Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prop Picks – NFL Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prop Picks – NFL Week 12

Covid has been reeking havoc on the NFL in Week 12. The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers were pushed back to Sunday from Thursday, and now they are trying to fit the game in on Tuesday night. Who knows if that actually happens, so everything is TBD at the moment. Along with the Ravens fighting Covid at the moment, the Denver Broncos will be without a quarterback on Sunday.

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All four quarterbacks on their roster will not be able to play for the Broncos. If you wondering, Royce Freeman is currently listed as the emergency quarterback. As of right now on Saturday night, the game is scheduled to be played. For times like this, the Broncos really wish they had a wide receiver that played quarterback in college on their roster.

All team facilities in the NFL are going to be closed on Monday and Tuesday. Matt Patricia and Bob Quinn don’t have to worry because they’ve been fired by the Detroit Lions. But for everyone else, except the Ravens and Steelers, they will have to wait until Wednesday to get back to the office. The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to play at Raymond James Stadium.

No Covid, but Buccaneers’ AQ Shipley has been ordered to end his career and stop playing football following an injury on Monday night. That takes out the Buccaneers’ starting center from Sunday and the rest of the season. Tom Brady has been finally showing his age this season. He’s doing his best to fight through it, and statistically, Brady has still been solid.

However, he’s been missing big opportunities. With the weapons at his disposal on offense, the Buccaneers should be better right now. The Bucs are coming off a 27-24 loss against the LA Rams on Monday Night Football. Brady threw two critical interceptions to turn the game around in the Rams’ favor. This is one inconsistent football team. Betting on or against them has been one of the most frustrating bets in 2020.

They have a tough challenge with the Chiefs in Tampa on Sunday. The Chiefs are 9-1 and coming off another win on Sunday. It was a close game in Las Vegas, 35-31, but the Chiefs prevailed to take a split with the Raiders this season. The Raiders are the only team to have beaten the Chiefs this season. After a dreadful performance last week, Brady hopes to make it a second. Head below for our free Chiefs vs. Buccaneers props for November 29, 2020.

Tom Brady Passing Yards

Over 295.5
-114
Under 295.5
-114

Tom Brady has passed for 25 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 64.7% completions. If you look at those numbers, they actually don’t look that bad. And for a 43-year-old, what is there not to like? For a quarterback of Brady’s stature, though, there has been a noticeable decline. I was not one of those people years ago saying Brady was done for when he was struggling. The media was all over his back after a few bad games. Now, though, time is not on his side and he has missed some big passes to open receivers.

Having said that, I do know that Brady is resilient. He’s been hot and cold this season on the field. When the Buccaneers have had a bad game this season, they’ve tended to come back with a better effort the following week. For instance, a 20-19 loss and lifeless effort against the Bears turned into a 38-10 win over the Packers the next week.

Then more recently, the Buccaneers were beaten 38-3 against the Saints on November 8, the Bucs responded with a 46-23 win over the Panthers the following week. Brady passed for 341 yards with 3 touchdowns in a big bounce back spot for him. He’s coming off a 216-yard effort against the Rams. In a game where I believe Brady and Patrick Mahomes will duel, expect Brady to pass for more than 300 yards on Sunday at home in Tampa.

Bet Now
OVER 295.5

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards

Over 14.5
-114
Under 14.5
-114

Patrick Mahomes will be the opposite side of Tom Brady on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium. This is a must-watch contest between Mahomes and Brady. I don’t think either quarterback is going to go away quietly in this matchup. Brady and Mahomes are both going to get a word in on the field in Week 12.

Mahomes enters Tampa with 27 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 67.9% completions. As a 25-year-old, Mahomes has accomplished a lot in his career, including a Super Bowl to his name. He continues to get better and better, so Mahomes is going to be a problem for defenses over the next 10 + years.

Mahomes has gained 187 yards rushing with 2 touchdowns on 4.8 yards per carry. He’s a smart runner like Russell Wilson who is aware of his surroundings, and knows when to take off and pick up yards with his legs. The Buccaneers will pressure up front on the defensive line. That’s what they are good at, but defending a running quarterback is good for countering an aggressive defense.

He ran for 16 yards on 4 carries last week against the Raiders on Sunday night. It’s the sixth game this season where he’s ran for at least 15 yards this season. Against teams that let him sit in the pocket, Mahome doesn’t have to take off and run. However, the Buccaneers likely aren’t going to allow that to happen. Mahomes should crack at least 15 yards on the ground in this one.

Bet Now
OVER 14.5

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions

Over 2.5
-125
Under 2.5
-103

Clyde Edwards-Helaire has jumped into the Chiefs’ offense as a rookie and has already made a big impact. Fresh off a National Championship with the LSU Tigers, Edwards-Helaire has a good chance of contributing to a Super Bowl run with the Chiefs. Edwards-Helaire has gained 655 yards and 4 touchdowns on 4.7 yards per carry. He’s also caught 29 receptions for 232 yards and 1 touchdown. The Buccaneers are a good defense when it comes to stopping the run.

They are rock solid on the defensive line for first in the NFL with 73 yards conceded per game. That said, the Buccaneers are still going to want to get the ball in the hands of Edwards-Helaire. Instead of handing the ball off to him up the gut, expect Edwards-Helaire and Le’Veon Bell to see some work in the passing game. Edwards-Helaire has made at least 3 receptions in seven of his last nine games. I missed on this bet last week, but I’m going to come back with the OVER 2.5 receptions.

The Bet
OVER 2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.