The NFL heats up on Saturday and Sunday, as we’re down to the final eight teams in the NFL. There are two games on Saturday, and then another two on Sunday. Some years we only get one or two games that look like good matchups, but I’m looking forward to all four of these games. They are must-watch games, and it begins on Saturday afternoon between the Los Angeles Rams and Green Bay Packers.
The public is falling in love with the Packers in this game. It’s easy to see why that perception is out there. The Rams are a warm weather team going to Lambeau Field, for a meeting against the Packers. Aaron Rodgers has been getting a lot of hype throughout the regular season, and the public will follow with their hard earned money on the Packers in the Divisional Round.
The cold weather angle can be overused often, so I wouldn’t jump all over that position. I will say that Rodgers has an advantage, but maybe not as much as You could also argue that the Rams are a good road team, if you want to find weight to put behind the Rams at Lambeau Field. The Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
Jared Goff has been an inconsistent quarterback everywhere he’s played this season. Which Goff are we going to get on Saturday afternoon at Lambeau? You can find the winner of this game there. If Goff shows up and plays like the 2018 Goff, then the Rams can beat anyone in the NFL, including the Packers on Saturday afternoon. They have the defensive edge on the Packers here, but a sharp game for Rodgers can easily put the Packers in the driver’s seat if Goff struggles.
I am not playing the side or total in this game, so what happens there doesn’t matter too much. I just want to see an entertaining contest. There are a few props that look like an interesting play, though. Head below for our free Rams vs. Packers props for January 16, 2021 in the NFL Divisional Round.
— NFL (@NFL) January 11, 2021
Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Aaron Rodgers is known for his strong arm, but also gets credit for how nimble on his feet he can be. Despite getting older, Rodgers has not been shy about taking off and picking up yards when the pocket breaks down or nobody is open downfield. No, Rodgers is not the quickest quarterback on his legs. He’s a smarter quarterback and knows when to pick up yards when he has to, though.
Rodgers does this often around the goal line, and if a defense ignores his running ability, he often finds a lane and scampers into the end zone if there aren’t any targets open. Against an aggressive defense like the Rams, especially that defensive line, expect the pocket to break down at times in this game. I’m sure the Rams will be able to flush him out of the pocket and make him scramble.
It doesn’t need to happen all game long. His rushing prop isn’t high enough that it requires Rodgers to attempt several rushing attempts. Rodgers gained 149 yards and 3 touchdowns on 38 attempts this season. In three of his previous four outings, Rodgers rushed for more than 10 yards. That includes five times in his last seven. I see Rodgers gaining around 15 yards on his legs, so a play on the OVER looks appropriate here.
Malcolm Brown Rushing Yards
The Rams have three running backs that can run the ball effectively. They can rely on Cam Akers, Darrell Henderson, and Malcolm Brown to find them yardage. Their legs are all typically fresh because of the depth they have at running back. Two could get injured, and the Rams would still have a feature runner in the backfield.
Henderson was dealing with a high ankle sprain towards the end of the season, and Cam Akers missed some time, but the injury report is free of any running backs going into Saturday. Brown rushed for 419 yards and 5 touchdowns on 4.1 yards per carry this season. He received 101 attempts and had at least seven attempts in nine games this season. Brown finished off the season seeing the field for nine carries against the Seattle Seahawks.
He ran for at least 20 yards in 11 games this season. He eclipsed this total of 14.5 yards in 12 outings. Brown was involved in the offense the last three weeks, with 19 carries for an average of 6.3 attempts a game. Note that Brown gained at least 20 yards in each outing to finish off the regular season. The Packers have been average against the run, with 112.8 yards allowed a game. With just 15 yards needed, I will take a shot on Brown getting OVER this total.
Davante Adams Receiving Yards
There are a couple of keys to victory for the Rams on Saturday. First, I would say that Jared Goff must play a sharp game, and secondly, containing Davante Adams will have to be in the game plan. Adams was unstoppable at times this season. He recorded 1,374 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns on 11.9 yards per play. Keep in mind that Adams missed some games this season as well. He didn’t play a full schedule. The Packers were dealing with multiple injuries at wide receiver early on.
Rodgers made due with what he had, but it wasn’t until Adams returned that the offense really took off. Adams registered at least 100 yards in seven games this season. He averaged 98 receiving yards through 14 games this season. In the biggest stage of the season, expect Rodgers to look at Adams often in this one. It’s not going to be the easiest matchup against Jalen Ramsey, but I think we’re getting some value with a total below 80 yards at Lambeau on Saturday.