Week 15 of the NFL schedule opens with a mega matchup in the AFC West. The Kansas City Chiefs are in Los Angeles looking for revenge after the Chargers went to Arrowhead and lost. The Chargers upset the Chiefs for a 30-24 win in an impressive display.
Justin Herbert passed for 281 yards and 4 touchdowns and made it look easy against the Chiefs’ defense in that one on September 26. That was a while ago, but Herbert continues to spin a nice ball. At the same time, though, the Chiefs’ defense has been much improved since then.
— NFL (@NFL) December 16, 2021
If you want to look at the positive for the Chargers despite the Chiefs’ defense showing improvement, the Chiefs are going to be without a big piece on their defense tonight. You can try to overlook it if you’re a Chiefs’ fan, but losing Chris Jones is a huge loss.
Jones is a multifaceted defensive lineman that has the talent to play the run or quarterback. There’s going to be a big hole in the Chiefs’ defense tonight at the worst possible time in an AFC West showdown on the road.
This should be a fun game for prop bets on Thursday night. Both offenses have the talent to do a lot on Thursday Night Football. Head below for our best Chiefs vs. Chargers prop bets on December 16, 2021.
Justin Herbert Total Rushing Yards
Justin Herbert has the most deceptive speed in the NFL. He’s a big, lengthy quarterback so if you were just going by that, Herbert doesn’t look like much of a runner. However, Herbert can take off if there’s nothing downfield.
He is much more than just a prolific pocket passer with a big arm. Herbert goes into Thursday night with 268 yards and 2 touchdowns on 5.6 yards per carry.
He is a strong runner when he wants to be. In his first outing against the Chiefs this season, Herbert gained 16 yards on 4 attempts.
Note that Herbert has run for at least 19 yards in four of his last four games. In a game of this magnitude, expect Herbert to take off and do whatever it takes to pick up first downs. He will put his body out there.
The absence of Chris Jones is going to hurt in more than one way. Herbert scrambling around and getting out of trouble is going to be much easier without Jones lurking in the backfield. Look for Herbert to have at least 20 rushing yards tonight.
Jalen Guyton Total Receiving Yards
Keenan Allen will see his return to the field on Thursday night. He missed the Giants game, though it was the perfect game to be absent for. The Chargers still put up 37 points in a 37-21 win.
Jalen Guyton and Josh Palmer both stepped up with Allen off the field last week. Guyton made it back-to-back big games, as he recorded 3 receptions, 87 yards, and a touchdown a week after having 4 receptions, 90 yards, and a touchdown.
Allen should take playing time away from Guyton, but he’s playing so well that the Chargers will have to find ways to involve him in the offense. Herbert was looking at him two games back even when Allen was on the field versus the Bengals.
Expect Guyton to continue to see targets despite Allen’s return to the field. He and Herbert have been generating some nice chemistry after a slow start to his second-year campaign. His receiving prop looks just too low to not consider giving him a look to go OVER 22 yards.
Tyreek Hill Total Receiving Yards
Patrick Mahomes’ most reliable wide receiver will undoubtedly see a lot of work tonight. In a game where the Chiefs are likely going to need points, Hill will be a frequent target for Mahomes.
Hill goes into tonight with 90 receptions, 1,030 yards, and 8 touchdowns. He’s had 11.4 yards per reception on the season. His receiving yards is third best in the NFL entering Week 15. No one is catching Cooper Kupp, but Hill will finish with his fourth 1,000-yard season regardless.
You are never out of it with the OVER on a Hill prop. He can catch a deep bomb and suddenly a quiet game turns into a big one. Hill is also a tremendous route runner that can pick up small yardage here and there that adds up on a drive.
Hill is coming off a 4 reception, 76-yard game versus the Raiders. If the Chiefs had to pass the ball more in a tight game, he would have gone well OVER 80 yards. The Chiefs will probably be involved in a close game in the 4th, so they can’t just run clock on the ground.
I’m on Hill to record 90 to 100 yards on Thursday night. He is likely in for a big game.