Alex here and below are my DraftKings Sleeper Picks for the Week 8 Sunday main slate. If you looking for cash game plays, be sure to read my first article for Week 8, via this link. As always, be sure to be watching all the news outlets up until kickoff and if you need any advice, feel free to ask me on Twitter. @Hunta512.
RB: Philip Lindsay: (5,200)
Lindsay has been solid all season long (13.1 DK PPG), but this week, he finally has a chance to really shine, with fellow Broncos’ RB Royce Freeman not expected to play. (ankle) In Week 7 vs The Cardinals, the game that Freeman got hurt (30.5% of the snaps), Lindsay was great in a season high 59.3% of the snaps, rushing 14 times for 90 yards a TD and catching his lone target for six yards. (16.6 DK points) We should expect a similar snap share for him this week, with Devontae Booker logging about 30%, in an awesome matchup vs The Chiefs, who are 26th in overall DVOA and dead last in rush DVOA. The first time Lindsay and The Broncos faced this division rival this season, the rookie back had 12/69/1 rushing and 2/10/0 receiving. (15.9 DK points) The game script clearly isn’t in his favor (KC -10), but even if this game goes as expected, Lindsay should still lead the way in RB snaps and be somewhat active in the passing game.
The bottom line is we are getting one of the most productive RBs this season with an expanded role in a strong matchup. Lindsay is averaging 1.3 DK points per touch and he has scored over double digit DK points in every game this season, outside of one, which was a contest he was ejected from and only played 11 snaps. (Week 3 vs The Ravens) He has a pretty solid floor and the upside is decent, depending on if he can find the endzone or get the 100 yard rushing bonus. With RB stacked up top, Lindsay should be way under owned in GPPs. (9-12% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
TE: Travis Kelce: (6,800)
With the strong high end options at RB and WR this week, I just don’t see many people paying up at TE. Kelce is a name that will never go completely under the radar, but I think we might possibly see an ownership under 10% in big GPPs this week. His production has slowed down a little the past two games (12.8 DK PPG), but he should return to form this Sunday vs The Broncos. This secondary still has a decent group of corners, led by Chris Harris Jr., and their strong play over the last two seasons has led to QBs feeding their TEs down the middle.
Last season, they were 31st in DVOA vs TEs and this season they are 23rd. Furthermore, in 2017, they gave up the third most YPC to the position and so far this year, they have given up the most. at 14.97 YPC. No matter who has been throwing him the ball, Kelce has always been Andy Reid’s main weapon in this divisional matchup, with him scoring 18.04 DK PPG in eight career meetings. In his last four vs the division rival, Kelce is scoring 26.8 DK PPG, at an average line of 8.25/118/0.75. He has scored a TD in each of their last three vs Denver and he should put up another TD in Week 8, with The Chiefs having the second highest implied team total of the main slate. (31.75 points) To be contrarian, I think it is a wise move to roster Kelce in GPPs this week.
WR: Martavis Bryant: (3,700)
Playing Bryant is never easy, but with Cooper traded to The Cowboys, Bryant has a chance to contribute. Before he was traded, Cooper suffered a concussion early in their last game. He only played 20% of the snaps and after he exited, Bryant came in and logged a season high 71.6% vs The Seahawks. He only caught 2/3 targets for 18 yards, but this week’s matchup is far better, vs The Colts, who are 21st in pass DVOA, compared to The Seahawks, who currently rank 3rd.
The Raiders also just had their bye week, so Jon Gruden and this coaching staff have had some time to figure out how to get Bryant more involved, sans Cooper. This game has the fourth highest game total (50.5 points) and The Raiders should be throwing it the whole game, as three point underdogs, and with possibly a new game plan, with Marshawn Lynch (groin) on IR. There are many “ifs” in this situation, creating plenty of risk, but Bryant’s speed, big play ability, and new role, make him a worthy gamble at a low cost.
QB: Mitch Trubisky (a crazy 38.1 DK PPG in his last three. Their defense has shown holes during this stretch, making all of these games shootouts. If the trend continues and The Jets can score on them, Trubisky may be forced to air it out again. But, Vegas says this is unlikely, favoring The Bear by 7.5, making Trubisky a GPP play only) and Derek Carr. (has been dreadful, averaging 10.5 DK PPG in his last two, but this a great spot vs The Colts and who knows, he may play better with Cooper and Lynch gone from this offense)
RB: David Johnson (with a new OC in town, there is hope for DJ and he is playing the Niners at home. This defense is 23rd in overall DVOA and 18th in rush), Jordan Howard (finally scored his second TD of the season last week in the loss to The Pats. As I talked about with Trubisky, the game flow of the last three has made The Bears a pass heavy offense. If they do their job and shut down The Jets at home, Howard should be in line for close to 20 touches to run out the clock and he is always a threat to score multiple TDs. This is the cheapest Howard has been in nearly two years), and Nyhiem Hines. (if Marlon Mack is out, currently questionable with an ankle injury. In the two before Mack returned, Hines was scoring 22.2 DK PPG)
WR: Odell Beckham Jr. (such a cheap price for OBJ and he is averaging 26.2 DK PPG in his last five vs The Redskins), Jarvis Landry, Brandin Cooks (to pivot off Woods. Cooks scored 17.1 DK points in the blowout effort over The Niners without Cooper Kupp last week), Golden Tate, Jermaine Kearse (put up a zero last week playing 64/71 snaps with Quincy Enunwa out. Terrelle Pryor is now gone and Enunwa will remain sidelined. The matchup vs The Bears is dreadful, but nobody is going to play him and Kearse could see double digit targets), and Josh Reynolds. (only one catch last week, but Reynolds played 91% of the snaps without Kupp. Like Kearse, nobody is going to own him and the reward out-weighs the risk for a full time Rams’ player this cheap)
TE: George Kittle (Cardinals are 25th in DVOA vs TEs) and Christopher Herndon. (only $2,800 and has scored in two straight games. He is only playing 40% of the snaps, but is clearly involved in the passing game plan, garnering 4.5 TPG in these two. This week he plays The Bears, who are by at their weakest down the middle, ranking 18th in DVOA vs TEs, and 27th in DVOA vs middle of the field passes)
D: Redskins, Chiefs, and Bengals.