The NFL returns on Thursday night to kickoff Week 10. It’s great to see that we’ve made it this far after all of the uncertainty. With coronavirus cases skyrocketing at the moment, players and personnel must be especially careful right now. All procedures and protocol must be followed or risk games being cancelled. It was reported on Tuesday that 56 employees of the NFL, including 15 players, tested positive for Covid.
The good news is that the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans plan on playing Thursday night in Nashville. It’s supposed to be a perfect night in Nashville with no bad weather to contend with. That should bode well for the Titans’ offense, but a solid defense awaits them on the other side Thursday night. The Indianapolis Colts have a chance on the road if their defense travels to Nashville.
Despite a 24-10 loss against the Baltimore Ravens last week, the Indianapolis defense played well in defeat. It seems to be abundantly clear why the LA Chargers moved on from Philip Rivers. His veteran leadership is an asset for the Colts, but his ability on the field has diminished significantly. His arm strength is dropping off completely, which was never overly strong to begin with. Rivers has passed for 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 67.88% completions.
His Colts have made it to 5-3 because of their defense. Rivers might be steady enough to get them into the playoffs if the defensive effort continues for the Colts. Meanwhile, the Titans are sitting pretty at the top of the AFC South with a record of 6-2. In other words, this is a really big game. The Titans got back in the win column with a 24-17 win over the Chicago Bears last week. Head below for our free Colts vs. Titans prop picks for November 12, 2020.
An AFC South Rivalry to kick off Week 10!
— NFL (@NFL) November 11, 2020
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
A.J. Brown is back to full health and it has been evident on the field. Brown has been having himself some nice games recently, as he attempts to shine some of the spotlight on him as well. His college teammate, DK Metcalf, who are both freaks of nature, has been blazing up a trail in the NFL this season. Brown has been quieter, but now that he’s getting his healthy back, he’s beginning to reach his full potential for the Titans. In six games this season, Brown has recorded 457 yards receiving on 31 receptions.
Brown recently had his two best games of the season, which came against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Chicago Bears, two serviceable defenses no doubt. He caught 6 receptions for 153 yards against the Steelers, and then he most recently eclipsed 100+ yards again. Brown went for 4 receptions and 101 yards against the Bears last week. Ryan Tannehill looks his way often. In only six games, Brown has been targeted 48 times for an average of 8 looks per game. With Brown continuing to heat up, he should be able to grab at least 70 yards versus the Colts on Thursday Night Football.
Ryan Tannehill Pass Completions
The Indianapolis Colts will undoubtedly lean on the strength of their defense on Thursday night. Derrick Henry is one of the most difficult running backs to stop in the NFL, but the Colts have a good counter punch with their defense. If the Colts have excelled at anything this season, it’s been on the ground against running backs. They’ve conceded only 83.6 rushing yards per game for third in the NFL. The Colts are capable of stacking the box and limiting the damage done on the ground by Henry.
The Colts are also solid at defending the pass, as they’re third in that department as well, with 206.4 yards conceded per game. They are certainly capable of disrupting Tannheill from getting into a consistent rhythm. If I’m writing the game plan up for this one, I would be handing the ball off to Henry to limit any mistakes Tannheill could make through the air against an aggressive Colts’ defense. It’s not like the Tennessee offense asks a whole lot out of Tannehill in terms of volume to begin with.
Tannehill has gone 18 for 30 twice and 10 for 21 in the last three weeks, all against defenses that aren’t as good as the Colts against the pass. This game has a similar feeling to the Bears game meeting last week for the Titans. He’s going to complete more than 10 passes in this one, but I could see them taking an early lead and lean on Henry to carry the load, which he is capable of doing. I see a 17 for 25 night in store for Tannehill in Nashville.
Jordan Wilkins Rushing Yards
Rookie Jonathan Taylor has been in the doghouse this week after receiving just six carries against the Baltimore Ravens. Taylor ran for only 22 yards on 11 carries against the Detroit Lions two weeks ago, he was expected to bounce back in better form. That wasn’t the case, and a lost fumble sealed his fate for the rest of the afternoon. The fumble kept Taylor on the sideline, ending the day with 27 yards.
The Colts felt comfortable with Jordan Wilkins carrying the rock. Wilkins has been splitting reps with Taylor in the backfield in 2020. It’s been hard to keep Wilkins off the field the last two weeks. He gained 89 yards on 20 carries against the Lions, and then led the Colts with 39 yards on 11 carries in Week 9. In his first two weeks of action, Wilkins ran for 40 yards and 39 yards, each on 11 carries a game. The Titans are beatable on the ground. Their defense has conceded 119.1 yards per game to rank in the back half of the NFL. Wilkins should get his share of carries on Thursday night. His rushing total looks a bit too low here.