Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders – NFL Pick for Week 14

Indianapolis (8-4) at Las Vegas (7-5)


The Raiders have a 10-8 lead in the series and took a 31-24 win over Indianapolis last season. The Colts have won five of the last seven dating back to a 23-18 Oakland Raiders win in 2001. The Colts have won three of their last four and have vaulted into a first place tie with the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Raiders sit at 7-5 and are one game out of a Top 7 seed in the AFC which would yield a playoff spot for only the second time in the past 18 years.

Vs. The Spread

Both teams check in at 7-5 ATS this season and the OVER has been the play with both as Indianapolis has gone OVER in six of the last eight games and the Raiders are OVER in nine of 12 on the season. The Colts are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 matchups with the Raiders while Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. AFC competition.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Colts -2.5 (-120) -148 O 50.5 (-110)
Raiders +2.5 (+100) +128 U 50.5 (-110)

Last week

Philip Rivers threw a pair of touchdown passes to T.Y. Hilton and Jonathan Taylor and Naheim Hines scored from five yards out as the Colts survived the Texans, 26-20, in Houston. Taylor ran for 91 yards on 13 carries and Indianapolis recorded a late fourth quarter safety when Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson fell on an errant snap in his own end zone. Watson torched the Colts secondary for 341 yards.

The Raiders survived a 31-28 scare in a win over the Jets in New York. Derek Carr hit Henry Ruggs on a 46-yard touchdown pass with 10 seconds remaining which stopped the Las Vegas losing streak at two. The Raiders were staggering after losing 43-6 in Atlanta two weeks ago and staved off embarrassment after the Jets scored two fourth quarter touchdowns to take a 28-24 lead with 5:34 to play.

When the Colts Have the Ball

Indianapolis Colts LogoRivers sees a Las Vegas secondary that had been in a flux, but has only given up 279 combined yards passing in the last two games combined after Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes lit it up for 348 yards in Week 11. The Raiders came up with three second quarter turnovers last week, but with Rivers streaking the past four weeks with eight touchdowns against only two interceptions, Las Vegas could be in for a tough afternoon if it doesn’t get a pass rush against a Colts offensive line that has allowed only 13 sacks in 12 games. In 28 previous games against the Raiders, Rivers threw 47 touchdown passes, the most against any opponent.

When the Raiders Have the Ball

Las Vegas Raiders LogoIndianapolis has been really solid in the turnover battle as the Colts have claimed 19 which has fashioned a (+7) turnover margin, which is tied for fourth in the NFL. Las Vegas needs Josh Jacobs to implement the running attack to its maximum, but he is currently listed as questionable for Sunday with an ankle injury. Devontae Booker had only 50 yards on 16 carries vs. the Jets, so Jacobs health is even more the cause for concern.

Although the Colts are eighth in the NFL against the pass, they have given up two 300-yard passing games in the last three, so Derek Carr and his receiving core could also be able to assert themselves in a consistent manner. Tight end Darren Waller had 200 yards on 13 catches and two touchdowns last week as Carr had a season high 381 passing yards. Wide receiver Nelson Agholor has a touchdown catch in three of his past four home games and Ruggs looks for 50-plus receiving yards for his third week in a row.

NFL Betting Predictions

Winner: Raiders (+2.5) 34, Colts 31
Over-Under: Take OVER 50.5

The Bets
Las Vegas Raiders +2.5
OVER 50.5
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.