LA Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints Props Picks – NFL Week 5

LA Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints Props Picks – NFL Week 5

In the official Monday Night Football game of Week 5, the Los Angeles Chargers and New Orleans Saints will be at the Superdome tonight. We were going to have two Monday night games again, but the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots will not play in Week 5 after all. The plan is for the Broncos and Patriots to play next Sunday afternoon. The Patriots were scheduled to have a bye, while the Broncos had a Week 6 matchup against the Miami Dolphins. That game will be rescheduled to a later date.

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Despite another positive coronavirus test for the Titans, the Tuesday night game against the Buffalo Bills currently has the greenlight to play. Because the Bills will be playing on Tuesday night, the Chiefs and Bills will not meet on Thursday night. That was shaping up to be the best Thursday night games we’ve had this season, but that matchup will have to wait. The Chargers and Saints should give us an entertaining affair on Monday night.

The Saints are a 2-2 team going into Monday night. They’ve been inconsistent with the offense carrying the load. The defense has been a major disappointment for the Saints so far in 2020. After limiting Tom Brady in Week 1, they’ve been going in the wrong direction on the defensive side of the ball. The Saints are coming off a 35-29 win over the Lions in Detroit last Sunday, a week after Aaron Rodgers torched them for 37 points.

The Chargers have carved out a defensive identity, but none of that was present against the Buccaneers in Week 4. Brady passed for 369 yards with 5 touchdowns and 1 interception to lead the Bucs to a 38-31 victory. Joey Bosa is questionable going into Monday night, so that’s something to keep an eye on.

Rookie Justin Herbert was in good form last week, as he passed for 390 yards with 3 touchdowns and an interception. Since taking over for Tyrod Taylor, Herbert has made the Chargers organization look good by making the decision to draft him. The Chargers are only 1-3, but there have been some positives to pick out from 2020 thus far.

The props have been treating me well this year, as we look to add more prop betting profits on Monday night. After a 2-1 night on Sunday in the Vikings-Seahawks game, we’re 5-1 in our previous five props. I don’t think there is much to complain about with those results. Head below for our free LA Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints props picks for October 12, 2020.

Justin Herbert Passing Yards

Over 257.5
-114
Under 257.5
-114

Justin Herbert received an unexpected start three weeks ago against the Kansas City Chiefs. He had no idea that he’d be starting the game until minutes leading up to kickoff. Tyrod Taylor suffered a punctured lung during a pre-game routine by a team doctor. It was a freak accident, and Herbert immediately took advantage of the opening.

Herbert passed for 311 yards with a touchdown and interception, and nearly led the Chargers to a huge upset over the Chiefs. Most people anticipated that the Chargers’ coaching staff was going to take it easy on Herbert and ease him into the starting role. Short, safe passes and hand the ball off to Austin Ekeler. Mind you, Ekeler is injured now and on the IR, but that hasn’t been the case.

There hasn’t been training wheels or limitations placed on Herbert. They are allowing him to air it out and taking some chances. Herbert has passed for 931 yards with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He’s connected on 72% of his attempts. In all three of his starts, Herbert has passed for 290 yards or more.

In two out of three, against the Buccaneers and Panthers, Herbert tossed 300+ yards. The Saints have conceded less than 100 yards per game on the ground, while giving up 236.8 yards through the air for 14th in the NFL. I don’t see why the Chargers wouldn’t give Herbert the keys in this game. It’s likely going to have to be necessary against Drew Brees and the offense on the other side tonight.

The Bet
OVER 257.5

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards

Over 52.5
-114
Under 52.5
-114

Alvin Kamara was getting no respect from oddsmakers early in the season. Totals on his props were too low, especially receiving props when it came to yards and receptions. He was able to go OVER with ease, though last week the sportsbooks finally won. Kamara registered 3 receptions for 36 yards.

After Kamara went wild for 13 receptions and 139 yards with 2 touchdowns the previous week, the Lions made it a point to slow him down. It didn’t matter, though, as Brees worked the ball around and the Saints scored 35 points.

Despite the season-low in receiving last week, Kamara has eclipsed 50 yards in three out of four games through the air in 2020. With Michael Thomas not playing on Monday night after punching a teammate in practice, Kamara should be the focal point of the offense against the Chargers.

The Chargers have a more aggressive defense than the Lions. They like to work in the blitz a bit more than the unproductive Lions do. This should free up some room underneath for Kamara to see plenty of targets on quick passes from Brees. Kamara likely doesn’t get held down in two consecutive weeks. Expect Kamara to go OVER this total on Monday night at home.

The Bet
OVER 52.5

Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards

Over 53.5
-114
Under 53.5
-114

The Saints were expecting big things out of former Pittsburgh Steeler and Denver Bronco, Emmanuel Sanders. He was coming off a productive season split between the Broncos and 49ers. Sanders had 869 yards and 5 touchdowns in 17 games last season. Pairing Sanders with Brees seemed like a no-brainer. However, it was a slow start for the Brees and Sanders connection. That said, there have been some encouraging signs recently between these two.

The second half against the Packers was the first time that we saw Brees and Sanders heating up together. After doing nothing in the first half, Brees found Sanders often in the third and fourth quarter, including a touchdown. He finished that contest with 4 receptions for 57 yards and a score. There appeared to be more of a rapport between Brees and Sanders than we were watching prior to that sequence against the Packers.

That connection carried over to Detroit against the Lions, as Brees found Sanders for 6 receptions and 93 yards through the air. Like I alluded to above, Michael Thomas is not going to be on the field on Monday night. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Brees continue to look in Sanders’ direction, as they continue to build a strong relationship in the offense.

The Bet
OVER 53.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.