Hey Guys I’m back again for the weekly edition of the Power Plays. Now we take a look at the first round of the NFL playoffs, Wild Card weekend. I hope you guys had a great New Years and are ready to lock in for the last few weeks of the NFL DFS season. The last week of the NFL season didnt go quietly, here at the Bauer Power Plays we hit huge on our picks. I hope you were able to catch my value / exposure tweet I send out every Sunday because there were some massive plays given out! The Power Plays provided the top two scoring QBs of the week with Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan, with both tossing two TDS. The value QB given out through twitter was Alex Smith who was min price on DK, and scored over 25 points against the Chargers. We struck big at the running back position as well with Freeman, Ingram, Bilal Powell putting up all over 20 FD points. Rex Burkehead was a guy that was getting talked about all week, and I tweeted about him Sunday morning once news broke Hill was out, and he put up nearly 30 FD points! We hit nicely at the WR position as well with Michael Thomas and Deandre Hopkins leading the way with big games! We picked the wrong Green Bay WR in Jordy Nelson, and missed with Doug Baldwin. The tight end position was a complete bust with Kelce only catching one ball, Im still trying to figure out how they scored that many points with Kelce only having one catch. I talked up Zach Ertz on Sunday morning who was the highest scoring tight end of the week. All in all a great week, if not the best week of the season.
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PITT – Ben Roethlisberger ($ 8500) – Big Ben gets the best match up at home this weekend against a Dolphins team that has allowed 4 QBs in the last 6 games to score over 20 FD points. Ben is averaging 320 yards and 3.3 TDs at home this season. Ben gives us the highest floor of all the QBs at home this weekend which makes him a nice cash play on this small slate. He has all of his weapons healthy this weekend including Green who practiced today.
SEA – Russell Wilson ($ 7700) – The pricing on Wilson, the match up and the question marks at running back make Wilson one of the most interesting plays this week at QB. The Lions are giving up over 19 FD points to opposing QBs this season and recently have given up 7 TDs to QBs in the past two games. Wilson plays much better at home averaging 20 FD points at home as opposed to 14.8 points on the road. Vegas has the Seahawks with a 25 point team total which means they expect them to score, and Wilson can also do damage with his legs.
PITT – Leveon Bell ($ 10300) – A rule of thumb I have for small slates is don’t try to get cute and fade the studs. Bell leads the league in touches with 28 per game, with a lead leading average of 157 yards per game. The Dolphins are also one of the worst teams in defending the run, allowing opposing running backs to score 140 yards per game. The floor and guaranteed Bell provides us with makes him the safest cash option, along with having the highest ceiling of all running backs.
HOU – Lamar Miller ($ 7100) – The Houston Texans get the blessing of playing Carr-less Raiders in Houston for round one. Lamar Miller is finally healthy and will be leaned on heavily this week against a sub-par Raider run defense who are surrendering over 105 YPG, 4.5 YPC to opposing running backs. Miller ran for one of his three 100 yard games against the Raiders earlier this year Lamar Miller averaged over 15 FD points per game at home this season. The guaranteed touches and being a home favorite should add up to a nice game and workload for Miller.
*Tournament Target* NYG – Paul Perkins ($ 5900) – It was reported earlier today that Paul Perkins will get the start this weekend against the Packers. Perkins has been the much better running back as of late rushing for over 100 yards last week against the Redskins. Perkins YPC the last 3 weeks has been 4.9, 4.5, 5.1 while Jennings has had 2 weeks under 3.0 YPC and one week with 4.9.
PITT – Antonio Brown ($9100) – Im guessing you’re starting to catch on to the theme of the killer B’s this week. AB had another boomin’ season with 106 receptions for over 1284 yards and 12 TDS. Byron Maxwell might miss this game which only spells more opportunity for AB who had a hard time shaking Maxwell last time these two teams met. AB saw 10+ targets in 10 games this season, and scored over 20 FD points 6 times this season.
MIA – Jarvis Landry ($ 6400) – Since Matt Moore has taken over Jarvis Landry’s fantasy production has began to take off. Landry has put up 18+ FD points in 2 of his last 3 games, and put up 100 + yards in 2 of his last 4. The Steelers secondary has been very kind to WRs and QB this season. The only knock on Landry is his TD production, but the targets will be there and hes shown he has big play ability after the catch.
SEA – Doug Baldwin ($ 6900) – The Seahawks are having issues running the ball the last month of the season, and will rely on the pass more than they ever have in the playoffs. I think the biggest recipient of this will be Doug Baldwin. Baldwin had a very quite 90+ catch, 1100 yard season. As we all know the Lions are porous in the secondary and will have their hands full with the Seattle pass attack this weekend. Also Baldwin has a high ceiling like the big 3 WRs on the slate, with 3 games scoring over 26 FD points 3 times this year
*Tournament Target* NYG – Sterling Shepard ($5400) – The Packers will be focusing quite a bit of a attention to OBJ this weekend and for good reason. We will try to capitalize on that with Sterling Shepard who has scored a TD in 6 of his last 9 games. I touched on earlier about how the Giants are struggling to run the ball which lead to more passing from NYG.
HOU – CJ Fiedorowicz ($ 5300) – He looks like he’s healthy once again, and will be leaned on heavily this weekend from the gun shy Brock Osweiller. The Raiders are a team that can be targeted over the middle of the field, as we saw last time they played. CJ went for 6 catches for 82 yards, on 10 targets.
Houston Texans ($ 4800) – The Texans have had 7 sacks along with 2 INTs the last 2 weeks, and are playing in the lowest total game on the slate (36.5). They now get to face the Raiders, who are starting their 3rd QB in as many weeks. The Texans Defense just doesn’t give up the big play, and will make the Raiders have to sustain drives to score.