Eagles Bills Pick – Spread, Over Under NFL Week 5

The records from these teams come as total surprise at this point in the season. If you look at them blindly without watching football this season, one would think the Eagles should be 3-1. In fact, the Bills are 3-1 and the Eagles are sputtering.

The so called “dream team” choked away a 20-3 lead at halftime to fall 24-23. The halftime lead definitely should have been larger. I’m sure you saw the Ronnie Brown mishap at the goal line by now. If you didn’t, Brown plunged into a wall of defenders out of the wildcat, and instead of putting his head down and picking up what he can; he attempted to lateral the ball. It was the most boneheaded play I have seen in quite some time. The loss negated a 416 yard passing effort by Michael Vick, which was the top in week 4.

The offense had trouble in the red zone once again. In fact, in the Eagles last two games, they have had ten snaps inside the opposition’s 5-yard-line and came up without a touchdown in all of them. Furthermore, the Eagles have had one red-zone turnover in every game this year. It is certainly obvious why the Eagles are 1-3, but the defense has been susceptible as well. Without capable linebackers, they are getting gashed up the middle on a regular basis. The winning Frank Gore touchdown for the 49ers was in fact a run up the gut. Gore finished with 127 yards on the ground against the 30th run defense in the league. Alex Smith even torched them through the air 291 yards and 2 TDs. The pass defense was expected to be on the elite level, but their 11th ranked pass defense leaves a lot to be desired. The offense on the other hand, is playing to expectations with 434.8 yards a game for 4th best in the NFL. Michael Vick looks human this year, but he is still picking teams apart with his legs and arm. Health wise, he looked fine against the 49ers after leaving early the previous week.

The Bills are coming into week 5 with a bitter sweet feeling in their mouth. After a perfect 3-0 start, the Bills fell to the Bengals last week by a score of 23-20. After the Bills defeated the Patriots in week 3, a letdown was certainly not surprising against the Bengals. The Bills have benefited from a high powered offense that is 9th in the league with just under 400 yards a game. The offense is led by Harvard product Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has quieted critics quickly this season. Fitzpatrick is averaging 254 yards passing a game, and has looked unstoppable at home. He had a down week against the Bengals, but he should come back to form in the comforts of Ralph Wilson Stadium.

Eagles vs. Bills Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
@Buffalo Bills +2.5

Game Total:

Over 50 (-110)
Under 50 (-110)

Betting odds taken from BetOnline.com <— Click, Deposit, Get $900 FREE!

Eagles vs. Bills Pick:

If you read my preview for the game, this one may come as a no brainer. The Eagles will get their points, and the Bills will keep up with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Also, Fred Jackson is one of the more underrated running backs in the league, and should find some room to run against this atrocious run defense. While the Eagles run defense is terrible, the Eagles run game is not. And while I have been ripping apart the Eagles ability to stop the run, the Bills run defense isn’t that much better, as they are surrendering nearly 130 yards a game. Lesean McCoy and Michael Vick should have a field day with plenty of green grass in front of them. McCoy already has 363 yards on the ground, with two 100+ yard games to his credit.

The over is 10-1 in the Eagles last eleven road games. All signs point to a high scoring entertaining ball game.

PICK = Over 50

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.