Hey Guys I’m back again for the weekly edition of the Power Plays. This week we take a look at the Week 14 slate in the NFL. Last week we hit nicely on some of our contrarian plays such as Melvin Gordon, Travis Kelce and Patriots D. Unfortunately we missed on Michael Thomas and mother nature decided to give us a classic Lambeau field game in early December which limited Rodgers and Davante Adams. This week marks the start of the fantasy football playoffs and if you’re in the playoffs GOOD LUCK! If you’re not, no need to worry I got you covered on your only fantasy action coming in the form of DFS! Lets get into the Power Plays!
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TB – Jamies Winston ($ 8200) – The Bucs are involved in the highest game total of the week with a total of 51, and would you guess its against the Saints. The Saints are allowing over 18 FD points per game to opposing QBs and Winston comes into this game on a bit of a roll. The second year man has been as consistent as any QB this year finishing every game with double digit FD points and has been averaging 17.6 FD the last month.
IND – Andrew Luck ($ 8200) – Draft Kings and FanDuel creates pricing for upcoming week every Sunday night. Which means if a player is playing in one of the prime time games that week, his price will not be adjusted for the following week. This is exactly what happened to Andrew Luck who threw for 4TDS on Monday night against the Jets. The Colts have a team implied total of 26.5 and the Texans defense has allowed multiple touchdown passes in four straight games. Andrew Luck also has one of the highest ceilings out of all the QBs eclipsing the 30 points total twice.
*Tournament Target* BUF – Ty”GOD” Taylor ($ 7600) – Tyrod is a tournament play every week with his ability to score multiple rushing touchdown per week. The Bills have scored over 21 points in 5 out of the last 6 and in those last 6 games Tyrod has scored over 13 FD points in 5 of those games.
AZ – David Johnson ($ 9700) – I really don’t need to write him up because hes a play every week but I thought I’d include some amazing stats about him. DJ join Marshall Faulk as the only players every to have 1000 yards rushing and 700 yards receiving through 12 games. DJ is the only player since 2005 (Edge) to have over 100 yards from scrimmage in his first 12 games. Oh and also the Dolphins are allowing over 150 YPG on the ground at home.
TENN – Demarco Murray ($7900) – The Denver defense will scare a lot of people off of Murray this week, but little do people know the Broncos are allowing over 100 YPG to opposing running backs. The Titans will look to establish the run with Murray who can hurt you in the passing game as well with 17 receptions in his last 4 games. Demarco Murray is also tied with Blount for the most “goal to go Carries” with 17 on the season.
CINN – Jeremy Hill ($ 6900) – This is purely a volume, match up, and price play. Hill has under performed since becoming the lead back the past two weeks but the match up is too juicy against the Browns. The Bengals are favorites and will look to keep the ball on the ground in what could be a bad weather game in Cleveland. Hill will see the goaline work and has 8 catches in his last two games.
TB – Mike Evans ($ 8900) – We need a guy to stack with Winston and with the injuries to Humphries and Shorts it forces are hand to Evans. Who am I kidding? Evans was always going to be the stack! Evans leads the league in Targets this year with 136! As mentioned above this game comes with a nice total and Evans is averaging 17.5 FD points per game this season.
IND – TY Hilton ($ 7600) – The Houston Texans have struggled recently in the passing game allowing a top 20 FD WR in four straight games. Hilton has put up some big games at home scoring over 25 FD points twice this season and I expect another big performance this week in what is a must win game for the Colts. The Colts are expected to score 26 + points and I forsee Hilton being a big part of that!
*Tournament Target* MIA – Jarvis Landry ($ 6100) – I was doing some research today on WR’s who are seeing 7+ targets a game and who’s price has dropped over $500 in the past month. Landry fits that model to a T and who is in a great match up against a team who struggles to defend the slot. Landry has scored double digits in 2 out of his last 3, and in his last game pulled in 11 receptions. Miami has averaged over 27 points per game at home this season.
*Tournament Target* CLE – Terrelle Pryor ($ 6700) – Pryor also fits the model that Landry fit into, and the reasoning behind that model was to look for under priced WR’s who are seeing the volume. The Browns are passing on 70% of their plays the last 3 games. Pryor has scored 12+ in 4 out of his last 5 games and is an underdog which means the Browns will be passing all game once again.
TB – Cameron Brate ($ 5600) – Brate could very easily be the reason you made that late season push into the playoffs for your season long fantasy teams with his big game last week against the Chargers. I expect the targets to go up this game with the injuries and the Bucs inefficiencies in the running game.
BAL – Dennis Pitta ($ 4900) – Pitta may be a guy you have to play due to his usage last game and his sub 5k price. If you’re playing the Thurs-Mon slate and are looking for value you can turn to pitta who has seen 5+ targets in 4 straight.
Minnesota ($ 4800) – Its Mr. pick 6. I mean seriously when was the last time a team didnt score a defensive TD against the Jags.