Welcome back everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NFL Sleeper Picks for Week 7. These are some of my favorite cheap plays of the week that should hopefully come with low ownerships. Like every NFL week, there are injury situations that you need to monitor all the way up until Sunday kick off. So be sure to be on Twitter all weekend and watch all the other major news outlets to see which players are active or inactive. As always if these picks help you win or if you need any advice, just let me know on Twitter.@Hunta512.
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TE: Hunter Henry: (4,200) Finally, The Chargers are featuring Henry as their main TE over the 37 year old Antonio Gates. For the first three weeks of the season, the two TEs were essentially splitting the snaps, but ever since Week 3, Henry has slowly increased his playing time each week. From Week 4 to Week 6, he has now played, 61.4%, 75.64%, and 83.8% of the snaps, while Gates has stayed in a smaller role at an average of 57% of the snaps during this stretch. He has been solid with the increase of snaps, seeing 16.5% of the targets, 12.24% of the redzone opportunities, and scoring 12.3 DK points a game.
Now, Henry heads home to take on a Bronco’s defense, that has been soft against TEs. Their two elite corners, Chris Harris and Aquib Talib, are forcing QBs to look down the middle for their TEs, and this defense has surrendered 16.3 DK points a game to opposing TEs. They rank 30th in DVOA vs TEs and currently possess a high opponent +/- of 5.2 points, which is easily the best matchup for any active TE in Sunday’s main slate. The price tag is still low at $4,200 and Henry is a very nice pivot off the trendy Evan Engram in GPPs. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
RB: C.J. Prosise: (4,100) Ever since RB Chris Carson went down for the season (leg,ankle), The Seahawks have had an absolutely pitiful running attack led by Eddie Lacy and Thomas Rawls. In the first game after the Carson injury, these two backs only gained 63 total scrimmage yards in Week 6 against The Rams. Prosise, who was the main passing back to the start year, is expected to be ready to go, coming off their bye week and after missing their last two contests due to an ankle injury. Without a question, when healthy, Prosise is their most talented player in the backfield. Now that he is healthy, he should jump right back into being the primary receiving back, but I also think he will get some carries and a crack at being this team’s featured back after how ineffective Rawls and Lacy have been in his and Carson’s absence.
He has only seen a total of four carries up until this point of the season, but before suffering a season ending shoulder injury at the end of last year, Prosise was extremely effective in his highest snap count of the season, putting up 22.3 DK points vs The Pats, which included 17 carries for 66 yards on the ground and him catching all seven of his targets for 87 yards through the air. As expected, he was a very popular name going into the next week, and in that game, he produced 76 yards and a TD with only four carries vs The Eagles before his season and this game was cut short due to the shoulder. Even when you include the minimal numbers he has from this season, Prosise is averaging 1.25 DK points per touch ever since that breakout game vs The Pats last November. If he sees say around 10-15 touches this Sunday, which he should if this coaching staff isn’t out of their minds, Prosise has a real chance against a Giants defense that ranks 27th in rush DVOA and 23rd in DVOA against receivers from out of the backfield. Plenty of things have to go in his favor to succeed this week, making him a very risky option, but coming off the bye, this seems like the time to buy low on Prosise’s talent in GPPs, as he is expected to come with almost no ownership. (0-1% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs) UPDATE: After practicing all week, Prosise sounds like he will be out or play a very small role via Ian Rapoport. He shouldn’t be considered now even at his cheap salary.
WR: Ricardo Louis: (4,200) Over the last three weeks, Louis has become The Browns #1 WR, with Kenny Britt sidelined (knee, groin). The scores haven’t been flashy (9.6 DK PPG), but Louis has led this offense in snaps, averaging 79% of the snaps, and seeing a team high 21.2% of the team’s targets during this span. Last week was his most underwhelming performance as the top target, catching three of his seven targets for 25 yards vs The Texans (5.5 DK points), but this slow outing was mostly due to the terrible play from his QB Kevin Hogan, who did almost nothing for this offense, ultimately leading to him being the worst rated QB of Week 6. (38.6 QBR) This was Hogan’s first start of the season and presumably his last, as The Browns have already renamed DeShone Kizer as their starting QB for their Week 7 matchup against The Titans.
Kizer is no prize himself, but in the two previous games with him under center, Louis topped double digit DK points in both games, and will have a nice opportunity to get back on track going against this Titans defense that ranks 25th in pass DVOA and has given up 37.2 DK points a game to WRs. Louis will mostly be played by Titans CB Adoree’ Jackson, who has a low PFF grade of 50.9 this season. He has a clear size advantage over this corner, standing four inches taller and weighing 40 more pounds than Jackson. Assuming the volume remains steady, Louis should score 10-15 DK points with nice upside, if he can find the end zone for the first time this season, which is certainly possible with the smaller Jackson defending him. He isn’t the sexiest pick, but Louis is a very usable value play in this difficult slate that may get lost in the shuffle after last week’s poor performance. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
QB: Brett Hundley, DeShone Kizer, and Blake Bortles.
RB: Duke Johnson Jr. (should also benefit from Kizer being back), Carlos Hyde, Alvin Kamara, Derrick Henry (awesome play if Demarco Murray is out), Joe Mixon, and Orleans Darkwa.
WR: Devin Funchess (sizable bump if Kelvin Benajmin is out), Davante Adams, Rishard Matthews, John Brown, Jermiane Kearse (should be matched up with Xavien Howard who has a very low PFF grade of 38), and Bennie Fowler.
TE: Jimmy Graham (Giants allow second most DK points to TEs, including six TDs), Kyle Rudolph (better if Diggs ruled out), Tyler Kroft, and George Kittle.
D: Vikings, Jags, Chargers, and Rams.