My week 12 FanDuel NFL DFS picks did not disappoint, as Julio Jones (44 fantasy points!) was the top play of the week and pretty much everyone else I used was at least serviceable. Only my kicker (5 fantasy points) and A.J. Green finished with fewer than 10 fantasy points, while my week 12 team as a whole was good enough to cash in just about any contest.
I personally swapped out Jimmy Graham late due to injury news (he ended up being fine) and paid up for Rob Gronkowski. The difference wasn’t that great, though, as Mike Evans took A.J. Green’s spot and neither did all that much.
Still, that was a strong week and hopefully you entered that lineup in some cash games and a GPP. The logic was air tight and honestly, the team could have been even better had DeMarco Murray and Christian McCaffrey (both barely got over 10 fantasy points) found a way to score.
Week 13 could be a little more difficult to peg. There will be 14 games to work with and a slew of elite options. Harsh stands and tough choices are in front of me, but I still see a clear path to a winning NFL DFS team this week. Let’s get to it:
QB: Carson Wentz – Philadelphia Eagles ($8k)
Tom Brady is the most expensive passer this week, while everyone else you’ll want to consider is around the $8k range. I know Wentz and company have to go into Seattle this week, but he’s at a discount and the Seahawks are down both Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor in their secondary.
Wentz has been a machine all year and he’s probably going to be needed in a huge Sunday Night Football battle. Hopefully the old threat the Legion of Boom used to present scares people off of Wentz and I can get him at low ownership.
RB: Marshawn Lynch – Oakland Raiders ($6.2k)
The Raiders are in a weird spot this week, as they get a nice matchup at home against a bad Giants defense, but they could be without their top two wide receivers. If that’s the case, Oakland should ride Beast Mode just as much as week 12, when he toted the rock 26 times.
Lynch’s role is locked in and the Raiders need this game, while New York has not been good against running backs (22nd over the last four weeks). Lynch comes in at a cheap price and all I really ask of him is 60 total yards and a score. If he can do better, then he could be one of the best value picks of the week.
RB: Jordan Howard – Chicago Bears ($7.5k)
You can go a number of routes at running back this week, but a lot of the top guys have shaky matchups and are really expensive. Kareem Hunt is another value play I’m considering, but there’s no getting around the fact that he’s been awful for a while now.
I like the idea of using Howard, as the Bears don’t have much success through the air and need to run the ball to win. Howard is a versatile talent who maintains a strong role as long as Chicago remains in the game and this week the Bears face a beatable 49ers team. San Francisco also ranks dead last against fantasy running backs on the year, so Howard has to be on your radar.
WR: Mike Evans – Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($7.5k)
I tried Mike Evans in my non-TSG lineup last week and he was fine. This week I think he explodes. Regardless of whether or not Jameis Winston (shoulder) returns this week, the Bucs have a tasty matchup against a bad Green Bay defense.
Evans is a total stud that can dominate any matchup, but he could be rather busy against a Packers defense that ranks 30th against wide receivers on the year. I expect Evans to be fully active in this game and something like a 6-100-1 line might honestly be his floor.
WR: Davante Adams – Green Bay Packers ($6.5k)
While I’m Team Evans this week, I also want some exposure to Davante Adams. He was fantastic for me last week and as Brett Hundley’s favorite target, has been a bright spot for a struggling Packers offense. Adams seems to get his nearly every week, as he’s topped 13+ fantasy points in four of the six games Hundley has suited up for.
Adams has a big role at home, but he’s also got an amazing matchup in front of him. Green Bay isn’t the only defense in week 13 that has difficulty stopping the pass, as Tampa Bay ranks dead last against fantasy wide receivers. Fire Adams up with confidence this week.
WR: DeAndre Hopkins – Houston Texans ($8k)
Last, but certainly not least is Nuk, who continues to be a target fiend even with the inept Tom Savage under center. Savage has zero pocket awareness or mobility, but he loves throwing to Hopkins, who has no fewer than 9 targets in each of his last five games.
Savage isn’t good, but he’s at least smart enough to funnel Hopkins the ball and that tends to translate into at least moderate fantasy success. This week Nuk has more upside than usual, as he faces a Titans secondary he burned for a sick 10-107-1 line back on October 1st. With the Titans ranking just 26th against wide receivers, Nuk feels worthy of his price tag in week 13.
TE: Hunter Henry – Los Angeles Chargers ($5.4k)
I like a lot of tight ends this week, but several of them have tough matchups and/or are pretty pricey. I actually see week 13 as a great time to save at the position and that could make Hunter Henry one of the best NFL DFS value picks.
Henry worked out last week with a score on Thanksgiving Day and in week 13 he draws an awesome matchup against a bad Browns defense. Cleveland’s weakness has been their secondary all year, but they also have a tough time silencing tight ends. Henry could be in for a big day against the league’s 30th defense versus the tight end position.
K: Jake Elliott – Philadelphia Eagles ($5.1k)
The Eagles are a well-oiled machine and Jake Elliott has benefited all year from that fact. He’s not cheap, but he’s probably the most reliable kicker in the league these days. He’s posted fewer than 8 fantasy points all year and the only time he did, he exited early with a concussion.
Elliott is fine and with how good the Eagles offense is, should be in line for another strong outing in week 13. It’s worth wondering if the Seahawks could contain Philly enough in a tense home game to keep Elliott busy from long range, too.
DEF: Jacksonville Jaguars ($5.6k)
The Jags are super expensive this week, but I just don’t see a way around them. They seem to get a defensive score every other week and in week 13 they’ll face a shaky Colts offense they obliterated earlier this year.
Indy didn’t muster a single point against Jacksonville in the first meeting, while the Colts also took a staggering 10 sacks. The second meeting is in Jacksonville and I can’t imagine it ending a whole lot better.
There is probably some sleeper defense this week that I’m missing, but I’d rather just take the chalk defense I actually trust. Hopefully most DFS gamers will balk at the price and the Jags won’t end up being chalk at all.