Jets Patriots Spread Line and Predictions NFL Playoffs

Last year, at home, the Patriots were steamrolled by the Ravens, which meant the Jets never had to run into New England on their way to the AFC Championship game, meaning that their gravest impediment, the angriest stone in their shoe, was never an issue. Eventually, if the Jets truly wanted to get where they want to go, if they truly wish to consider themselves a championship contender, they were going to have to beat the Patriots — the bully at the end of their block — to get there. The Jets will finally get their shot at upending the perennial Superbowl favorites on their home soil in what should be one of the most watched divisional round games in some time, kickoff slated for 4:30 PM EST.

Spread and Betting Line Comparison Chart:

Betting Site
Over/Under Line
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Patriots -9.5 (-110)
Patriots -9.5 (-110)
Patriots -10 (-110)

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The Jets have spent most of the week insisting that there will be no lingering scars from the mess of December, when they weren’t just exposed as championship pretenders (at least for the time being), they also were given a first-hand look at just how rapidly the Patriots had caught — and passed — them since the first time the teams had met in the second week of the season, a 28-14 Jets victory. The Jets have a small matchup problem with Darrelle Revis, in that Revis doesn’t have one specific player to shut down. We all saw what Revis did to Reggie Wayne last week, forcing Peyton Manning to look elsewhere all game. But New England has the advantage of not having a clear-cut top receiving option, meaning it won’t neutralize the Pats’ offence if Revis were to completely remove a certain player from the game. Sanchez still has to prove that he can perform on the road and in cold-weather games. In two career games at New England, he has completed less than 50 percent of his passes for one touchdown and seven interceptions. In those losses, the Jets have been outscored 76-17. Brad Smith is a game-changer much like Devin Hester is with the Chicago Bears because he can return a kickoff the distance for a touchdown, run and throw out of the Wildcat formation and exploit the middle and the outside of the field as an extra wide receiver. The Patriots cannot let him break loose for any long plays that can swing the momentum, and with Brandon Spikes back in the lineup he just might be a good candidate along with safety Patrick Chung to act as a spy on Smith when he’s in the game. Right tackle Damien Woody is out for the Jets but backup Wayne Hunter is perfectly capable of replacing him without hurting the team. Nickel corner Drew Coleman suffered a knee injury in practice Thursday, and might have to be replaced by rookie Kyle Wilson, who struggled this season. And Mark Sanchez’s shoulder is apparently doing a lot better.

Tom Brady hasn’t thrown an interception in 335 pass attempts and in the last meeting he threw four touchdown passes, exploiting every facet of the Jets’ defense. Even if Revis can successfully shut down one side of the field, which isn’t as easy to do in this game because there really isn’t a clear No. 1 receiver on New England, Brady can look for Wes Welker in the slot, Julian Edelman and Brandon Tate out wide and his two dangerous rookie tight ends, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. That’s too many options for a quarterback of Brady’s caliber. The Jets’ O-line is considered among the best in the NFL, but Wilfork has stepped up his game this season and driven opposing quarterbacks crazy by sometimes lining up at the nose and other times lining up outside. If he can penetrate the backfield and force Sanchez to rush his throws it could be a long day for the second-year quarterback. Keep in mind that the Patriots still have a young, inexperienced secondary, with a handful of regular contributors who have never started a playoff game. You just don’t know what you’re going to get from the league’s third-worst pass defense. The Patriots were supposed to be in decline this year, and instead, for kicks, rebuilt on the fly, won 14 out of 16 games, won their last meeting with the Jets by a mere six touchdowns. And with an historic haul of draft picks coming in the 2011 draft in a few months, there is no reason to believe that rebuilding and reloading will be relenting any time soon. So as perilous as it might seem to ask the Jets to walk into Gillette Stadium Sunday and knock off a red-hot Patriots team which may well be playing better now than it was in the 2007 playoffs when it had yet to lose, it is also true that the Jets may never have a better opportunity to do that than right now. Danny Woodhead (concussion) and Aaron Hernandez (hip) both look to be good to go for the Patriots, who are slightly healthier than the Jets.

Jets vs Patriots Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


New York Jets +10
@ New England Patriots -10

Game Total:

Over (-110)
Under (-110)

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Jets vs Patriots Prediction for Divisional Round Weekend:

Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY) – All of the off-season acquisitions, key draft choices, and personnel choices the Jets made last Summer was designed with one thing in mind, beat the Patriots. The New York Jets molded a club that could bang and smash with the Patriots and come Sunday we will see if that mold was adequate. Both teams have been jawing all week at each other and the intense rivalry atmosphere will most certainly be present in Foxborough at kickoff. The two teams split the season series, both winning at home, and the rubber match could not be on a bigger stage. The New York Jets are too talented of a football team to be 9 point losers to any team, especially in postseason competition. I like the chances of the Jets showing up on Sunday and giving Tom Brady and crew a fight. I think the Jets are going to do a great job of running the ball, controlling the clock, staying on the field on third downs, and their defense getting off the field on third downs. I believe the Jets’ offense will have success moving the ball against the Patriots and that front seven, particularly on the ground. New England is 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games when playing at home against NY Jets. I have my doubts about how healed Tom Brady’s right shoulder is and with the possibility of Deion Branch sitting due to injury I like the Jets chances even more. We will consider the Jets busting the spread and even take a look at the moneyline if you want to make things interesting.

Top Play Prediction = Jets +10

Game Total Prediction – Both meetings this year saw the OVER hit and I don’t see any reason the points stop today. The Jets won 28-14 in Week 2, while New England had the statement victory of the NFL season, a 45-3 Week 13 spanking on Monday Night football for all of the world to witness. Tom Brady threw for 326 yards and four touchdowns and the Patriots defense turned Mark Sanchez over three times. Sanchez was at his best in the early meeting, throwing for 220 yards and three touchdowns, outplaying Brady, who threw two interceptions and lost a fumble. Both offenses, when clicking, are extremely lethal and little time is wasted in putting the ball in the endzone. I believe Marc Sanchez will come in with all the confidence in the world after last weeks game in Indy, a game in which he looked quite capable in moving the ball all around the field. The total has gone OVER in 12 of the NY Jets last 16 games and has gone OVER in 9 of the NY Jets last 10 games on the road. The Patriots and there ensemble of talented escapades will surely cause the Jets defense fits and I see a steady dose of Wes Welker as the remedy to scoring points for the Pats. The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England’s last 10 games and has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games at home. Take a strong and healthy look at the OVER come Sunday afternoon. Cheers!

Prediction = OVER 45 Total Points

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