Two of the more surprising teams in the NFL through 6 weeks will square off in Missouri on Sunday as the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Jacksonville Jaguars. Kansas City enters the game at 3-2 (4-1 ATS), while the Jags come in at 3-3 (3-3 ATS). The game will get underway at 1 PM EST.
Jacksonville had some good vibes going after winning two straight but laid an egg this past Monday against Tennessee. The Jags were pounded by a score of 30-3 on their home field and never looked in sync on offense. The team wasn’t expected to do much this season but have been a bit of a surprise at 3-3. A further look at their statistics would imply that they may be lucky to be at .500. The team is 25th in total yards of offense, at an even 300 per game. Meanwhile, they have scored just 18.3 points per game, which is 23rd in the NFL. The defense has been a disaster as well, giving up 27.8 points per game, which is second from the bottom in the league. They are being gashed for nearly 375 yards per game as well on the defensive side of the ball.
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Kansas City was the last undefeated team in the league at 3-0 following their Week 4 bye, but they have lost both games since then. Last week, the team lost a tough one to Houston by a score of 35-31 on a questionable pass interference call on the Texans’ winning final drive. Kansas City features the number one rushing attack in the NFL, led by the two-headed monster of Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones. The team is averaging a league-best 164.6 yards per game on the ground. They also play stingy defense under head coach Todd Haley, ranking 5th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed, at just 90.8 per game. They have allowed almost 250 yards per game through the air, which has brought down their total defensive numbers.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5
@ Kansas City Chiefs -9.5
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Jaguars vs. Chiefs Betting Predictions for Week 7:
Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY) – Both of these teams are sputtering to some degree at this point in the season. It is make or break time for each if they want to make a run through the middle and ending parts of their schedule. Jacksonville comes into the game 1-1 away from home, and Kansas City can be a tough place to play. However, I think this is a pretty big spread and in today’s NFL, it is very tough to lay a lot of points on teams that are fairly unproven, like Kansas City. The Chiefs often win outright at home, but are just 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games.
Game Total Prediction (TOP PLAY) – Neither of these teams has played much defense so far this season and I expect Charles and Jones to feast on the Jags’ run defense. The over is 11-4-2 in Kansas City’s last 17 games at Arrowhead. The Jaguars have also seen the total go over in 5 of their last 7 games overall. Look for a 24-20 type of game in this one and a total that will go over.
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