Eagles vs. Patriots – Super Bowl LII Over Under Pick

The Super Bowl is finally here, and it features a not so surprising contender, and a team who may come off as surprising to some people. Are the Philadelphia Eagles that much of a surprise to be playing in the Super Bowl, though? I’m not so sure about that. I know they want to wear dog masks, and fans want to treat them as these huge underdogs, but they were the 1st seed in the NFC for goodness sakes. Even after the Carson Wentz injury, I still had faith that they had a chance of getting to the Super Bowl.

Their defense is vastly underrated, and Nick Foles isn’t some scrub off the street who didn’t have any experience. From a point-spread perspective, yes, the Eagles have been underdogs throughout the playoffs. They go into the Super Bowl as underdogs to the Patriots. For our pick on the spread, please access the blog. For the purposes of this article, we’re taking at a look at the Super Bowl Over/Under.

The Eagles knocked off the Minnesota Vikings last week in dominating fashion. They steamrolled the Vikings in the NFC Championship for a final score of 38-7 final. The Eagles were dogs in that one, but came out of it with an easy win. A victory for the Vikings would have of course put them in the Super Bowl in their hometown. Instead, the Eagles are public enemy number 1 around town. Eagles fans aren’t the most gracious out there, so tensions can be high.

Not many people like the Eagles, but conversely, not many people like the Patriots. So, what we have is a lot of people who are on the fence of who to pull for. There are a lot of people who hate the Patriots, and there are a lot of people who hate the Eagles. And then there are people who hate both of them. With that in mind, why not just bet on the game so you have something to cheer for? Whether it’s only a few bucks, or thousands of dollars, it’s always nice to have some action on the game. Feel free to visit Bovada for a sign-up bonus for the Super Bowl this weekend. Let’s get to our free Super Bowl Over Under pick below.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots Betting Odds:

Eagles +4.5(-105)
vs. Patriots -4.5(-115)

Over 48.5(-110)
Under 48.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Eagles vs. Patriots Pick:

It was an awful start to the year for the Patriots. They were embarrassed in their home opener, as the Chiefs ran them off the field at Gillette. The Chiefs earned a 42-27 win, and of course, we had people report that it’s the end of the Patriots. However, in typical Patriots’ fashion, they used it as a teaching moment, and looked like a different team the following week. A few weeks later, they faltered at home again, this time against the Panthers in Week 4. That was the final straw for Belichick, as the Patriots blew the competition to pieces the rest of the season. They lost once more, against the Dolphins in Miami, where they’ve had a history of struggling.

Notably, the defense really turned a corner after Week 4. Since the 33-30 loss, the Pats allowed an average of 14 points per game. Take away the Dolphins game, and they surrendered less than two touchdowns per. Matt Patricia and Belichick aren’t stupid, and they drew up a game plan to improve their defense ten-fold.

The Patriots gave up yardage surely, to a tune of 366 yards allowed per game. However, they gave up just 18.5 points per game. It’s pretty consistent with what they’ve been doing for the last decade. We will give you some yards, but when it comes down to getting points up on the board, it isn’t going to be easy. The Patriots allowed 14 to the Titans in the Divisional Round, and then the Jaguars were neutralized in the second-half for a 24-20 final.

The Eagles’ defense did a bit of everything this season. They didn’t give up much yards or points on the scoreboard. Note, that the Eagles finished 4th, allowing just 306.5 yards per game. They also allowed only 18.4 points per game, 4th in the NFL. The Eagles were a hair ahead of the Pats in the regard, as they were 5th. In the Eagles last four games, they’ve given up a measly 8.25 points per game. I expect both defenses to have productive showings in the Super Bowl on Sunday.

Nick Foles has made five starts since filling in for Wentz. He’s tossed 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Foles was on fire against a good Vikings’ defense, as the threw 3 touchdowns and no interceptions. With two weeks to prepare for him, though, I can’t see the Patriots getting exploited here. Foles is better than some people want to give him credit for, but I have to give the nod to Belichick in preparing for a backup quarterback. The Eagles are going to have to rely on their defense to win the Super Bowl.

And while the Patriots’ offense is undoubtedly strong with Tom Brady and his array of targets, the Eagles’ defense has been overlooked all season long. They’re going to be fired up to show Brady and the world what they are made of. With what I expect to be a 24-21 or 26-20 game, I’d take a look at the UNDER. Remember to still maintain solid bankroll management, regardless of what the event is. Best of luck with all of your picks on Sunday.

PICK: UNDER 48.5 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.