Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders – NFL Week 11

Kansas City (8-1) at Las Vegas (6-3)


This is a major revenge game for the Chiefs after the Raiders came into Arrowhead Stadium and took a 40-32 win back on October 11. Chiefs coach Andy Reid wasn’t thrilled when the Raiders buses took a victory lap around Arrowhead before the Raiders went to the airport to jet back to Las Vegas. Kansas City owns an all-time edge of 65-53-2.


The Raiders’ win ended a 5-game Chiefs winning streak as the defending Super Bowl champions have won 17 of their last 18 games. As of now, they both have two of the six longest winning streaks in the NFL. Kansas City has won four in a row while Las Vegas checks in with three consecutive wins. Raiders running back Devontae Booker looks for his third game in a row with a touchdown. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelsey aims for his third game in a row in going over 100 receiving yards.

Vs. The Spread:

Both of these teams are 6-3 ATS while Kansas City is 3-1 on the road and the Raiders are 2-2 at home. Las Vegas has covered the OVER in seven of the nine games while the total has gone UNDER for the Chiefs in seven of their last 10 games vs. the AFC West. The UNDER is highlighted with the Raiders as well as 14 of their last 18 games vs. the AFC have been UNDER.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Kansas City Chiefs -8 (-110) -370 O 56.5 (-115)
Las Vegas Raiders +8 (-110) +295 U 56.5 (-105)

Last week:

The Chiefs enjoyed their bye week after quarterback Patrick Mahomes passed for 372 yards and four touchdowns as Kansas City pulled out a 33-31 win over the Carolina Panthers. The Las Vegas rushing attack behind Josh Jacobs and a resurgent Devontae Booker rolled up 203 yards and four touchdowns as the Raiders streaked past Denver, 37-12. The Raiders stopped the run in allowing the Broncos only 66 rushing yards.

When Kansas City Has the Ball:

Kansas City Chiefs LogoMust see TV in Las Vegas with Mahomes and Derek Carr dueling for the second time this season. Mahomes and the Chiefs lead the NFL in passing with 294 yards per game while the Raiders’ pass defense is slowly progressing but still yields 264. Mahomes has completed 67 percent of his passes with 25 touchdowns and one pick as he feasts on opposing defenses with a deep wide receiving corp that includes the downfield passing presence of wide receivers Tyreek Hill (72 catches) Mercole Hardman, who averages 15.8 yards per reception

Las Vegas’ defensive end Max Crosby has six sacks as Arden Key is playing a major role in pressure up front. Mastering Kansas city’s offensive line and getting to Mahomes is a must; otherwise, when he has time to create, it will put the Raiders’ defensive back in a quandry. Mixing up the blitzes and the defenses will be a must in trying to neutralize Mahomes. Negating field position is important as the Raiders’ opponents start on their own 29 by average.

When Las Vegas Has the Ball:

Las Vegas Raiders LogoCarr is easily having his best season of his career as the rushing attack of Jacobs and Booker is clicking which gives Carr more time to play make. They passed 100 yards once again last week as it is the second time this season that the running game has put together three 100-yard streaks in a row. Dominating the line of scrimmage is a possibility as the Chiefs’ run-stop is only 29th in the NFL. The Raiders, though, need a big passing game from Carr, who has been under 200 yards in each of his last three games.

The Raiders rushed for 144 and Carr threw for 346 in the first game, so lots has to be adjusted for Kansas City. Also, the Chiefs had three sacks but for only seven yards and they only forced one turnover. Chris Jones leads Kansas City with 5.5 sacks while the Chiefs have only mustered nine interceptions in nine games.

Remember, Las Vegas has had 11 players on the COVID-19 reserve list this week after defensive end Clelin Farrell’s positive test. Four defensive starters are in quarantine and should be able to play assuming the tests continue to be negative.

Winner: Kansas City (-8) 37, Las Vegas 31

Over-Under: OVER 56.5

The Bets
Kansas City Chiefs -8
Over 56.5
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.