Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Rams Pick – NFL Week 13

The Los Angeles Rams go home finally after two losses on the road to the San Francisco 49ers, 31-10, and Green Bay Packers, 36-28. This is their third loss in a row, which started back on November 7 in a 28-16 to the Tennessee Titans.

After a four-game winning streak and the Rams at 7-1 on the season, people were anointing Matthew Stafford as the guy to get the Rams to the Super Bowl. Not so fast. The Rams are a game away from falling to 7-5 after a 7-1 start.

The Rams are falling out of favor in the NFC West even with an injured Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. It was the perfect time for the Rams to put some separation between them and the Cardinals.

With Murray scheduled to return soon, possibly this week, the Rams are trailing the 9-2 Arizona Cardinals. That’s a missed opportunity for the Rams. Acquiring Von Miller clearly wasn’t the final piece to a Super Bowl run.

It’s not to say that the Rams can’t put their season back together again and get hot in December. They need a game to regain their confidence, which could be the case versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars are looking for their third win of the season to advance to 3-9.

The Jags are coming off a 21-14 loss to the Atlanta Falcons for their third in a row. It was a competitive loss for the Jaguars, but they still failed to cover the 6 points at home. The 49ers blasted the Jags the week before by a score of 30-10.

They have the Rams coming off three losses of their own, and they’re playing their worst football of the season at the moment. Is it a chance for an upset or a “get right” spot for the Rams at SoFi Stadium? Head below for our free Jaguars vs. Rams pick on December 5, 2021.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Rams Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of Betonline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Jacksonville Jaguars +13 (-115) +510 Over 48 (-105)
LA Rams -13 (-105) -660 Under 48 (-115)
Team Data Jacksonville Jaguars LA Rams
Overall Record 2-9 7-4
ATS Record 4-7-0 4-7-0
Away/Home Record 0-4 3-2
ATS Away/Home 2-2-0 2-3-0
Points Per Game 15.7 27.2
Points Against Per Game 23.9 25.7
Passing Yards Per Game 207.7 288.9
Rushing Yards Per Game 115.1 95.2

Jaguars vs. Rams Prediction:

Matthew Stafford hasn’t had an ideal running game this season. Where have we seen that before? Stafford struggled for years to have a ground game in Detroit to work with.

It isn’t as obvious or bad in LA, but the Rams are 24th in the NFL with 95.2 rushing yards per game. Nevertheless, Stafford is expected to deliver for the Rams.

He has been good with 27 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 66.5% completions. Stafford is coming off a big performance with 302 yards and 3 touchdowns at Lambeau Field.

That sounds familiar as well. Nice numbers from Stafford, but can’t come up with a play when the Rams need it the most. Against the Jags, they likely won’t need a clutch winning drive, though.

This looks like a prototypical Stafford game where he rolls up points versus an inferior opponent. The Jags have not been forcing turnovers this season, which should help him.

They are dead last in the NFL in turnovers in 32nd. Jacksonville has allowed 25.7 points per game for 26th in the league. The Rams need to get right, and this looks like a good spot.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs.Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends:


  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games as an underdog
  • 5-10 ATS in their previous ten games
  • 0-10 overall in their previous ten games on the road
  • 0-5 ATS in their previous five games versus the NFC
  • 1-15 ATS in their previous 16 games versus the NFC West


  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games versus the AFC South
  • 10-4-1 ATS in their previous 15 games after a loss
  • 7-3-1 ATS in their previous 11 games in December
  • 7-2-2 ATS in their previous 11 games after allowing more than 30 points
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games in Week 13

Trevor Lawrence has looked like a rookie this season. He is a rookie so he’s met expectations on this bad Jaguars team. Like a first-year quarterback, Lawrence has looked great at times, and then not so in other instances.

He goes into Week 13 with 9 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 58% completions. Lawrence will be expected to do much more next season, but right now, it’s unfair to come to a conclusion this early in his career. He needs an offensive line to keep him upright.

The Rams on the west coast should be a tough assignment for Lawrence. This is a team that has played lousy football lately, and I’m sure the Rams are looking for someone to beat up on. The Rams’ offense should score early points and Jacksonville can’t keep up.

Look for Stafford to sling it around and Lawrence will look to match. Lawrence is going to get himself in trouble trying to do the same. Go with the Rams to win and win big by at least two touchdowns. I like the Rams in a 35-17 final at SoFi Stadium.


Jaguars vs. Rams Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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