A rough Thursday night game has us on our heels early in Week 9 as the Panthers were trounced on home turf by the visiting New Orleans Saints. Who knew the Saints could win games away from the SuperDome? They look like a solid team moving forward, and Brees and Sean Payton should go on to winning what’s become a fairly soft NFC South division. For today’s featured 1:00 match-up, we’ll travel to Texas where the Houston Texans will be looking for a huge home win against the red-hot Philadelphia Eagles. The Texans are desperately seeking to keep pace with the Colts in the AFC South, while Philly and Dallas continue their dogfight for NFC East supremacy. If you’ve followed my picks/thoughts on this website for most of the year, you’ve known I’ve long been hammering the fact that this Eagles team is getting by on fortunate occurrences. They’re overrated and their current record makes them seem like a far better team than they actually are. Going into a hostile NRG Stadium in Houston won’t be easy, and you can bet the Texans are too good a team to let Philly off the hook. It’s a big game with early post-season implications and we’ve got your Week 9 betting needs covered at The Sports Geek. Read below for our official wager on this contest and a full game breakdown.
Eagles vs. Texans Betting Odds:
Philadelphia Eagles -2 (-120)
@ Houston Texans +2 (+100)
Over 49 (-110)
Under 49 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
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Eagles vs. Texans Pick:
Simply put, I feel that the wrong team is favoured in this contest. While it’s understandable given the current records of these two teams, it’s just yet another example of the overall betting public buying into the false hype surrounding Chip Kelly’s Eagles squad. First off, for all of the discussion surrounding Chip Kelly’s highly regarded offensive scheme, they haven’t been all that great of late in that department. This year, the Eagles are just 22nd in the NFL in offensive efficiency, and as was seen against the Cardinals recently, they’ve had huge struggles in the red zone. Evan Mathis and Jason Kelce being out on the offensive line has affected pass protection and the run game, and Houston has the personnel to take advantage. With both J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney looming, that duo should make this game a nightmare for the overrated Nick Foles. Foles has committed at least two turnovers in his past four outings, and I don’t see that trend stopping today. Add in the fact that Houston is one of the top teams in football at stuffing the run (3.5 yards per carry) and the Eagles will be hard-pressed to move the chains.
On offense, look for the Texans to get their big back Arian Foster going early. While the Eagles have been effective against the run, they haven’t faced anywhere close to the rushing attack the Texans bring with Foster. If Houston gets Foster going, and they should, look for that to improve the pass game and keep the Eagles’ blitzers honest. Philadelphia has huge weakness at coverage in their secondary, and both Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins are capable of moving the chains
Overall, I trust Houston a lot more on both sides of the football. Their defense is as solid as they come, and will wreak havoc on Nick Foles, while their offense is steady enough to get first-downs and put up the necessary points to win this game. For a squad that is consistently referred to as one of the elite teams in the game, the Eagles are just 15th in the league in yard differential. This is a mediocre squad that is lined incorrectly again. The Texans should not be home underdogs in this spot, and look for them to not only cover the 2-point spread, but to win this game outright.
PICK = Texans +2 (+100)