You were unlikely to be too disappointed if you rolled with some of my week 11 daily fantasy football picks. Tom Brady was worth the money (339 yards, 3 TDs), while Brandin Cooks, Travis Kelce, Justin Tucker and Mike Wallace were all good to great at their respective positions.
My only shaky picks were the Cardinals defense, Jamaal Williams and Kareem Hunt. Sterling Shepard was in line to be a stud, but he sat out with an illness. My bad picks shouldn’t have crippled you, though. Hunt still had 77 total yards and three catches, while Williams was serviceable with 95 total yards and four catches of his own.
Arizona gave up 31 points, but they did get a pick, a fumble and one sack. Overall, this wasn’t a bad NFL DFS lineup and hopefully you benefited from some of the good calls.
Week 12 is just around the corner, as FanDuel is presenting a fun three-game contest on Thanksgiving Day. I won’t be going over those games with picks, but it should be a fun time for daily fantasy football, food and family.
The rest of the week takes place on Monday, where my daily fantasy football picks reside on the main slate. That excludes the Monday night game on FD, but is capped by what should be a disgusting Packers vs. Steelers game on Sunday Night Football. That gives us 12 games in all to work with, which is pretty huge when you consider three Thursday games and a MNF contest.
There are a lot of options to consider, so let’s dive in with a mixture of my favorite studs and value picks for week 12:
QB: Andy Dalton – Cincinnati Bengals ($7.2k)
The first thing to remember in all of DFS is that in any given lineup, you can’t use every single player. This leads to a lot of extra lineups or last second tinkering, but if you go into a given week accepting that you have to take stands, the value opens up and things become clear.
Believe me, I want Tom Brady, Carson Wentz, Russell Wilson and other passers as much as anyone else, but if I can get elite value, I’m going to take it.
That might be possible with Dalton, who fired in three touchdowns last week and put up 28.34 fantasy points the last time he faced the Cleveland Browns. The Browns have been good against the run, but they still rank in the bottom 10 against fantasy quarterbacks on the year.
The Bengals are in win-now mode with their season on the line, so the odds are solid Cleveland remains winless in another tough loss to their rivals. If that happens, Dalton should have his way and have a shot at returning elite value. He’s simply too cheap for the upside here.
RB: Christian McCaffrey – Carolina Panthers ($6.7k)
McCaffrey’s role has grown with the Panthers, who are fresh off of a bye week and will look to get even more involved in week 12. The rookie rusher has exploded with 17+ fantasy points in each of his last two games and this week draws a favorable matchup against a regressing Jets team.
New York’s defense has been tough in spots, but they rank near the middle of the pack in terms of rushing yards allowed this year and have also been a little vulnerable to shifty running backs out of the backfield. McCaffrey qualfies as such and with his versatile role, he looks like a bargain buy this week.
RB: DeMarco Murray – Tennessee Titans ($6.5k)
Murray is another discounted rusher I have my eye on, as he’s been a touchdown fiend lately and could be in for another big day against a middle of the road Colts defense. Indianapolis ranks 28th against fantasy running backs on the year and have allowed 10 total scores to rushers out of the backfield.
Murray is in a fine spot as the Titans look to bounce back from an ugly blowout loss to the Steelers.
WR: A.J. Green – Cincinnati Bengals ($8.3k)
I like Dalton this week, so naturally it should make sense to pair him with his top wide receiver. Green has scored in each of his last two games and has churned out solid production this year despite running into a slew of difficult matchups.
Green should be good to go for this one, as he posted a solid 14 fantasy points against the Browns the last time he faced them. Cleveland has actually been solid against wide receivers in 2017, but Green is matchup proof. If Dalton is going to have a big day, like I expect he will, Green will have something to do with it.
If you’re not into Green, one idea is to drop down to Mike Evans ($7.7k), who feels too cheap at the moment.
WR: Julio Jones – Atlanta Falcons ($7.8k)
I love the discount I can get with Julio Jones, who is having a down year but remains an absolute beast with massive upside. That should especially be the case this week, as he’ll be at home against a Buccaneers defense he has owned in the past.
Jones is due for a truly huge outing at some point and it really wouldn’t be shocking to see it come against a Tampa Bay secondary that ranks 31st against wide receivers in 2017.
WR: Davante Adams – Green Bay Packers ($6.6k)
I trust two things going into week 11; the Packers are going to lose to the Steelers and Brett Hundley only has eyes for one wide receiver on his team. Pittsburgh’s defense just brutalized Marcus Mariota, so you can prepare for Hundley to have one of the worst games of his life.
While that’s probably going to happen, Green Bay will surely throw the ball more than they want to. Given Hundley’s infatuation with Adams (10+ targets in 3 of 5 games), the Green Bay receiver feels like one of the safer intermediate receiving options on the board.
Adams has turned the big role into production, too, as he’s posted 13.9+ fantasy points in 3 of his last 5 outings. The Steelers aren’t a great matchup, but I like Adams due to his volume and the expected game flow.
TE: Jimmy Graham – Seattle Seahawks ($7k)
Rob Gronkowski is my favorite tight end this week, as he was quiet in week 11 and should blow up against the Dolphins. I don’t want to force him in my lineup, though, so I’ll save $700 and drop down to Jimmy Graham, who has been red hot for Seattle.
Graham has been a touchdown machine lately, scoring all 7 of this year’s touchdowns over his last six games. He has nice upside and also has a tasty matchup with a Niners defense that ranks 28th against the position over the last four weeks.
K: Harrison Butker – Kansas City Chiefs ($5k)
I like several expensive kicking options this week, but Butker gives us the safety and upside of a guy that should be the most expensive option, yet he’s $300 cheaper than he could be.
I’ll take the mild discount as Butker is super reliable (8+ fantasy points in 6 of 7 games) and faces a vulnerable Bills defense that gives up the 5th most points to fantasy kickers on the year.
DEF: New England Patriots ($4.7k)
I’m pretty sold on the Pats this week for a number of reasons. They’re obviously a good price and are in a solid groove (7+ fantasy points in five straight games) and they’ll be at home against a Miami team that is in shambles.
New England’s defense was one to target earlier in the year, but they’ve made adjustments and are no longer that easy matchup they once were. Miami is having serious issues offensively, so this could be a great spot for the Pats to rack up some sacks, a couple of turnovers and perhaps even a defensive touchdown.