Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Week 15 Pick – December 19

A couple of 2-11 teams desperately seeking some good fortune will square off in the early window Sunday as the Jacksonville Jaguars host their AFC South rivals in the Houston Texans.

Neither team is pining for post-season position right now, but there’s no reason why each of these squads can’t build some positive momentum and optimism as they prepare for tumultuous off-seasons.

For the Jags, it’s essentially the start of a new era – at least on the sidelines. No more Urban Meyer after he was fired earlier in the week. The drama should subside within that team, and perhaps we’ll see a more organized and structured atack, led by former first overall pick Trevor Lawrence. It’s been a tough rookie season to date for the Clemson product, though perhaps moving on from Meyer will free Lawrence to show some progress.

The 2-11 Texans meanwhile continue to just play out the season. They don’t have much promising youth within their roster, but a big focus for this squad has to be securing a top pick and drafting their own quarterback of the future. Houston’s defense has been better lately, though a rejuvenated Jaguars’ squad could pose problems in Week 15.

Though it’s a lowly clash between two 2-11 teams, there is some drama surrounding this matchup. Can the Jaguars show the ability many pegged for them back in the Fall? For that answer, plus live odds, trends, and the latest data – keep reading below for our betting analysis on Jacksonville vs. Houston as we look to stay hot into the new year. Enjoy the game, folks!

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag

  • Houston Texans +4 (-110)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars -4 (-110)
  • Houston Texans (+175)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (-200)
Total Points:
  • Over 40.0 (-110)
  • Under 40.0 (-110)
Overall Record 2-11-0 2-11-0
ATS Record 5-8-0 4-9-0
Home/Away Record 1-5-0 1-5-0
Points Per Game 13.2 13.8
Points Against Per Game 27.5 26.2
Passing Yards Per Game 186.2 200.6
Rushing Yards Per Game 147.8 115.7

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction:

To put it simply, it’s been a pretty bad year from former first overall pick, Trevor Lawrence. Last week he threw four interceptions, and didn’t look comfortable at all in Urban Meyer’s disorganized and chaotic offense. Many have reported that Lawrence welcomed the coaching change, and you’d have to think this talented player can revive his rookie season with a strong finish. With new voices and a new outlook on offense, the talent is there for a Jacksonville breakout, sooner rather than later.

Houston can be thrown on. They don’t get much pressure on opposing QB’s and their defensive backs aren’t the best in coverage either. Expect decent outings from Laviska Shenault and Marvin Jones Jr. as a result, and don’t be surprised to see heavier implementation of James Robinson out of the backfield. Following last season’s breakout performance, Robinson has been under-utilized this season, and given the fact that Houston can be run on, look for the Jags to exploit this and put Lawrence in better situations.

Davis Mills will counter for Houston, and he is a very bad quarterback. Though the Jags’ aren’t great in coverage, they’ll make things tough on Mills via the pass rush. Jacksonville is quite proficient at getting after opposing QB’s and with Houston’s offensive line depleted, opportunities for pressure and sacks will be there for the Jags.

Expect Houston to struggle to move the chains as a result, while if Lawrence can shake off the turnovers – Jacksonville has a great shot at securing a needed victory. There remains a lot of talent within the Jacksonville locker room, and perhaps without Meyer’s restrictions, this team can flourish.

Jaguars vs. Texans Trends To Know:

  • Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games as a road underdog.
  • Under is 9-0 in Jaguars last 9 games following a ATS loss.

While the line rose quite a bit toward the Jags following the firing of Urban Meyer, don’t discount the emotional boost it seems to have given the players and the organization as a whole.  All of the drama that surrounded him has subsided, and it seems like the Jags’ roster is keen on sending a message that this is a talented group, hindered by a bad coach.  Expect a breakout game from Trevor Lawrence and a convincing Jacksonville victory.

My Pick
Jaguars -4
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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