What’s up everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NFL Sleeper Picks for Wild Card Weekend. These are some of my favorite cheap plays of the week that should be low owned. Also if you are looking for more DraftKings picks for this weekend check out Keegans article. Like every NFL week, there are injury situations that you need to monitor all the way up until Sunday. So be sure to be on Twitter all weekend and watch all the other major news outlets to see which players are active or inactive. As always if these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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RB: Paul Perkins: (4,100) Perkins is coming off the best game of his young career, rushing for 102 yards on 21 carries last week vs The Redskins. (13.2 DK points) He has slowly started to become The Giants main back seeing 15,11,15, and 21 carries over the last month. In this span he has been the Giants most effective back averaging 4.37 yards a carry compared to Rashad Jennings 2.98 yards per carry. Last week was also the first time he out snapped Jennings, playing 51.3% of the snaps with Jennings playing 38.8%.
Jennings is the veteran and will obviously will still be involved in this important game, but I think Perkins is the back who sees the most touches this Sunday. This is an average matchup for him with The Packers ranking 15th in DVOA vs RBs, but have allowed a high 4.6 yards per carry to opposing RBs since week 14. He has solid upside if he finds the endzone and is a nice value for this four game slate at $4,100.
RB: Deandre Washington: (3,300) Just Like Perkins, Washington saw his role increase as the regular season came to a close. The Raiders have been using a RBBC all season, but after being completely out of the rotation just a few weeks ago, Washington played 32.8% of the snaps in Week 16, and a team high 38.8% in Week 17. With rookie QB Connor Cook getting his first start ever,on the road, and in a playoff game this weekend, The Raiders should rely heavily on the running game, and I think it is Washington who leads this backfield in touches. He also shouldn’t be affected on how this game goes because he is arguably the Raiders best receiving RB and should see some targets, if they are playing catch up.
He may not play the role of a feature back, but he has produced when he has been on the field lately, averaging a high 0.64 fantasy points per snap in his last two games. This Texans defense has been much better lately, but they still are 28th in DVOA vs RBs this season. I think we Washington gets close to 15 touches in this game which is more than enough for him to hit value at his cheap price. With this small of a slate, it is always very hard to find cheap players who actually have a shot of producing at a low ownership. Right now, he is currently projected with a low ownership of 2-4%. This makes him even more appealing and he is the perfect GPP target this weekend at a cheap salary of $3,300.
WR: Kenny Stills: (3,800) Stills has now scored in each of the last three games with QB Matt Moore under center. In these three games, he has played an average of 80% the snaps and is averaging 12.9 DK points on six targets a game. This Sunday The Dolphins head to Pittsburgh to take on The Steelers and are the biggest underdogs of the weekend with The Steelers are favored by 10.5 points. They will most likely be trailing for most of this game and will have to throw the ball a lot if they want any chance of this game staying close.
This is great news for Stills who should see plenty of targets and a few deep shots vs this Steelers defense. This is an ugly matchup with The Steelers allowing the 7th fewest DK points to WRs, but they are vulnerable defending the deep ball ranking 18th in DVOA vs deep passes this year. Even though Stills has produced in the last three weeks, DraftKings hasn’t adjusted his price and he is still way too cheap at $3,800. He could be very busy this Sunday and is my favorite cheap WR play of this wild card slate.
QB: Matt Moore and Matt Stafford.
RB: Lamar Miller, Zach Zenner (best value of slate, will be very popular), and Ty Montegomery.
WR: Paul Richardson, Eli Rogers, Sterling Sheppard, Geronimo Allison (if Cobb is out), Anquan Boldin, and Jarvis Landry.
TE: Jesse James (if Ladrius Green is out), Jared Cook, C.J. Fiedorowicz, and Dion Sims.
D: Raiders and Packers.