Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints Prop Picks – NFL Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints Prop Picks – NFL Week 15

The Game of the Week and possibly the Game of the Year is scheduled for Sunday afternoon. The Kansas City Chiefs and New Orleans Saints meet at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome for an elite showdown in New Orleans. This could be a preview of the Super Bowl in Florida in February, but I feel like every time the media hypes up a Super Bowl preview, it never seems to materialize like they planned. Having said that, the Chiefs may very well get back to the Super Bowl, and are in the driver’s seat in the AFC to do just that. It’s not going out on a limb to pick the Chiefs to get out of the AFC.

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With the Pittsburgh Steelers struggling recently, the Chiefs look like the clear choice to grab the No. 1 seed in the conference. The Chiefs have one loss hanging over their heads. They were upset by the Las Vegas Raiders at home earlier in the season, but have responded with eight straight wins. Their most recent victory was against the Miami Dolphins by a score of 33-27. They’ve had some close calls recently. Running the clock out for an easy win hasn’t been the case since a 35-9 win over the New York Jets on November 1.

Their biggest win in five games since then was a 22-16 win over the Broncos and last week against the Dolphins, 33-27. I wouldn’t be too concerned, though. They didn’t look too interested in blowing out some of these teams. However, a showdown against the Saints in New Orleans should peak their interest. The Saints are a 10-3 team going into Week 15. They are fresh off a 24-21 loss versus the Philadelphia Eagles behind a satisfactory performance by Taysom Hill.

Drew Brees is set to return on Sunday against the Chiefs. While he may not be 100% from his rib and punctured lung injury, Brees is going to take over for Hill. That’s the good news. The bad news is that Michael Thomas is out again. Brees managed well without Thomas on the field earlier in the season, so the offense should be fine on Sunday. Considering that Brees and Thomas, two of the most important pieces of the offense, have been out for a considerable amount of time, it’s been an impressive 10-3 season for the Saints. They can win the NFC South with a win today. Head below for our free Chiefs vs. Saints props for December 20, 2020.

Drew Brees Passing Yards

Over 242.5
-114
Under 242.5
-114

Drew Brees makes his much anticipated return to the field on Sunday in the Superdome. He hasn’t played since a 27-13 win over the San Francisco 49ers on November 15. Brees left the field after passing for 76 yards and a touchdown. He was on a monster roll, with 9 touchdowns and no interceptions through four games.

Brees hasn’t thrown an interception since October 12 against the LA Chargers, a game in which the Saints won, 30-27. Overall, Brees has passed for 18 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 73.5% completions. He returns at the perfect time in a marquee matchup against the Chiefs.

The Chiefs’ defense was playing the pass a lot better earlier in the season. Their secondary was one of the top ranked in the league, but they’ve been regressing. Tua is coming off a productive outing against the Chiefs last week. The rookie passed for 316 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Tom Brady went off for 345 yards and 2 touchdowns a few weeks back. Tua and Brady had to keep passing, and it’s likely going to be the case for Brees on Sunday. The Saints are 13th in the league with 230.5 yards conceded per game through the air.

Patrick Mahomes puts a lot of pressure on the opposing quarterback. Mahomes can score in a hurry, thus forcing the other team to keep the ball in the air. No, it’s not going to be an all out raid for Brees and the Saints. Alvin Kamara will get his fair share of touches. I could also see Brees returning on Sunday to a big showing, though. Brees has been waiting over a month for this day, and should be in for a nice performance.

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OVER 242.5

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards

Over 53.5
-125
Under 53.5
-103

Alvin Kamara should benefit in the passing game with Brees back at the controls. Kamara didn’t see nearly as many targets with Taysom Hill at quarterback. That said, Kamara did play a big role in the passing attack last week against the Eagles. He was targeted 10 times for the first time since early November. Kamara caught 7 receptions for 44 yards receiving.

The last time he had a really good day receiving was the last game Brees played in against the 49ers. Kamara caught 7 receptions for 83 yards. Along with Brees making his return, Kamara was much more involved as a receiver when Michael Thomas was out of the lineup. With Thomas out on Sunday, expect Kamara to see plenty of targets from Brees. He should get OVER this total in a return to some normalcy in the Saints’ offense on Sunday.

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OVER 53.5

Le’Veon Bell Receptions

Over 1.5
-114
Under 1.5
-114

The Chiefs have way too many weapons to fail offensively. If they write up the appropriate game plan, then their offense can do whatever it wants. Adding Le’Veon Bell to an already stacked offense just didn’t seem fair. In any case, Bell entered a good situation in Kansas City. He’s kept his mouth shut and has been contributing in a supporting role next to Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Does Bell look like a guy that should be one of the highest paid running backs in the NFL?

Certainly not, but the Chiefs don’t need him to be that kind of player in this offense. Bell has gained 236 yards on 60 carries for 3.9 yards per carry. He’s also played a role in the passing game, with 14 receptions and 115 yards. Bell has failed to catch only two balls that were intended for him. He’s been targeted eight times over the last three weeks. Bell caught every ball for eight receptions, two in each game. I surely thought we’d see 2 for his reception prop here, so OVER on 1.5 looks attractive.

The Bet
OVER 1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.