Things probably worked out for you if you used our week 4 FanDuel NFL picks. Our Seahawks stack with Russell Wilson (29 fantasy points) leading the way ended up being a great hit. Jimmy Graham and Paul Richardson were pretty pedestrian, but Wilson should have carried you to the green in cash game and GPP settings.
We struck gold elsewhere, too, as Ezekiel Elliott and Leonard Fournette both topped 22 fantasy points, A.J. Green and DeAndre Hopkins both topped 14 fantasy points and the Bengals defense was solid (8 points) in a win over the Browns. Ryan Succop was a massive disappointment (2 points) at the kicker spot, but overall we pieced together a winner.
Week five could be a little more difficult to gauge, as the Falcons hit the bye week and Derek Carr leads the way for a slew of big injuries. We’ll attack the main slate the best we can and see where our favorite picks lead us:
QB: Brian Hoyer – San Francisco 49ers ($6.5k)
This is clearly a GPP team. Tom Brady and Matt Ryan are off the board due to TNF and a bye week and Aaron Rodgers feels a bit too pricey for a tough road game at Dallas. Rodgers is still firmly in play, but I’m liking the idea of punting at quarterback going into week 5.
Hoyer should remain low owned just because he’s had some brutal games, but he’ll head to Indy to battle a Colts defense that ranks 30th against the pass. This is about as good as it gets in terms of a matchup, so I love Hoyer at this low price. He’s a gamble, but few passers really stand out this week, so I think there is a certain level of assumed risk with just about anyone.
RB: Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas Cowboys ($8.9k)
Zeke was a beast for us last week (27 fantasy points) so I see no reason not to go back to the well in week five. He’s going to be at home against the Packers, who have been a below average defense against the run and should have a tough time on the road. Elliott crushed them the two times he faced them in 2016 and provided he’s not randomly beginning his 6-game suspension, he’s an elite play.
RB: Le’Veon Bell – Pittsburgh Steelers ($9.5k)
Bell finally woke up last week (30+ fantasy points) and now is the time to get back on him. He’ll be at home against a good Jaguars defense, but Jax has not been elite on the ground (32nd against the run). Stopping Bell is always easier said than done, anyways, but he seems to have his mojo back. Even if the Jags do slow him down, he’s a threat to score 2-3 times any week.
WR: T.Y. Hilton – Indianapolis Colts ($7.3k)
I like the San Francisco side of this week’s 49ers vs. Colts contest, but I really don’t mind the Colts in this spot, either. I’d rather save with Hoyer than try Jacoby Brissett, but I certainly want the big play potential we get with the speedy Hilton. He showed us his upside two weeks ago and I think he can flash that again this week.
WR: Dez Bryant – Dallas Cowboys ($7.8k)
Green Bay’s defense has improved in 2017, but it still is far from an elite unit. On the road against a good Cowboys offense, I’m not expecting great results. Bryant has terrorized this pass defense in the past and this is a secondary that has struggled against top shelf talents like Julio Jones and A.J. Green this year. A big game out of Dez is expected.
WR: Robby Anderson – New York Jets ($5.4k)
I like a lot of weaker offenses this week, as they’re in some of the best spots. Going cheap a few times gets us some stud rushers, too, but I don’t even feel like riding with Robby Anderson is that big of a gamble. The Browns have not looked scary defensively and Deshone Kizer keeps putting his defense in bad spots.
On New York’s side, Anderson has a solid role (6+ targets in 3 of 4 games) and he has nice speed that could spring some big plays in a positive matchup. He’s quite clearly a risk, but he’s a calculated one and he allows us to piece together a great GPP lineup.
TE: Austin Seferian-Jenkins – New York Jets ($5.5k)
ASJ is a big, athletic target for Josh McCown and I’m going to be interested in him pretty much anytime he gets a solid matchup and isn’t overpriced. Everything comes together for us this week, as he’s had a nice role in his first two games back from suspension and he draws a date with a Cleveland defense that ranks 31st against the tight end position.
Seferian-Jenkins has never realized his potential, but in a tasty matchup with a shaky Browns defense, he just might. This price is low enough to take away some of the risk, while no Rob Gronkowski on the main slate simplifies things for me quite a bit.
K: Robbie Gould – San Francisco 49ers ($4.5k)
Gould has been quite good lately, as the Niners can move the ball in Kyle Shanahan’s system, but settle for a lot of field goals. That’s helped the reliable Gould to nail 11 field goals already this year and he’s safely topped 10+ fantasy points in each of the last three weeks.
If I like Brian Hoyer, then I like his kicker. The Niners should put up some points this week and due to the team he plays for, it’s likely this is a low owned kicking option.
DEF: Baltimore Ravens ($4.5k)
The Ravens are probably a great spot to start. They’ve been slumping over the last two weeks but they have a huge game in week 5 against the Raiders. This is a better defense than we’ve seen lately and we’re getting them at a sharp discount against what should be an E.J. Manuel-led Raiders offense. Oakland was struggling even with Derek Carr the past two weeks (20 total points), so riding the Ravens against Manuel feels like a strong play.