Week six was pretty hit or miss in fantasy football. The Broncos came up totally lame against a winless Giants team (which ruined our C.J. Anderson play) and an early exit for Aaron Rodgers (broke clavicle) curbed our Randall Cobb play.
The New Orleans Saints also put up 52 points, yet our Drew Brees play didn’t come close to value despite scoring twice. See, we told you it was a weird week.
We did have some strong calls in the end, however. Will Lutz was plenty busy and worked out just fine as our kicker, the Baltimore Ravens were one of the best team defenses with 20 fantasy points and Adam Thielen produced a nice 9-97 line. Michael Thomas was a total spare, while Todd Gurley didn’t score and settled on 12 fantasy points.
It wasn’t a great week, but we’ve had some strong runs in 2017 and we can turn in another in week 7. Let’s dive in:
QB: Marcus Mariota – Tennessee Titans ($8.2k)
I can’t imagine Mariota garners insane ownership this week. He has yet to eclipse 20+ fantasy points in a game this year and most NFL DFS gamers will want the likes of Tom Brady, Drew Brees or Matt Ryan this week.
We shouldn’t bypass Mariota so quickly, however. He’s too talented to stay grounded forever and after putting up over 300 passing yards last week, I feel a breakout game is just around the corner. It’d make sense for it to come against the Browns, who rank 31st at stopping fantasy passers in 2017.
RB: Adrian Peterson – Arizona Cardinals ($6.3k)
Call me crazy, but I’m willing to buy into this resurgence of Adrian Peterson for one more week. He does have a difficult matchup with a tough Rams defense, but L.A. is still ranking dead last against fantasy running backs this year.
Peterson put up elite RB1 numbers in his Cardinals debut and it looks like AZ has zero qualms about feeding him the rock. Even in a tough matchup he’s a threat for 100+ total yards and a score, so at this cheap price tag, we can’t ignore him.
RB: Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas Cowboys ($8.7k)
Zeke lives on, as he made another move in court that figures to make him available for at least the next two weeks. As long as he’s out there, he’s an elite running back in NFL DFS and we have no reason not to use him. Most will pay up for Le’Veon Bell or use a hot hand like Leonard Fournette, but I love Zeke this week.
Elliott had been mashing ahead of last week’s bye week, so he’s in a nice groove and will also be well rested. The ‘Boys badly need to get a win after falling to 2-3 two weeks ago, while a date with a shaky Niners defense (30th against fantasy backs) provides us with about as much upside as we can ask for.
WR: Jordan Taylor – Denver Broncos ($4.5k)
GPPs are won by taking shots in the dark at times and in week 7 one of my favorites is Broncos wide receiver, Jordan Taylor. Taylor provides Denver with a big target and an athletic body that can make plays on the ball, as well as down the field.
He’s a risky play, but with Denver is flat out hobbled at wide receiver with two receivers for sure out and others banged up:
Emmanuel Sanders, Isaiah McKenzie each have ankle sprains, but no breaks. They will miss game vs. LA Chargers at least, per source. #9sports
— Mike Klis (@MikeKlis) October 16, 2017
Taylor feels like an awesome sleeper this week. Just make sure he’s active.
WR: Julio Jones – Atlanta Falcons ($8.8k)
I expect a few droughts to end this week and one of them is Julio Jones not scoring touchdowns. It’s true that Bill Belichick is typically good at containing opposing team’s top weapons, but Jones is virtually matchup proof and New England hasn’t been a good defense in 2017.
Jones has been fine in terms of role for the most part, but he is long overdue to score. That, and he absolutely shredded the Pats the last time he saw them. Some revenge for Atlanta’s Super Bowl loss could be in order.
WR: Jordy Nelson – Green Bay Packers ($7.4k)
I love the value we get here with Nelson, as FanDuel and other daily fantasy football sites clearly are downgrading him due to the absence of Aaron Rodgers. That makes sense, but Brett Hundley is capable of moving the ball and he actually hooked up with Nelson six times for 60 yards last week.
Nelson can make plays down the field or be funneled targets, while he’s been one of the most dangerous red-zone threats in the NFL for years. Considering he’s at home against a shaky Saints pass defense (27th against wide receivers), he has a chance to surprise with killer value in week seven.
TE: Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans ($5.9k)
Rob Gronkowski is super expensive and the Falcons actually do a really good job against tight ends (0 TDs allowed in 2017), so I like the idea of paying down at the position this week. Walker is a strong red-zone option and he’s yet to score this year. With Marcus Mariota finally getting in a groove last week, I think Walker’s solid role pays off with a score or two.
We see Walker get a decent amount of looks every week but he’s been a relative failure this season. Considering Cleveland ranks 31st at stopping tight ends, I’m willing to be his scoring drought comes to an end in this one.
K: Will Lutz – New Orleans Saints ($4.8k)
We used Lutz last week and he worked out swimmingly. He’s in a very nice offense, yet one that has stalled past the 40 quite a bit in 2017. Nobody fears the Green Bay Packers as a defense, but the Saints are still on the road. Lutz should be fairly active in terms of extra points and I can see him having to settle for a couple field goals, as well. Another trip beyond 10+ fantasy points should be in order.
DEF: Jacksonville Jaguars ($5.4k)
I don’t see any value defenses I’m in love with this week, so it looks like the play is to pay up. Seattle is in the conversation, but the Jags probably have more upside against a pretty bland Colts offense.
Jacksonville has literally burned me the only two times I’ve used them this year, but they put up 12+ fantasy points in every other game. I have to believe their talent and a matchup with a bad Colts team shines through for us this week.
The key to this entire lineup is oddly Jordan Taylor. He needs to have a solid role for us to feel good about him, while Trevor Siemian (shoulder) also probably needs to start. He costs basically nothing, though, and using him allows for us to pretty much pick as we please across the rest of our roster.
Per usual, you don’t necessarily have to roll with this exact daily fantasy football lineup. At worst, we hope a few of these picks align with your thought process and you can combine them with your own efforts en route to a successful week. Regardless of your DFS strategy this week, we wish you luck!