New York Jets vs New England Patriots NFL Pick – Week 7

The NFL is set up with another great slate of action throughout Week 7. Eleven games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of these matchups will be between the New York Jets and the New England Patriots. These two teams have struggled to open up this season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will kick off at around 1:00 PM Eastern time.

New York has earned a record of 1-4 to open up this season, which has them in third place of the AFC East. The Jets are coming off their bye week after losing to the Atlanta Falcons in London. New York has not been strong to open up this season, but will look to come out quickly after this bye week. If the Jets can grab an early lead, they could pull off an upset in Foxborough.

The Patriots have put up a record of 2-4 early in the season, which has them in second place of the AFC East. New England has struggled to get anything going this season as well. The Patriots are coming off a tough loss to Dallas at home. The Cowboys scored a game winning touchdown in overtime to win 35-29 on the road and keep New England winless at home.

These two teams have struggled to get going early in the season, which could lead to a solid matchup in this one. The Jets are coming off their bye week and will look to change things up entering play in this one. New England has not been able to get anything going at home and will need to turn that around if they want a shot at the postseason. I expect both teams to look for momentum early in this matchup.

Jets vs. Patriots Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Totals
New York Jets +7 (-119) +250 Over 42 ½ (-110)
New England Patriots -7 (-101) -300 Under 42 ½ (-110)

 

Betting Data New York Jets New England Patriots
2021 Record 1-4 2-4
2021 Home 1-1 0-4
2021 Away 0-3 2-0
2021 ATS 1-4 2-4
2021 ATS Home 1-1 1-3
2021 ATS Away 0-3 1-1
2021 O/U 2-3 2-4
2021 O/U Home 1-1 1-3
2021 O/U Away 1-2 1-1

Jets vs. Patriots NFL Game Preview

The Jets and Patriots have already met up once back in Week 2. Matt Ammendola had two field goals, but that was all the offense New York could muster. James White and Damien Harris both had a touchdown run. Nick Folk went 4-4 on field goal kicks to help lead New England to an early 25-6 win. The Patriots will look to repeat that success in this one.

These two teams have met up 125 times throughout their histories. New England has earned a record of 70-54-1 in those matchups. The Patriots have won eleven games in a row and fourteen of their last fifteen matchups against the Jets. New England has not lost at home against New York since the divisional round in the 2010-11 season.

These two teams already have a feel for each other this season having met up once. Zach Wilson and Mac Jones will meet for the second time in their young careers in this one. Both QB’s have had rough starts to their rookie seasons and will look to get going in this one. If either defense can step up though, it could be enough for the win.

Opening Odds and Line Movement

The spread for this matchup opened up at -7 ½ in favor of the Patriots. This matchup has dropped down to -7 recently with a couple of days before kickoff.

The over/ under for this game was at 43 ½ points when the game opened up. The total has dropped down to 42 ½ points. This over/ under makes sense with both teams struggling to get their offenses going.

The spread for this game is quite large with both teams struggling to get anything going. New York is coming off their bye week as well, which I think should close the gap in this spread. The Patriots have also struggled to get going at home this season.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Patriots 10-0 in last 10 matchups against New York
  • Patriots 7-3 in last 10 meetings against the Jets
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 games
  • Under is 3-2 in last five games in New England

New York Jets Betting Trends

  • 10-27 SU in last 37 games
  • 14-23 ATS in last 37 games
  • 8-22 SU in last 30 games as an underdog
  • 13-17 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog
  • 3-15 SU in last 18 road games
  • 5-13 ATS in last 18 road games
  • 2-11 SU in last 13 divisional games
  • 4-9 ATS in last 13 divisional games
  • 0-2 SU after last two bye weeks
  • 1-1 ATS after last two bye weeks
  • 2-8 SU in last 10 October games
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 October games

New England Patriots Betting Trends

  • 21-18 SU in last 39 games
  • 17-21-1 ATS in last 39 games
  • 19-11 SU in last 30 games as favorite
  • 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as favorite
  • 11-10 SU in last 21 home games
  • 9-11-1 ATS in last 21 home games
  • 9-5 SU in last 14 divisional games
  • 6-7-1 ATS in last 14 divisional games
  • 5-5 SU in last 10 October games
  • 5-5 ATS in last 10 October games

Free Bet and Game Prediction: New York Jets +7 (-119)

These two teams have not had great starts to this season. New York is coming off a bye week, which could give them an edge in this one. The Jets have not been able to win in New England in almost a decade, but I think they could earn a win in this one. If New York can stick to a strong game plan early in this one, it could be enough for the win.

New York will have Zach Wilson get the start under center for the Jets. Wilson has passed for 1117 yards, four touchdowns and nine interceptions. Wilson has struggled to get going early in this season. Mac Jones has thrown for 1472 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions. Jones will look to put up a stronger performance once again in this one.

These two teams have not looked great this season, but the Patriots are listed as a -7 against the spread. This gives a big edge to New England at home, where they have a record of 0-4 this season. The Patriots have a slight edge at Quarterback. With New York coming off their bye week though, I think they could keep this game close to potentially pull off the upset.

The Bet
New York Jets +7
-119

Jets vs. Patriots Betting Recap:

  • Oddmaker: BetOnline
  • Money Lines: New York Jets (+250) vs. New England Patriots (-300)
  • Spread: Jets +7 (-119)
  • Over/Under: 42 ½ Points
  • Prediction: Jets 20 – Patriots 24
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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