Welcome back everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NFL Sleeper Picks for Week 6. These are some of my favorite cheap plays for the main slate that should hopefully come with low ownerships. Like every NFL week, there are injury situations that you need to monitor all the way up until Sunday kick off. So be sure to be on Twitter all weekend and watch all the other major news outlets to see which players are active or inactive. As always if these picks help you win or if you need any advice, feel free to let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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WR: Desean Jackson: (5,800) Coming off a strong showing vs The Pats last Thursday (5/9/106, 18.6 DK points), DJax now gets a gorgeous matchup vs Cardinals CB Justin Bethel. So far this year, Bethel has looked awful covering #2 WRs, allowing 1.93 yards per route covered, resulting in a low PFF grade of 44.2. This past Sunday we saw him get exposed by Eagles #2 WR Torrey Smith for a line of three catches on four targets for 70 yards, including a long 50 yard TD. (16 DK points) We all know how good Cardinals top CB Patrick Peterson is, and he should shadow Mike Evans for most of this game, naturally leading Jameis Winston to look for Jackson more often.
In a similar situation against The Vikings two weeks ago, when Vikings top CB Xavier Rhodes shadowed Evans, Jackson had arguably his best game as a Buc, catching four of his seven targets for 84 yards and a TD. (18.4 DK points) Jackson even at his age is still one of the best deep threats in the game, averaging 17.8 yards per reception this season, and he has a great chance to haul in another long one against Bethal and this secondary that ranks 27th in deep pass DVOA. I absolutely love Jackson in this spot and I will be overweight with him in GPPs this weekend.
QB: Josh McCown: (5,200) McCown hasn’t been perfect as The Jets starting QB (12.9 DK PPG), but this week he couldn’t ask for better situation than taking on The Patriots at home. The Pats, on paper, look like a strong defensive unit, but they have been the complete opposite of that so far this season. After Week 5, this New England defense ranks dead last in pass DVOA, dead last in team DVOA, and has surrendered an absurd 28.6 DK points a game to QBs, which is the highest mark in the league, by a large 4.8 DK points. (9.8 opponent +/-)
Furthermore, they have been barley intercepting QBs, with a current TD/INT ratio of 12/3. The Jets’ current implied team total isn’t ideal at 19 points, but they are at home and are 9.5 point underdogs, which should force McCown to approach 35-40 attempts in this game. I am not expecting a 30 DK point outing from McCown, but he should approach 20 DK points, which would be an excellent return at his price. I will be pairing him with WR Jermaine Kearse or TE Austin Seferain-Jenkins, and don’t really mind all three players in the same lineup if you want to go with a full Jets stack, which is for sure to be a very contrarian strategy in GPPs.
TE: George Kittle: (3,200) The rookie TE out of Iowa showed us the upside he has as The Niners starting TE last week vs The Colts, hauling in seven of his nine targets for 83 yards and a TD. (21.3 DK points) This performance shouldn’t have come as a surprise, as he has played the second most offensive snaps on this Niners team this season, with 73% of his snaps being on passing plays. He is now in a great position to have another productive day, vs a Redskins defense that has been pitiful at defending TEs. Through their first four games, this Redskin defense is allowing 6.25 catches, 90.25 yards, and 0.5 TD a game to opposing TEs.
They currently rank 29th in DVOA vs TEs and have a high current opponent +/- of 4.9 points, which is the best matchup for any TE in this main slate. (via Fantasy Labs) The game flow should also be in Kittle’s favor, as The Niners are 11 point road underdogs, and should be forced to air out for most of this contest. His price only bumped up $700 from his breakout game last Sunday and I think Kittle is one the sneakier TE plays of the week, as Fantasy Labs is only projecting him to be owned somewhere between 5-8% in large GPPs.
QB: Derek Carr (if active), Kevin Hogan, and Brian Hoyer.
RB: Chris Thompson, James White, Duke Johnson Jr., Javorius Allen, Elijah McGuire, and Doug Martin.
WR: Adam Theilen (bump up if Diggs is out), Terrelle Pryor, Davante Adams (Rhodes should shadow Nelson), Amari Cooper (only if Carr is back), Will Fuller, Jermaine Kearse, Taylor Gabriel, Jamison Crowder, and Ricardo Lewis (nine and eight targets the last two weeks while also leading the offense in snaps).
TE: Zach Miller (saw a team high seven targets last week with Mitchell Trubisky under center), Jordan Reed (really nice price for him coming off the bye, but may end up being popular), Austin Seferian-Jenkins, and Ryan Griffin.
D: Falcons, Jags, Buc, Packers, and Chiefs.