Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Pick – NFL Wild-Card Round Playoffs Pick – January 9

Finally, after a lengthy wait – the NFL Playoffs will finally begin Saturday afternoon with back-to-back triple-headers of action this weekend.

As always, the Sports Geek will be here for full coverage and analysis, and for me personally, I’ll look to continue my winning ways into the playoffs.

Let’s kick things off with the first game on the board Saturday afternoon as the Buffalo Bills take on the Indianapolis Colts in AFC playoff action.

Both squads turned in excellent seasons en route to impressive records, but did so in different fashions. The Bills put together an unbelievable offensive season, as Josh Allen emerged as one of the sport’s great quarterbacks. Stefon Diggs proved to be an elite receiver, and the Bills’ passing game truly took off.

That will be a challenge for an Indy side that got here mostly on the backs of a stout and well-organized defense. Philip Rivers offered up steady quarterback play, but it was the defense of the Colts that really makes this team run. It should make for an intriguing clash of styles in Orchard Park on Saturday afternoon.

For further team news, betting analysis, and an official prediction – read on beneath the posted odds for this AFC playoff showdown. It’s the Bills and Colts to kick things off, and it should be great!

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Odds:

Indianapolis Colts +6 (-110)
@ Buffalo Bills -6 (-110)

Over 51 (-110)
Under 51 (-110)

*Betting odds provided by

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Pick:

Entering this 2020-21 campaign, the Colts were a popular Super Bowl pick. Many liked their defense and thought their offensive line would be among the best in football. And while their offensive line is certainly strong, Indy took a huge hit in that department back in Week 15, losing Anthony Castonzo for the season. Their splits with and without Castanzo are astounding, and it’s clear the Colts’ offense misses him in all areas.

With Castonzo out, it gives an opening to the Bills’ improving stop unit to apply all kinds of pressure in the pocket on a mostly immobile Philip Rivers. While Rivers has veteran experience and has played in many big games before, it remains to be seen if he can truly lead a team with his offense anymore. The thinking here is a firm no.

Buffalo’s secondary coverage has steadily improved as well, so finding targets might prove difficult for the Colts’ QB. Meanwhile, Jonathan Taylor could find some holes and success running out of the backfield, but if the Colts are trailing throughout – you have to wonder how eager they’ll be for a steady stream of running plays.

On the other side, expect the explosive Bills’ offense to come out firing. Buffalo will try to make the Colts play catch-up throughout, and do so by scoring early and often. With the current form of the Josh Allen-to-Stefon Diggs connection, it’s really hard to envision any defense truly stopping them entering the post-season.

And while the Colts boast a solid stop unit, they’re not set-up all that well to stifle the Bills. Indy is much more stout against the run than the passing game, and Buffalo doesn’t really utilize their run game all that often.

Making matters worse for the Colts is the fact that it’s believed both DeForest Buckner and Rock Ya-Sin are likely out for Indianapolis on defense. And while there is a late chance that duo could be active, you have to wonder just how healthy they’ll be.

The Bills are a well-oiled machine right now, especially on offense. They’ll have some fans in their stadium to raucously cheer them on, and they match up excellently against the Colts. While this number has come down throughout the week, don’t fret – as the Bills should win this do-or-die matchup with ease come Saturday.

My Pick
Bills -6
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.