DraftKings Week 17 NFL Picks

Hey everybody. I’m back again for Week 17 of the NFL season and I hope everyone had a profitable Week 16. Pretty crazy this is the last week of the regular season so hope we can take advantage of this last week to end the season on a high note. Looking back at my picks from Week 16, it was a solid week for me. My three quarterback picks of Carr, Brees and Bortles all put up decent numbers especially Bortles who put up 29 DK points.

At running back, McCoy had a big game with 28.5 DK points. Hyde had a decent game putting up 14.2 DK points, which could’ve been much more had he not gotten injured. Gore averaged 5.6 yards per carry, but didn’t find the endzone which was slightly disappointing. He hasn’t had a rush touchdown in his last 6 games.

At receiver, Ted Ginn saw 9 targets but only caught 3 of them for a dismal fantasy day. My favorite tournament play was Cam Meredith and he didn’t disappoint. He caught 9 balls for 135 yards and a touchdown for 31.5 DK points. It could’ve been even bigger but he got touched at the 1 yard line on one of his catches (which Jeremy “vulture” Langford then punched in for the score instead of Jordan Howard. I’m still a bit bitter about that if you can’t tell). Edelman was another decent play at 13.9 points, showing why he’s the cash game king right now always scoring in double figures.

My tight end picks were solid and could’ve been much better if Brate didn’t get injured. Seems like there were a ton of injuries this week. Brate caught 1 pass, but thankfully it was for a 12 yard touchdown. Gates went off for 8 catches and 94 yards with a touchdown for 23.4 DK points. The Patriots were the obvious play at defense and they produced with 17 DK points. My tournament play of the Packers had a decent outing as well with 8 DK points thanks to 4 sacks and 2 fumbles.

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With it being week 17, it’s more important to know which teams have motivation to win and which teams may rest starters and have nothing to play for. Here’s a great article by Adam Levitan going through each playoff team’s motivation and I’d highly suggest you give it a read.

Quarterbacks

ATL Matt Ryan ($7400) – The Falcons can clinch the #2 seed in the NFC with a win against the Saints at home. This game has the highest over/under at an absurd 56.5 points and the Falcons have the highest implied team total at 32 points. This has the potential to be the shootout of the year, a sequel to their 45-32 game in New Orleans in September. The Saints are still a bad defense and Matt Ryan should torch them again, with Drew Brees keeping up the pace as well.

WAS Kirk Cousins ($6500) – Cousins will face off against the Giants at home in a game that is meaningless for the Giants. This game does mean something for Washington though because with a win they’re in the playoffs, but if they lose they’re out. The Giants are expected to play their starters very little so Cousins should see an entire defense made up of second stringers. Cousins has been nothing short of a fantastic quarterback this season and look for him to continue that this week.

*Tournament* DET Matthew Stafford ($6000) – Stafford is in a do or die game against the Packers on Sunday Night Football. Rodgers is obviously a great play here as well, but Stafford is at home facing a defense that he lit up for 30.5 DK points in September. The Packers still have one of the worst secondaries in the league as they rank 20th in pass defense DVOA. Sam Bradford and Adam Thielen carved them up last week with Bradford throwing for 382 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Running Backs

ATL Devonta Freeman ($7000) – Freeman is my favorite running back play of the week. He’s been the home favorite between him and Coleman, and this week they play the Saints in Atlanta in what should be a touchdown fest. The Saints rank 31st in pass defense DVOA to running backs and Freeman is coming off a game in which he caught 8 passes. The last time these two teams played, Freeman went off for 34.7 DK points.

SEA Thomas Rawls ($5800) – I hope people shy away from Rawls given his injury this past week, but he is back to healthy after practicing in full all week. The Seahawks need to win and Atlanta to lose to secure the #2 seed and with both teams playing at the same time the Seahawks should be a full go against the lowly 49ers. The 49ers are a historically bad rush defense ranking last in the league in yards per carry, yards per game, touchdowns, runs over 20 yards and runs over 40 yards. Basically, Rawls is in a great spot and at just $5800 he’s a great price as well. Lock him in.

*Tournament* PIT Fitzgerald Toussaint ($4300) – LeVeon Bell has already been ruled out for the game against the Browns, leaving most the work to Toussaint and DeAngelo Williams. Most people are going to gravitate to Williams, but Fitzgerald should see a decent amount of work against the JV squad that is the Cleveland Browns. DeAngelo hasn’t played since week 9 due to a lingering knee injury. Most projections have Fitz having the better day with more work, coming at $1200 cheaper.

Wide Receivers

WAS DeSean Jackson ($5600) – I’ll be all over the Redskins receivers this week as they should see a ton of the second and third stringers. DeSean just had his third consecutive game of at least 100 yards, which is the first time in his career he’s done that. Cousins to any of the receivers is solid play this week, but the big play ability of Jackson is the most enticing.

*Tournament* IND – TY Hilton ($7600) – I have him as a tournament option because of the players he’s around who should take away a ton of ownership. He’s sandwiched between Jordy Nelson, Mike Evans, Doug Baldwin, Brandin Cooks and Michael Thomas. All of those guys are going to be extremely popular this week as they’re in good spots and had solid outings last week. T.Y. has quietly led the league in receiving and will need one more good game to secure that title. I’m sure both him and Andrew Luck are aware of that. Although the Colts are done, they are playing at home where Bill Polian will be inducted to the Ring of Honor which should keep the fans in the stands and give the Colts some sort
of motivation to go out there and give them a show in what’s been an extremely disappointing season.

*Cash* NE Julian Edelman ($6400) – The King of Cash. Edelman has been extremely consistent the last few months having at least 13 DK points in 9 straight games. The Patriots need to win to secure the #1 seed in the AFC. If they lose and Oakland wins, Oakland takes the #1 seed so motivation should be in full force here for the Pats. Look for Edelman to get his once again.

TIGHT END

*Cash* KC Travis Kelce ($5000) – Kelce is going to be one of the most owned players on the slate and for good reason. His $5000 price tag isn’t that expensive and he is a cash game must this week. Kelce has at least 100 yards in 5 of his last 6 games with the explosion last week of 36 DK points. The Chiefs still have a shot at the #2 seed in the AFC and the first round bye if they beat the Chargers and the Matt McGloin Raiders lose to Denver. The Chargers shouldn’t be too much of an issue for Kelce as they rank in the middle of the league against the position.

*Tournament* SEA Jimmy Graham ($4500) – Graham has fallen off a cliff recently, but I have faith in the talented tight end this week as one of my favorite tournament plays. All of the ownership will be on Kelce and this might be a good time to jump on Graham as he’s facing the 49ers in a game the Seahawks should dominate. Last time they faced, he caught 6 balls for 100 yards and a touchdown. Like I mentioned earlier, if the Seahawks win and the Falcons lose, the Seahawks would take the #2 seed. Full go from the Seattle starters against the struggling 49ers defense.

Defenses/Special Teams

Arizona Cardinals ($3000) – At only $3000, the Cardinals are in a great spot to easily pay off that salary. They play at Los Angeles against Jared Goff who’s thrown over 200 yards just twice in his six starts, including 90 last week against the 49ers…Lock em in.

Minnesota Vikings ($3800) – The Vikings have had an ugly end to the season and will have tons of motivation to end their season on a high note at home against the Bears. Barkley is an interception machine at this point after throwing 5 more last week and 3 the week before. Vikings should be able to get a few picks and hopefully take one to the endzone.

Thanks again and follow me on Twitter! @Keagan28