Hey guys, I’m back again for the weekly edition of the Power Plays. This week we take a look at the week 5 slate on FanDuel. It was another week that gave us mixed results in week 4. We had a few of the top tier guys, but we also missed badly on a few of the picks.
Last week my QBs were Kirk Cousins and Cam Newton well, Captain Kirk came through and saved the day while Cam left us with a bad taste in our mouths. The running back position last week was the most consistent of the bunch, with each player giving us double digit fantasy points, although Lamar Miller still underperformed at his price. The Wide Receiver position was the big whiff of the week, Hopkins left a ton of owners including my cash games line ups needing much more production. Tyrell Williams and Crowder never seemed to get it going either, both players were involved in high scoring games just not contributing to it from a fantasy stand point. It is a positive sign though when that happens, it means the research and processes that I go through are the correct ones, when targeting the right games. The one bright spot was AB, and of course business was booming. The tight end position outside of Jordan Reed was all about value, and I gave you that last week, in Zach Miller and Hunter Henry both posted nice games at their price. Let’s now leave the past where it belongs and look onto bigger and better things in week 5!
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I will also be writing another article that will be posted on Thursday nights, which will include my favorite value plays for that week.
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PITT – Ben Roethlisberger ($8,600) – Big Ben is coming off one of the best games of his career, throwing for 5 TDs, 300 yards, and no interceptions against the KC Chiefs. Ben has scored 20+ FD points in 3 of his 4 games this season, and is home again in what should be a high scoring matchup against the Jets. Vegas has this total set at 48, with Pitt being the home favorite. The jets are giving up an average of 304 yards, 2tds, and 20+ FD points to opposing QBs.
OAK – Derek Carr ($8,100) – Another QB coming off a career day, on the road, in a 1 o’clock eastern time zone start. The odds were stacked against Carr coming into last week, and he over-delivered for fantasy owners last week. Carr has 20+ FD points in 3 of his 4 games this season, and now is back home playing against a decimated Chargers secondary who are now missing Verrett for the season. The Chargers are giving up over 300 yards a game, and 20 FD points to opposing QBs
DEN – CJ Anderson ($ 8000) – He burned us before but that was on the road, and running backs on the road can be a bit tricky. CJ is back and in a better spot this week facing a bottom 5 run defense in the Atlanta Falcons, who are giving up an average of 26.75 points per game to opposing teams back fields. Anderson has 19+ carriers in 3 of his 4 games, and also has a touchdown in every game in which he sees that type of volume. The broncos are home favorites, which correlates well to running backs in fantasy football.
CHI – Jordan Howard ($ 7200) – The bargain darling of last week, who came through for all fantasy owners who played him in DFS and who grabbed him with their waiver wire last week. Howard received a big workload last week to the tune of 23 carries for 111 yards, and showed he can catch the ball with a line of 3-21. This week he gets another positive match-up against the colts who allowed Jacksonville to run for 5+ YPC last week, and 47 receiving yards to Yeldon on 4 receptions.
*Tournament Play* STL – Todd Gurley ($ 7600) – Gurleys price is now $1300 cheaper then what it was in the beginning of the year. I think Gurley is in the perfect spot to have a huge game at home this week, The Bills have given up big games to running backs this year in David Johnson and Matt Forte who scored 5TDS. Gurley is still getting the volume (19 carrier p/g), and if Cunningham misses another game it only means more opportunity for Gurley in the passing game.
GB – Jordy Nelson ($ 8400) – It’s not often a guy who is on the other side of 30 comes back from a major leg injury and still performs at Pro Bowl level. But that’s exactly what Jordy Nelson is doing this year, with 17 receptions 204 yards and 4 touchdowns in just 3 games. When your Aaron Rodgers favorite target you’ll more than likely always produce, this is also a game that Vegas has pinned a nice 48 point total too.
NYJ – Brandon Marshall ($ 7600) – This is a play I think will be low owned this weekend, because people see who his QB is and will automatically pivot from it. Brandon Marshall saw 12 targets last week catching 4 of those balls for 89 yards and touchdown against a much better secondary in the Seahawks than his match up this week against the Steelers. The Jets are 7 point underdogs this weekend, and will have to throw the ball, and I expect a ton of targets to Marshall this weekend. I also like Enunwa ($6200) this week as well who should continue to see 8+ targets this week as well.
*Tournament Target* MIA – Davante Parker ($ 6400) – Parker is never a cash game target due to his volatility, but I think this is a great spot to roster dolphins players this week. My favorite upside play is Davante Parker who gets a nice match up against the titans who are very stout against the run which will force the Dolphins to pass.
*Tournament Target* OAK – Amari Cooper ($ 7200) – The masses will flock to Crabtree and for good reason he’s been one of the best fantasy WRs in the NFL this year, and im not opposed to a 3 man stack with Carr, Cooper, and Crabtree. Let’s not forget that Cooper is averaging over 8 targets a game, so the volume is there and I expect it to start showing in the yardage and touchdowns.
CHI – Zach Miller ($ 5,400) – He started showing flashes of his fantasy towards the end of last year, and is once again showing it this year with 3TDS 100+ yards in his last two games. He is coming into a game where the Bears are underdogs in what should be a high scoring game (47.5 total), as an underdog. This all adds up to more passing, and Miller is showing rapport with Hoyer.
TB – Cameron Brate ($ 5,400) – Were going to need some savings this week, with all the high priced QBs having great match-ups. One of the ways we can do that is find a Tight End who is seeing the volume who has seen 18 targets in his two starts since the loss of ASJ. The panthers gave up a TD to Tamme last week, so they are not as stout as they used to be in the secondary.
New England Patriots ($ 4800) – Insert the defense that plays the browns here. The Patriots are coming off a loss and are 10.5 favorite against the browns. The Patriots have given up 16 points in the last two weeks.
*Tournament Targets* LA Rams ($ 4700) – The LA rams are at home facing a Bills team traveling across country coming off the Rex Ryan Super bowl game (beating Bill Belichick). The Rams have scored 3 straight double digit FD P/g. I expect this to continue against the Bills this weekend!