Hey guys, I’m back again for the FanDuel Week 4 Power Plays here at the Sports Geek. Week 3 was a bit underwhelming to say the least, we had some big hits and some big misses.
Let’s start with the misses Andrew Luck (14.2), CJ Anderson (4.6), Riddick (8.3) and Maclin (5.5). As you can see there were 3 big duds of last week, with Luck saving us late in the fourth with a long TD pass to TY Hilton. The big hits of the week came mainly at WR, Evans (24.2), Robinson (21.2), and Landry (23.1). We had a few other nice plays who gave us 2x value in Melvin Gordon and the Tampa Bay Bucs defense. I hope you also had a chance to check out my Value Plays article that comes out on Thursday nights, last week the highlight player was Christine Michael who scored over 20 FD points. I look for a big bounce back this week at the Bauer Power Plays. Let’s get into the FanDuel week 4 plays!
Catch me every Wednesday night between 8-10 PM (EST) on the NFL Fantasy channel for Sirius XM radio.
I will also be writing another article that will be posted on Thursday nights, which will include my favorite value plays for that week.
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CAR – Cam Newton ($9300) – Vegas has this game slated as the second highest scoring game of the week. The Falcons are giving up an average of 318 YPG, along with 2+TDS to opposing QBs this season. This is a back against the wall for the panthers, if they drop this game they will be 2 games back of the Falcons. I expect to come out and do Cam things, plus he gives us that rushing touchdown upside.
WASH – Kirk Cousins ($7600) – It’s no secret the Browns defense is going to be one we target the entire year, especially when on the road. Cleveland has allowed 15+ FDpoints to each opposing QB, an average of 300 yards and 2Tds against. Cousins will be one of the highest owned QBs this week, making him cash game safe. Also he has attempted over 40 attempts twice this season, and is averaging 330 YPG.
HOU – Lamar Miller ($8200) – I compare this game, a lot to the one that Lesean McCoy had last week against the Cardinals. Miller has been a victim this year of playing good defenses, and falling victim to game flow like he did last week against the Patriots. The Texans are on 10 days rest, at home and are big favorites (-4.5). Miller is still seeing the volume to the tune of 24 carries p/g, along with 3+ targets p/g. I look for Miller and the rest of the Texans to get back on track this week.
SD – Melvin Gordon ($7600) – Who would of thought I’d have Gordon in the Power Plays this year, let alone back to back weeks. But that’s what producing past expectations and injuries will get you. Gordon is the clear workhorse back for the Chargers, and is getting the volume to prove it. Gordon received 16 carries and 7 targets last week. He gets a great home match-up against the Saints who just got torched for 200+ yards on the ground against Atlanta. Now the Saints must get on a plane and travel to the west coast, this sounds like a recipe for disaster.
*Tournament* SF – Carlos Hyde ($6800) – Hyde is quietly leading all running backs with 17 carries inside the redzone, has seen 20+ carries 2 out of the 3 games. I think Hyde will be going overlooked this week as far as ownership is concerned. I especially like this play on DK where he is priced at $4200, which makes him a great pivot play from some of the value play RBs this week.
PITT – Antonio Brown ($9700) – Business will be BOOMIN this Sunday in Pittsburgh for AB. Last season at home AB averaged over 20 FD points, 10 receptions and 120+ yards p/g. AB seems to have shaken off that bad taste he gave owners in week 2, with a 20 point performance last week against the Eagles. AB is seeing the volume, and the return of Leveon Bell should help him see some more single coverage. Vegas has the over/under at 48, so scoring will be taking place at Heinz field come Sunday.
HOU – DeAndre Hopkins ($8600) – I expect Hopkins to come back to form like the rest of Texans this week in this great home spot. The Titans have given up a 100 yard wide receiver each week this season (Diggs, Marin Jones JR, Crabtree), I expect Hopkins to become the next name on that list. He is still seeing 9 Targets a game, and is the number 1 target in the redzone.
WASH – Jameson Crowder ($6000) – Is quietly putting up a great year, with two touchdown already. Crowder has never seen less than 7 targets in a game this year, also he has the most redzone targets out of any WR in the NFL with 8. As mentioned before the Browns secondary just funnels points to opposing WRs. As long as the Skins struggle to find a running game, the passing game will be in high demand.
*Tournament* SD – Tyrell Williams ($6400) – The ownership on all the Chargers will be a bit down this week, for the lack of production on the road in Indy. Williams will be one my sleeper picks this week, because of the shootout potential this game has since he will be playing the saints. The saints are still the funnel defense they were last year, and especially to WR ranked 27th in DVOA vs Wrs. Williams saw the highest volume of his career last week with 9 Targets.
CAR – Greg Olsen ($7900) – Atlanta is the new funnel team for tight ends, I mean even Colby Fleener found the endzone against them! Atlanta is giving up an average of 19 FDpoints to opposing Tight Ends this year. Olsen is still Cams favorite target seeing 27 targets on the year, and double digit FD points twice this year.
CHI – Zach Miller ($5000) – You gotta love when a guy has a big Monday Night game, and the DFS can adjust his price for another week. Miller’s price actually dropped $200 on FD, and this is a great way to get cheap exposure to what should be a high scoring game in Det v Chi. Its looks like Hoyer will play at least one more week, and that’s screams good news for Miller who saw 9 targets in his last game as opposed to 9 targets in the first 2 games.
Arizona Cardinals ($5300) – The Cardinals at home are a different animal scoring 23 FD points in their last game, and are averaging 9.33 points p/g which ranks 3rd in the NFL.
Washington Redskins ($4500) – This will be the chalk defense of the week, which makes this a safe cash game play. I will be fading this defense in tournaments as the injuries of Hall and Breeland scare me, and make me think this game could become a bit of a shootout. But the dolphins sacked the Browns 4 times, recovering a fumble in the process. The skins will get sacks and turnovers, but can they keep the Browns under 14 points. We will see.
For updates & additional plays through out the week follow me on twitter @BauerPowerPlays