Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Week 13 SNF Pick – December 5

A huge divisional showdown in the AFC West will be the Week 13 edition of Sunday Night Football as the Denver Broncos will travel to Arrowhead to try and secure a tie atop a competitive AFC West division.

At the start of the season, few would have thought that the Broncos and Chiefs would have just one win separating the two at the half-way mark, but Sunday night’s contest will be crucial in terms of playoff positioning.

Though Denver traded away Von Miller to the Rams, their defense remains excellent. Teddy Bridgewater has provided stellar quarterback play, and coming off of a convincing victory in Week 12 vs. the Chargers has this group remaining hungry for another shocker.

The Chiefs too are starting to round into form, following an inconsistent first few weeks. Patrick Mahomes is starting to run the offense like we’ve seen Kansas City do in the past, and the bye week has surely helped Andy Reid’s side to heal and re-focus for the stretch run. They’ve won four straight and realize this match represents a good chance to create further separation in the AFC West.

For added insight on this big-time clash, live odds, trends, and the latest data – keep reading below for our betting analysis on this AFC West divisional clash, as we look to provide another winner to close out a busy Week 13 Sunday!

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag


  • Denver Broncos +9.5 (-110)
  • Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 (-110)

  • Denver Broncos (+360)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (-420)
Total Points:

  • Over 46.5 (-110)
  • Under 46.5 (-110)
Overall Record 6-5-0 7-4-0
ATS Record 6-5-0 4-7-0
Home/Away Record 3-2-0 4-2-0
Points Per Game 20.9 25.5
Points Against Per Game 17.8 22.7
Passing Yards Per Game 223.2 290.2
Rushing Yards Per Game 106.5 111.6

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Despite the struggles earlier this season from the Kansas City Chiefs, they’ve seemed to have figured out what was ailing them, and rectified it in recent weeks. Prior to their bye week, they won three straight contests in convincing fashion. Their offense was clicking, while their defense continued to give them a chance to put up more points than the opposition.

Kansas City matches up well with Denver and should be able to continue their torrid pace on offense, in particular against a stingy Broncos’ defense. Denver lives off of the blitz, and that’s a trademark to their defense. Patrick Mahomes however thrives off of extra rushers coming at him, and Mahomes has proven he can beat the blitz both with his legs, or quick throwing ability.

Making matters worse for the Broncos is the fact that they are banged-up within their linebacking corps. This makes them very vulnerable inside the middle of the pitch and with Kansas City’s Travis Kelce roaming that area, look for the Chiefs to hit him early and often to keep those chains moving.

Denver is going to concede points and will likely be down early in this one. As a result, look for Teddy Bridgewater to be put in some unique situations. Kansas City’s pass rush is improving, while Denver’s offensive line is also pretty banged-up. Any time and space he does have in the pocket, will likely be limited by an improving Chiefs’ secondary, and Bridgewater hasn’t been great as a passer thus far in 2021.

Melvin Gordon is also slated to be out, meaning the Denver ground attack will need to be spearheaded by rookie Javonte Williams. While the youngster has shown some promise, Chris Jones can single-handedly stuff opposing rushers, and don’t expect Denver to gain too much positive yardage running through the line of scrimmage.


Broncos vs. Chiefs Trends To Know:

  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
  • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings vs. Kansas City.


Despite the big win the Broncos secured last week at home, on the road against a rested and well-prepped Kansas City side, is a different beast entirely.  The Chiefs know the scenario and will be looking to push hard in the second-half for favourable playoff positioning and a bye, if possible.  Denver seems badly banged-up and despite so much of the betting action on the Broncos, getting the Chiefs under double-digits is the play for Sunday night.


My Pick
Chiefs -9.5
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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