Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Week 7 Pick – October 24

Two teams looking to find some consistency and put a stamp on a playoff position will face-off during the early window of the NFL’s Week 7 slate, as Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs head to Nashville to take on the 4-2 Titans.

It’s been a fascinating season to date for Kansas City, and ultimately a disappointing one. They’re just 3-3, have struggled in big games, and despite impressive offensive showings, their defense is really lagging behind and costing them at the moment.

Meanwhile for the hometown Titans, at 4-2 they’ve shown solid improvements following some early season uncertainty. Their offense and specifically their run game have been dynamic, and though they could struggle defensively, Mike Vrabel has put this team in positions to succeed.

With both squads firmly jockeying for prime positions atop their respective AFC positions, this should definitely be one of the must-watch matchups from the early window. Both Kansas City and Tennessee have a recent history, and some bad blood and intensity could spill over on Sunday. For added insight, live odds, trends, and the latest data – keep reading below for our betting analysis on Kansas City vs. Tennessee here in Week 7 action.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag


  • Kansas City Chiefs -4 (-110)
  • Tennessee Titans +4 (-110)

  • Kansas City Chiefs (-220)
  • Tennessee Titans (+180)
Total Points:

  • Over 57.5 (-110)
  • Under 57.5 (-110)
Overall Record 3-3-0 4-2-0
ATS Record 2-4-0 4-2-0
Home/Away Record 2-1-0 2-1-0
Points Per Game 30.9 27.7
Points Against Per Game 29.3 26.8
Passing Yards Per Game 308.8 220.5
Rushing Yards Per Game 125.2 164.2

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Prediction

Despite the struggles with turnovers that the Chiefs and Mahomes have endured this season, a lot of those can be chalked up to bad luck, or deflections. This Kansas City attack is by no means careless with the football, and I’d expect such negative variance to come to an end shortly.

Their offense remains elite, putting up numbers at a historic rate, and should be able to shred a banged-up Tennessee defense in multiple ways. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have shaken off injuries, and that tandem should be in fine form here in Week 7. The Chiefs know they need to start putting up wins, and a torrid offense is how this team succeeds.

The Titans lost multiple corners to injury on Monday night vs. Buffalo, including stud rookie Caleb Farley. Farley reportedly tore his ACL and will be done for the year. Without him, expect Mahomes to take advantage downfield with regularity.

On the other side, Tennessee will likely be playing catch-up from the get-go which could limit how often the Titans go to the running game with Derrick Henry. Although Kansas City is weak against opposing rushers, they’re familiar with Henry from all of their recent matchups and could play him tougher than expected. They showed improvement vs. Washington their last time out, and that could force Ryan Tannehill to the air more frequently.

Chiefs vs. Titans Trends To Know:

  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
  • Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7.
  • Titans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
  • Titans are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.


Though Kansas City is on the road here in what promises to be a rowdy crowd in Nashville, the Chiefs are poised to take advantage of Tennessee’s defensive struggles. With the Titans trailing, they’ll need to throw more often – and that hasn’t proven to be as successful as their run game.  The Titans’ banged-up defensive backfield won’t be able to stop a motivated Chiefs’ passing game and Patrick Mahomes, and with Kansas City entering as the much healthier group, you have to like their chances for a focused and determined showing in Week 7.  Take Kansas City minus the points. 



My Pick
Chiefs -4
All Tags:
chiefs, titans
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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