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Jets vs. Dolphins Week 3 NFL Pick

A pair of 1-1 teams will take their talents to South Beach Sunday afternoon as the Dolphins host the Jets in what should be an intriguing AFC East clash. Despite New England’s hiccup last week, the division still seems wide-open for spots two through four, and this match-up should help determine what the future holds for both squads.

The Jets began their season in somewhat unexpected fashion, dismantling the Bills in a one-sided victory. However they couldn’t follow that up last week against the Steelers, falling to a .500 record on the season. Against Pittsburgh, Rex Ryan’s side was without star corner Darelle Revis, but the man referred to as “Revis Island” will be expected to suit up against Miami on Sunday.

The Dolphins meanwhile entered this season as somewhat of a wildcard. Not much was expected of Joe Philbin’s side record-wise, but most didn’t know just how bad or good they’d be.  After disposing of the Raiders fairly easily in Week 2, it’s apparent that despite the inexperience in Miami, this team has some decent pieces with a rock-solid defense. If the Jets continue to be plagued by inconsistencies, this Miami team won’t be a pushover come Sunday afternoon.

Jets vs. Dolphins Spread & Betting Odds:

Spread:
New York Jets -1 (-115)
@ Miami Dolphins +1 (-105)

Game Total:
Over 41.5 (-110)
Under 41.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Jets vs. Dolphins Pick:

Simply put, this is a must-win for a Jets team that has definite playoff aspirations. They looked like world-beaters in Week 1 against the Bills, but snapped back to reality against Pittsburgh last week. Though they do tend to struggle on the road, this Dolphins team doesn’t possess the quality to exploit some of New York’s vulnerabilities. The Jets will play rock-solid defense, led by the returning Darelle Revis. Expect that unit to confuse Miami’s rookie quarterback, Ryan Tannehill, not allowing him the opportunity to get comfortable in the pocket. Whenever the Jets secondary is clicking, the passing game of the opposition is virtually a non-factor, and look for similar results on Sunday.

Reggie Bush has been stellar of late running out of the Miami backfield. Going back to last season, the USC back has registered 100-yard rushing games in 5 of his last 6 contests. Against a mean Jets front-seven, replicating those numbers will not be an easy task. Last season Bush suited up just once against New York, with the Jets holding him to 71 yards on the ground. Don’t be shocked to see a similar performance on Sunday.

There seems to be a ton of negativity surrounding this Jets squad, and it’s being reflected in the betting marketplace.  The point is, Rex Ryan has built a squad that despite their offensive limitations, plays about as good on defense as any other unit in the league. Look for that to be the difference on Sunday. Though this line looks fishy hovering below a field goal, the Jets defense will confuse and bruise the Dolphins skill players, en route to what should be a convincing victory.

The Dolphins are currently .500, but beating the Raiders this season doesn’t seem to be all that difficult. On the offensive side of the football for New York, quarterback Mark Sanchez was methodical in his first game, and though he had difficulty with the Steelers, most QB’s in this league do. Sanchez has made strides this season though, and while the Dolphins defense is an underrated aspect of their team, the Jets still have the talent to put up points on the board. Miami has achieved great numbers in the opening weeks defending the run, but Sanchez has the potential to hurt the Miami secondary through the air. The Dolphins have conceded 313.5 passing yards per game, landing them 28th in the league in that area. The likes of Stephen Hill and Santonio Holmes should be able to spring free and get on the receiving end of some big throws from Mark Sanchez.

Look for a motivated Jets side to realize the necessity of winning this game. If this team is to get to their target of 9 wins for post-season contention, victories against the inexperienced Dolphins are an absolute necessity. The Jets defense will manhandle Tannehill, while their front-seven should be able to contain the elusive Reggie Bush. Expect a low-scoring affair, with Sanchez and the Jets attack doing just enough to escape South Beach with a victory. Take the Jets on Sunday.

PICK = NY Jets -1 (-115)