Giants vs. Colts NFL Pick – Week 16

The New York Giants travel to Indianapolis where they hope to play spoiler against the Colts. The Colts on the other hand have flipped their outlook around wit the emergence of Andrew Luck in 2018. They’ve gone from a doormat without Luck to the hottest team in the NFL. Luck wouldn’t have been able to do this without the Colts’ defense, too. They’ve made incredible strides from a season ago, and as the season has progressed in 2018.

Luck could play as good as he wants, but without their defense stepping up and performing ten times better, they wouldn’t be looking at the playoffs right now. While credit should be going to Luck, a lot should be going to the defense as well. Even more, the offensive line which was the worst in the NFL for several years is playing better. The Colts enter Sunday with a record of 8-6. They’ve won seven of their last eight games, with their only loss a 6-0 hiccup against the Jaguars.

The Colts had the Texans next, so that could have been a look ahead spot. They responded for a 24-21 win in Houston, and then followed it up with a 23-0 win over the Cowboys. That may have been their most impressive win of the year. The Giants on the other hand are just looking for a bright spot as the curtain closes on their year next week.

It’s been such a turbulent season for the Giants, with the future of Eli Manning in doubt. For all of the criticism he’s received, fans will remember the two Super Bowls he won in New York when his time is up. The Giants were playing better football, with wins in four of their last five games before getting tripped up against the Titans. They are going to have to find a way to bump Indianapolis off their steady and consistent path.

A win this week for the Colts, and they will have a 72.5 percent chance of going to the playoffs. That is taking the future point spread next week against the Titans into consideration. The Colts are on the road for that matchup, which is going to be one of the most important of the week. A mental lapse against the Giants this week would be a killer. Get our free Giants vs. Colts pick below.

N.Y. Giants vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Week 16 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Giants +9.5(-110)
  • Colts -9.5(-110)

Total:

  • Over 48(-112)
  • Under 48(-108)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Giants vs. Colts Pick:

The Giants are going to be looking for a quarterback in the upcoming draft. There is no secret about that, but there also isn’t a secret regarding how weak the quarterback class is in 2019. There very well could be some quarterbacks that work out and have productive careers of course, though there isn’t a can’t miss prospect in the field.

Joe Flacco’s time looks up in Baltimore. However, that’s just flipping an aging quarterback with another that is past his prime. Teddy Bridgewater might be a guy worth keeping an eye on. He looked more than able in the preseason and has been sitting behind Drew Brees and Taysom Hill in New Orleans this season.

Manning has passed for 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions as a member of the Giants. Not as bad as advertised, but he has missed plays this season that have prevented his numbers from looking a lot better. He was way worse earlier in the season, as he’s thrown 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions in his last six games.

The Giants rank 20th in the NFL with an average of 347.4 yards per game. They’ve been good in spurts, nothing has really been consistent for them. Last week they didn’t score 1 point against the Titans and the week before they rang up 40 points on the Redskins. They also beat the Bears in a 30-27 game a few weeks ago, so the offense has shown they can move the ball when they care.

Indianapolis were 30th in the NFL with 367.1 yards allowed per game a season ago. They’ve flown all the way up to 10th in the league. From one of the worst to a top-10 defense is awfully impressive. In their last five games at home, they’ve allowed just 13 points per game, and in their last five overall, the Colts have given up only 12.2 points per game.

That helps Luck out immensely, who has already passed for 3,951 yards with 34 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Barring an early injury in this game, he will eclipse 4,000 yards with ease. Their offense was in shambles last season as well, with 284.6 yards and just 16.4 points per game for 31st in the league. Today they are 8th with 381.5 yards per game.

I don’t see any motivation for the Giants in this game. They are on the road just a couple of days before Christmas with nothing to play for. Sometimes the nothing to lose approach is a benefit, but they’re going to have to do it without Odell Beckham and center Spencer Pulley. Russell Shepard is also out to hurt the receiving depth even more. On the defense linebacker Alec Ogletree will not play. He is behind Landon Collins for 1st on the team in tackles. The Colts should ultimately be able to pull away for a 2 touchdown win at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Bet
COLTS -9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.