Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prop Picks – NFL Week 11

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prop Picks – NFL Week 11

We have a good game on our hands for Sunday Night Football in Week 11. At least on paper, the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders should make for an exciting game at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. It would have been much better if life was normal and a full crowd was in attendance. There would have been plenty of Chiefs’ fans in attendance for this AFC West rivalry in Vegas.

The trash talk between Chiefs and Raiders’ fans certainly would have made for.. an interesting atmosphere. We’ll have to wait for that, but hopefully next season will give us a full crowd at Allegiant Stadium and stadiums across the country. I’m not sure what to expect from the atmosphere at games in Las Vegas, but it can’t be as intimidating as playing in Oakland. We will have to wait and see how things shake out.

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The Chiefs lead the AFC West with a record of 8-1 for the clear lead in the division. With a win in Oakland, the Raiders could start to make things interesting, though. The Raiders head into Sunday with a mark of 6-3, so they could pull close with a win over their rival. They’ve already beaten the Chiefs once this season. In their first meeting on October 11, the Raiders won an entertaining contest by a score of 40-32. It was a duel between Derek Carr and Patrick Mahomes, with Carr winning out at Arrowhead.

It was a close battle for the Chiefs last week in another entertaining showdown for them. This time it came against the Carolina Panthers, with the Chiefs edging them out by a score of 33-31. The run game was closed down for the Chiefs in that one. The Panthers held Clyde Edwards-Helaire to just 14 yards, while Le’Veon Bell gained 8 yards. Patrick Mahomes saved the day with a four-touchdown performance. He also dished out 372 yards passing for a productive day at the office.

The Raiders jumped all over the Denver Broncos for a 37-12 win last week. It was the opposite for the Raiders, as their quarterback didn’t have to do much. Carr passed for only 154 yards, but Josh Jacobs and Devonta Booker did the rest with 112 yards and 81 yards on the ground. Each runner was over going over 5 yards a pop. Their effort helped the Raiders record three straight wins. This should be a good matchup, and I will have some props in play for this one. Head below for our free Raiders vs. Chiefs props for November 22, 2020.

Derek Carr Passing Yards

Over 260.5
-114
Under 260.5
-114

Derek Carr hasn’t been called on that much recently. He’s taken more of a backseat while Josh Jacobs has carried the load. Carr has passed for less than 200 yards in three straight games, all of which were wins in favor of the Raiders. However, I believe that Carr is going to be forced into airing it out often on Sunday night. It’s not going to be easy for the Raiders to just hand the ball off all game. Patrick Mahomes is going to make sure that’s not possible.

Carr will need to have a strong game for the Raiders to beat the Chiefs again. It happened in their first meeting of the season at Arrowhead. Carr passed for 347 yards with 3 touchdowns and 1 interception on 22 for 31 passing. Against three other high-power offenses, the Saints, Bills, and Buccaneers, Carr threw for at least 284 yards in each outing. Because of the last three games and Carr’s low passing totals, there appears to be some value on this prop. I’m looking at the OVER at this number.

The Bet
OVER 260.5

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards

Over 35.5
-114
Under 35.5
-114

Sticking with my assertion that the Raiders are going to have to keep the ball in the air at Allegiant Stadium. Hunter Renfrow, who has developed into quite the weapon out of the slot, Carr has been looking his way often this season. Renfrow has recorded 399 yards and 2 touchdowns. He’s averaging 13.8 yards per reception for the Raiders. Renfrow hasn’t had too many problems going beyond 35 yards in games this season. Note that in six of his previous eight outings, Renfrow has notched at least 36 yards for the Raiders. With Carr having to dish the ball out more than he did the last three weeks, expect Renfrow to have a fairly productive game on Sunday Night Football.

The Bet
OVER 35.5

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions

Over 2.5
-149
Under 2.5
+114

There was some concern for Clyde Edwards-Helaire when he missed practice on Thursday, but it appeared to be an illness, nothing Covid related. The rookie has since recovered and is expected to play today, which gives the offense a big boost in the backfield. Edwards-Helaire, who was the first running back off the board in the draft, has shown to be the right choice by the Chiefs.

He is another running back that is a dual-threat. Meaning, Edwards-Helaire can run the ball like a traditional running back, and act as an excellent receiver out of the backfield. Typically pass catching running backs aren’t that physical, but Edwards-Helaire is despite being only 5’8”. It provides him with a nice center of gravity to bounce off would be tacklers.

Edwards-Helaire has gained 224 yards receiving on 28 receptions for 8 yards per reception. It’s certainly a nice weapon to have for Edwards-Helaire, as he’s been effective on the ground as well, with 586 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 4.7 yards per carry. As a receiver, Edwards-Helaire has made at least 3 receptions in seven of his previous eight games. This total looks a half point too short here. I would recommend a play on the OVER.

The Bet
OVER 2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.