller (if he is active), Brandon Marshall, Marquise Lee, and Devin Funchess (if Kelvin Benjamin is out).

TE: Evan Engram, Charles Clay, Ryan Griffin, and Tyler Kroft (98.3% of snaps with Eifert out). *As you can see I like going cheap at TE this week. One GPP strategy I will be using is to roster two of these cheap TEs with one in the flex. This will allow you to pay up for the high end WR and RBs you want, but will also make your lineup contrarian, as it usually isn’t common to deploy two TEs in one lineup. 

D: Cowboys, Patriots, Browns, and Cardinals.

 

 

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